|

“Social Security Facts.” By Stephen F. Cardone and James D. Agresti.
Just Facts,
January 9, 2009.
http://justfacts.com/socialsecurity.asp (This page contains comprehensive and scholarly details about the topic of
Social Security. For a more concise list of essential facts,
click here. For an
even shorter list of basic facts,
click here.)
» Type “Ctrl F” to search this page » The footnotes contain detailed source documentation. Click the footnote
numbers [1, 2, 3…] to access this content and click the browser “Back” button to
return to the same place in the main text. » Quick Click to: •
Overview •
Taxes •
Benefits •
Financial Stability •
Public Perceptions •
Accountability •
Impact on National Debt •
Personal Ownership •
Privacy
 Whenever the word “projections” is used, this refers to projections done by the
United States Social Security Administration. The process of making projections
is not an exact science and actual outcomes often differ from the projected
ones. The Social Security Administration produces high, low, and intermediate
projections. Only the intermediate numbers are cited here.[1] A major source of information for this section is the 2008 Social Security
Trustees Report. This report was published in March of 2008 and contains data
from 2007. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are indexed for
inflation, wage growth, and other economic parameters to produce numbers that
are consistent in terms of the years 2007/2008. Figures from specific years are used based on availability, and not to produce a
desired result.
* In 1935, Congress passed and Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed
into law the “Social Security Act.” This law created “a system of Federal
old-age benefits” for workers and their families. In 1956, the law was amended
to also provide disability benefits.[2]
[3] * Pictured below is Franklin Delano Roosevelt signing the Social Security Act of
1935.[4]

* Social Security is composed of two separate entities: The “Old Age and
Survivors Insurance” program and the “Disability Insurance” program. Each
program has separate finances handled through two separate trust funds. For the
purpose of simplicity, the figures shown below reflect the combination of both
programs unless otherwise stated.[5] * The “Supplemental Security Income” program provides benefits for aged, blind,
and disabled people without regard to prior workforce participation. It is
administered by the Social Security Administration, but it is not funded by
Social Security taxes. This program is not covered in this list of facts.[6] * In 2007, Social Security had a total income of $784.9 billion and expenditures
of $594.5 billion.[7]
[8] * As of June 30, 2007, there were over 49 million people receiving monthly
benefits, or approximately 16% of the U.S. population.[9]
[10]
* Social Security taxes and Medicare taxes comprise what is referred to as “FICA
taxes.” The acronym FICA stands for the “Federal Insurance Contributions Act.”
(Medicare is a program that provides medical benefits for elderly people.)[11] * FICA tax rates for people who are self-employed:
| Social Security Tax |
12.4% |
| Medicare Tax
[12] |
2.9% |
| FICA Tax (total) |
15.3% |
[13] * FICA tax rates for people who are employees:
| |
Social Security Tax |
Medicare Tax |
FICA Tax (total) |
| Employee tax |
6.2% |
1.45% |
7.65% |
| Employer tax |
6.2% |
1.45% |
7.65% |
| Total |
12.4% |
2.9% |
15.3% |
[14] * The FICA tax amounts that appear on paychecks generally do not account for the
taxes that employers pay.[15]
* Social Security taxes are subject to a wage threshold. Any income earned above
the threshold is not taxed. In 2008, the
threshold was $102,000.[16]
[17]
| └
Tax
Threshold
Increases |
* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the wage threshold at $3,000. Income
earned above this amount was not subject to Social Security taxes. This
threshold was a fixed amount that was not indexed for inflation.[18] * Between 1950 and 1971, various Congresses and Presidents passed at least six
laws to increase the threshold.[19] * In 1972, the Congress and Republican President Nixon passed a law to
automatically index the threshold based upon the national average wage.[20] * In 1977, the Congress and President Carter passed a law that increased the
threshold in 1979, 1980, and 1981 at higher rates than the growth in the
national average wage.[21]
[22]
* Since 1982, threshold increases have been based upon growth in the national
average wage.[23]
[24]
* In 1951, the wage threshold was 129% of the national average wage.[25] * In 2007, the wage threshold was 241% of the national average wage.[26]
* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the initial tax rate at 2% and specified
increases that would bring the rate to 6% by 1949.[27] * In 1939 and during the 1940s, Congresses and President Roosevelt postponed the
tax rate increases scheduled in the original Social Security Act. The
tax rate of 6% was delayed until 1960.[28]
[29]
* Since 1950, various Congresses and Presidents have passed at least nine laws
to increase Social Security tax rates above the 6% level specified in the
original Social Security Act.[30] * Tax rate history:
| Year |
Social Security Tax Rate |
| 1950 |
3% |
| 1960 |
6% |
| 1970 |
8.4% |
| 1980 |
10.2% |
| 1990 |
12.4% |
| 2000 |
12.4% |
| 2008 |
12.4% |
[31] * For workers with average incomes, the government collects the equivalent of 6
weeks worth of their salary in Social Security taxes every year.[32]
* At the outset of the Social Security program, the federal government
published an informational pamphlet that stated the following with regard to
Social Security taxes:
| And finally, beginning in 1949, 12 years from now, you and your employer will
each pay 3 cents on each dollar you earn, up to $3,000 a year. That is the most
you will ever pay.[33] |
After adjusting for inflation, the result of this calculation equates to a
maximum tax collection of $1,630 per person.[34] In 2007, the maximum tax
collection per person was $12,090, or more than seven times this amount.[35] * In 2007, Social Security taxes accounted for about 25% of all federal tax
collections.[36] * During the 2008 presidential race, Barack Obama’s campaign stated that he is
considering increasing Social Security taxes on those making above $250,000/year
by 2% to 4%.[37] * During the 2008 presidential race, John McCain pledged not to increase Social
Security taxes.[38]
[39]
NOTE: The following projections are based upon what the current law specifies.
This does not mean that there will be enough money in the Social Security
program to pay for these benefits. Information concerning the financial
stability of the Social Security program is contained in the
next section.
* In general, to qualify for old age benefits, a person must work for ten years,
earning at least $4,000 a year (in 2007).[40] * Old age benefits are calculated in a way that takes into account the Social
Security taxes paid by the worker.[41] The Social Security Administration has an
Online Calculator that allows individuals to input birth date, expected
retirement age, yearly income, and provides an estimate of monthly retirement
benefits. The result can be delivered in either today’s dollars or in future
(inflated) dollars.[42] * People who have lower incomes receive a higher
ratio of benefits to taxes.[43]
The graph below compares the annual old-age benefit to the average annual taxes
paid over 46 years of work:

[44] * Old age benefits are generally increased each December based upon a cost of
living adjustment. The benefit increase for 2006 was 3.3%, for 2007 2.3%, and
for 2008 5.8%. [45] * The age at which a worker receives full Social Security old age benefits is
referred to as the “full retirement age.” A person’s full retirement age can be
between 65 and 67 years old, depending upon their year of birth. For those born
after 1959, full retirement age is 67 (More details in footnote.)[46] * Workers have the option to start receiving Social Security benefits at the age
of 62, but the benefits are reduced. (More details in footnote.)
[47] Workers
also have the option to start receiving benefits later than their full
retirement age, and the benefits are increased. (More details in footnote.)[48] * Family members of workers who are receiving old age benefits may also be
eligible for benefits, even if they have not worked. (More details in
footnote.)[49] * When Social Security first began, beneficiaries could take their benefits as a
lump sum.[50] The earliest reported applicant for a lump sum Social Security
benefit is Ernest Ackerman of Cleveland, OH. Mr. Ackerman retired one day after
the program began and paid $0.05 in Social Security taxes. He received a lump
sum payment of $0.17 or a 240% return on the nickel he paid.[51]
* The statement issued by the Social Security Administration to all participants
states the following:
| Social Security is the largest source of income for most elderly Americans
today, but Social Security was never intended to be your only source of income
when you retire. You also will need other savings, investments, pensions or
retirement accounts to make sure you have enough money to live comfortably when
you retire.[52] |
* As of 2007, Social Security benefits comprise 50% or more of the income for
63% of elderly beneficiaries. It makes up 90% or more of the income for 32% of
elderly beneficiaries.[53] * In 2007, the average annual U.S. savings rate was $158.23 per person. This is
0.5% of disposable personal income.[54] * As of 2008, Social Security is paying an average of $12,948/year to individual
retired workers receiving old age benefits. The poverty level for an individual
is $10,400.[55]
[56] * As of 2008, Social Security is paying an average of $21,132/year to couples
receiving old age benefits. The poverty level for a couple is $14,000.[57]
[58]
| └
Taxes on Social Security Benefits |
* At the outset of the Social Security program, the federal government published
an informational pamphlet that stated the following with regard to old age
benefits:
| You will get them regardless of the amount of property or income you may
have.[59] |
* Currently, elderly individuals with incomes of more than $25,000/year and
couples with incomes of more than $32,000/year must pay taxes on up to 50% of
their old-age benefits.[60] Half of an individual’s or couple’s old-age benefits
are counted as income when determining if they meet these $25,000 and $32,000
thresholds.[61] * Elderly individuals with incomes of more than $34,000/year and couples with
incomes of more than $44,000/year must pay taxes on up to 85% of their old age
benefits. Half of an individual’s or couple’s old-age benefits are counted as
income when determining if they meet these $34,000 and $44,000 thresholds.[62]
* The thresholds at which people are required to pay taxes on their old-age
benefits are not automatically indexed for inflation or wage growth.[63]
* In general, to qualify for disability benefits, there are two criteria that
must be satisfied:
1. A “recent work” test based on your age at the time you became disabled; and
2. A “duration of work” test to show that you worked long enough under Social
Security.
(More details in footnote.)[64] * In general, recipients begin to receive disability benefits after they have
been disabled for five full months.[65] * Disability benefits are calculated based upon a formula that takes into
account the average Social Security taxes paid by the worker.[66] * Disability benefits are generally increased once a year based upon the
increased cost of living. The benefit increase for 2007 was 2.3%.[67] * Family members of workers who are receiving old age benefits may also be
eligible for benefits, even if they have not worked. (More details in
footnote.)[68]
* Distribution of benefits in 2007:
| Category |
Amount (billions) |
Percent of Total Social
Security Benefits |
| Retired workers and their families |
$389 |
67% |
| Survivors of deceased workers |
$97 |
16% |
| Disabled workers and their families |
$99 |
17% |
[69]
* The Social Security administration is required by law to send statements to
workers once a year outlining their projected benefits. You should receive it
about 3 months before your birthday. If you do not receive it, call
1-800-772-1213 or go to http://www.ssa.gov/.[70]
* The Social Security program has an independent budget that is separate from
the rest of the federal government.[71] * Since 1982, Social Security has had surpluses ranging from $89 million to $190
billion per year.[72] By law, these surpluses must be loaned to the federal
government, which is obligated to pay the money back with interest.[73]
[74]
[75] This is referred to as the “Social Security Trust Fund” and at the close of
2007 it had a balance of $2.2 trillion.[76] * Social Security is projected to continue having annual surpluses until
2017 [77]
[78] at which point the federal government will owe $3.5 trillion to
the Social Security program, or $10,400 for every man, woman and child living in
the U.S. at the time.[79]
[80] * In 2017, the Social Security program is projected to start having annual
deficits that will be covered by collecting on the money it has loaned to the
federal government. By 2041, it is projected that all of this money will be paid
back and the trust fund will be exhausted.[81] NOTE: The above fact does not mean that the federal government will have enough
money to pay back the Social Security program. Information concerning the
ability of the federal government to do so is contained in the section:
Impact
on National Debt * After 2041, Social Security is projected to have deficits every year into the
foreseeable future.[82] To cover these shortfalls, it is projected that payroll
taxes would need to be increased by 28% starting in 2041, rising to a 34%
increase by 2082.[83] This shortfall could also be covered by reducing benefits
by 21% starting in 2041, falling to a 24% reduction by 2082.[84] * There are several other ways to quantify Social Security’s projected deficits.
One is to calculate how much money must be immediately added to the trust fund
so that the principle and interest would cover the shortfalls through 2082. This
is referred to as the “75-year unfunded obligation” and currently amounts to
$4.3 trillion ($4,300,000,000,000).[85]
[86]
[87] This is equivalent to 5.5
times the total income for Social Security in 2007,[88] or an additional
$26,000 from every person who paid Social Security taxes in 2007.[89] * Another way to quantify the projected deficits is to calculate the total debt
the program will accumulate if money is borrowed to cover the shortfalls of the
next 75 years. This debt (including interest) would amount to $36 trillion
($36,000,000,000,000) or an additional $153,000 (in 2008 dollars) for every
person expected to be paying Social Security taxes in 2082.[90]
[91] * According to the 2008 Social Security Trustees’ report, relying too heavily on
a 75-year projection “can lead to incorrect perceptions and policies that fail
to address financial sustainability for the more distant future.” To address
this shortcoming, it is calculated how much money must be placed in the Social
Security Trust Fund right now in order to finance projected deficits for the
infinite horizon. This amounts to $13.6 trillion,[92]
[93] or an additional
$83,345 for every person currently paying Social Security taxes.[94]
[95]
| └
Characterizing the Shortfall |
* Back in 2004, it was calculated that $3.7 trillion (2004 dollars) had to be
added to the trust fund at that time to cover projected deficits for the ensuing
75 years. It was also calculated that $10.4 trillion (2004 dollars) had to be
added to the trust fund to cover projected deficits for the infinite
horizon.[96] * In January 2005, a
New York Times house editorial entitled “The Social
Security Fear Factor,” criticized President Bush for citing the $10.4 trillion
infinite horizon figure and asserting that this amount “threatens the retirement
system – and the economy itself.” The editorial then referred to the 75-year
figure of $3.7 trillion as “a manageable sliver of the economy.”
[97] * This figure of $3.7 trillion, which needed to be added to the trust fund and
begin earning interest in 2004, is roughly equivalent to the combined market
capitalization of all thirty companies comprising the Dow Jones Industrial
Average (in September 2008), or an additional $23,680 from every person who paid
Social Security taxes in 2004.[98]
[99]
[100]
[101]
[102]
| └
Reliability of Projections |
* In 2001, Social Security projected the Trust Fund balance to reach $2.54
trillion by the end of 2007. It actually reached $2.24 trillion, or 13% lower
than projected.[103]
[104] * In 2001, the Social Security Administration projected a cumulative debt of $37
trillion (2008 dollars) by 2075.[105]
[106] In 2008, the Social Security
Administration projected a cumulative debt of $25 trillion (2008 dollars) by
2075, or 33% lower than the 2001 projection.[107]
[108]
[109] * In 2001, the Social Security Administration projected that payroll taxes would
need to be increased by about 37% to cover the projected deficit in 2041.[110]
In 2008, the Social Security Administration projected that payroll taxes would
need to be increased by about 28% to cover the projected deficit in 2041.[111] * In 2001, the Social Security Administration projected that payroll taxes would
need to be increased by about 49% to cover the annual expected deficit in
2075.[112] In 2008, the Social Security Administration projected that payroll
taxes would need to be increased by about 32% to cover the projected deficit in
2075.[113]
* Projected financial status of the Social Security program:
| Time Period |
Financial Status |
| 1984- 2016 |
The Social Security program brings in more money than it spends. The surplus money is loaned to the federal government. |
| 2017-2041 |
The Social Security program spends more money than it brings in. The federal government pays back the money that the Social Security program has loaned to it with interest. The trust fund ends this period with a balance of zero. |
| 2041-2082 |
The Social Security program runs annual deficits that accumulate to $36 trillion, which could be covered by (a) adding $4.3 trillion to the trust fund today, or (b) increasing payroll taxes 28% starting in 2041, rising to a 34% increase by 2082, or (c) reducing benefits by 21% starting in 2041, falling to a 24% reduction by 2082. |
| 2083 and beyond |
The Social Security Program runs annual deficits that could be covered by adding $9.3 trillion to the trust fund today.[114] |
* One of the causes for the projected deficits is that the number of workers
paying taxes compared to the number of people receiving benefits has fallen and
is projected to fall further.
| Year |
Ratio of people paying taxes
to people receiving benefits |
| 1945 |
41.9 / 1 |
| 1950 |
16.5 / 1 |
| 1960 |
5.1 / 1 |
| 1970 |
3.7 / 1 |
| 1980 |
3.2 / 1 |
| 1990 |
3.4 / 1 |
| 2000 |
3.4 / 1 |
| 2007 |
3.3 / 1 |
| 2030 |
2.2 / 1 |
| 2070 |
2.1 / 1 |
[115] * Factors that have contributed to the falling ratio of people paying taxes
compared to people receiving benefits:
1) Increase in life expectancy without a comparable increase in the retirement
age.
2) The higher birth rate of the baby boom generation compared to the birth rates
of succeeding generations.
3) The increasing number of people receiving disability benefits. 1) Increase in life expectancy without a comparable increase in the retirement
age:
- From the inception of the Social Security program through 2002, the retirement
age was not changed. A law passed in 1983 requires that it be increased from 65
to 67 (in stages) by the year 2027.[116]
[117]
- When Social Security began paying benefits in 1940, the average 65-year-old
male had a life expectancy of 11.9 more years. As of 2004, the average
65-year-old male has a life expectancy of 16.7 more years. This is a 40%
increase.[118]
[119]
- When Social Security began paying benefits in 1940, the average 65-year-old
female had a life expectancy of 13.4 more years. As of 2004, the average
65-year-old female has a life expectancy of 19.5 more years. This is a 45%
increase.[120]
[121]
- Benefits and taxes are automatically indexed on an annual basis to compensate
for inflation and wage growth. The retirement age is not indexed to compensate
for increased life expectancy.[122] 2) The higher birth rate of the baby boom generation compared to other
generations:
- The baby boom generation was born between the late 1940’s and early 1960’s. In
1960, the average birth rate per woman was 3.6.[123] [124]
- By 1975, the average birth rate had fallen to 1.77. As of 2004, it is at
2.05.[125]
- Around 2010, the baby boom generation will begin to retire. Between 2010 and
2030, it is projected that the number of people eligible for old age benefits
will increase by about 66%. During the same time period, the number of people
paying Social Security taxes will increase by about 10.2%.[126]
[127] 3) The increasing number of people receiving disability benefits:
| Year |
Population in U.S. |
Number of People Receiving
Disability Benefits |
| 1960 |
190,172,000 |
687,000 |
| 2000 |
288,284,000 |
6,667,000 |
| 2005 |
302,863,000 |
8,309,000 |
[128] [129]
- Between 1960 and 2005, the U.S. population grew by 59%. During the same
period, the number of people receiving disability benefits increased by
1,109%.[130]
[131]
Perception:
| I am entitled to my Social Security benefits. It’s my money. I’ve saved it.[132] |
* Social Security Administration publication number 05-10024 states:
| The money you pay in taxes is not held in a personal account for you to use when
you get benefits. Your taxes are being used right now to pay people who now are
getting benefits. Any unused money goes to the Social Security trust funds, not
a personal account with your name on it.[133] |
* All taxes that have been paid into the Social Security system since its
inception have been spent to pay benefits, fund the administrative overhead of
the program, or loaned to the federal government.[134]
[135]
[136] * In its 2000 budget, the Clinton administration stated that the Social Security
Trust Funds
| do not consist of real economic assets that can be drawn down in the future to
fund benefits. Instead, they are claims on the Treasury that, when redeemed,
will have to be financed by raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or
reducing benefits or other expenditures.[137] |
* As of 2007, for every person receiving benefits, there are 3.3 people paying
payroll taxes.[138] This ratio is projected to continue decreasing until beyond
2070: 
[139]
Perception:
| If politicians didn’t take money out of the Social Security program, it would be
fine now. |
* No money has been taken from the Social Security program.[140] Social Security
surpluses are loaned to the federal government.[141]
[142] This is a requirement
that was established in the original Social Security Act.[143] The federal
government is required by law to pay back this money to the Social Security
program with interest, and it has never failed to do so.[144]
[145]
[146] * The assets of the Social Security program include all of the money that it has
loaned to the federal government.[147]
[148]
[149] Even when this money is
repaid with interest, the program is projected to be unable to pay full benefits
starting in 2041. An additional $4,300,000,000,000 would need to be injected
into the program today to finance the projected deficits over the next 75
years.[150]
[151]
* If extra money had not been added into the Social Security program by
increasing the tax rate above the levels specified in the original Social
Security Act, it would have been unable to pay full benefits since about
1980.[152]
* In 2007, the administrative cost of the Social Security program was $5.5
billion. This is equal to 0.9% of the benefit payments that Social Security made
that year, or enough to pay monthly Social Security retirement benefits to
424,776 individual retired workers for one year.[153]
[154]

[155]
* In 1999, the Social Security Administration paid approximately $17 million
dollars in benefits to an estimated 2,091 people who were deceased.[156] * From January 2004 through April 2007, there were 44,000 instances where the
Social Security Administration erroneously listed an individual as dead. After
the Social Security Administration completes a face-to-face interview with the
beneficiary or recipient, they process what they refer to as a “resurrection
transaction” to remove the individual from the “death master file” and reinstate
benefit payments.[157]
NOTE: For a compelling news story on this topic, visit our
Exclusive News
Service article:
The Impact of Social Security on the National Debt
| └
Trust Fund Assets Consist of Federal Debt |
* The Social Security program has an independent budget that is separate from
the rest of the federal government.[158] * When the Social Security program collects more in taxes than it spends, it
generates surplus money. By law, the only thing that the Social Security program
can do with surplus money is to loan it to the U.S. government.[159]
[160] * The money that the federal government owes to the Social Security program is
held in the form of special issue bonds from the United States Treasury.[161] * Bonds that represent the debt are located in a file cabinet at the Bureau of
Public Debt in Parkersburg, West Virginia. Below is a photo of President George
W. Bush inspecting the documents along with Susan Chapman of the Office of
Public Debt Accounting.[162]
[163]

* When the Social Security program loans money to the U.S. government, the
government is obligated by law to pay this money back to the Social Security
program with interest. This money becomes a part of the national debt.[164]
[165]
[166] * The U.S. government divides the national debt into two categories: 1) Money that it owes to federal entities such as the Social Security program
and federal employee retirement funds. 2) Money that it owes to non-federal entities such as individuals who have
purchased U.S. Savings Bonds.[167]
[168] * The federal law that governs the repayment of the national debt draws no
distinction between the debt owed to federal versus non-federal entities. Both
must be repaid with interest. As of August 2008, the average interest rate that
the U.S. government pays on debt outstanding was 4.36%.[169]
[170] * As of June 30, 2008, the national debt looks like this:
| Money owed to federal entities |
4.2 trillion |
| Money owed to non-federal entities |
5.3 trillion |
| National debt (total) |
9.5 trillion |
[171]
| └
The Lock Box & Raiding the Trust Fund |
* When the Social Security program loans money to the U.S. government, the
government can use this money to pay off debt that it owes to non-federal
entities. This leaves the national debt unchanged because the U.S. government
needs to pay back this money to the Social Security program. Some politicians
have referred to this action as, “Putting Social Security into a lockbox.”
[172] * When the Social Security program loans money to the U.S. government, the
government can use this money to spend on government programs. This increases
the national debt because the U.S. government has spent the money that it has
borrowed from the Social Security program. Some politicians have referred to
this action as, “Raiding the Social Security Trust Fund.”
[173] * When the U.S. government takes either of the above actions, the finances of
the Social Security program are not affected. In both cases, the law requires
the government to pay the money back to the Social Security program with
interest.[174] [175] * The impact of one action compared to the other is whether the national debt
remains unchanged or increases. The national debt is not paid for with Social
Security taxes. It is paid for with income taxes, corporate taxes, sales taxes,
and excise taxes.[176] [177] [178] [179] * In 1999, Republican Congressman Wally Herger sponsored a “lockbox” bill in the
House of Representatives. This law would have restricted Congress from using
money borrowed from the Social Security program to spend on other government
programs. It passed the House by a vote of 416 to 12.[180] * Senate rules allow for a “filibuster,” in which certain votes can be blocked
unless 60 of the Senate’s 100 members agree to let it take place.[181]
[182] In
the Senate, Republicans attempted to bring this bill up for a vote and it was
blocked by a filibuster conducted by Democrats.[183]
* As of June, 2008, the U.S. government owes $2.36 trillion to the Social
Security program. This comes to $7,800 for every man, woman, and child living in
the United States.[184]
[185] * At the start of 2017, the U.S. government is projected to owe $3.5 trillion
(2008 dollars) to the Social Security program. This comes to $10,400 for every
man, woman and child who is expected to be living in the United States at that
time.[186]
[187]
[188]

[189]
[190]
* In February of 2001, while addressing Congress, Republican President George W.
Bush stated:
| Many of you have talked about the need to pay down our national debt. I
listened, and I agree. We owe it to our children and grandchildren to act now,
and I hope you will join me to pay down $2 trillion in debt during the next 10
years. At the end of those 10 years, we will have paid down all the debt that is
available to retire. That is more debt, repaid more quickly than has ever been
repaid by any nation at any time in history.[191] |
* The debt that President Bush referred to in this statement excludes the debt
that is owed to federal entities such as Social Security.[192] * The following information was not included in Bush’s speech to Congress. It
was found on page 201 of his budget proposal:
- The reduction in the debt owed to non-federal entities is offset by an
increase in debt owed to federal entities such as Social Security.[193] - Under Bush’s budget proposal, the national debt was to increase by 1.5
trillion dollars over the subsequent ten years.[194]
* At the outset of the Social Security program, the federal government published
an informational pamphlet that stated the following with regard to Social
Security benefits:
| The checks will come to you as a right.[195] |
* Three years later, Congress and President Franklin D. Roosevelt eliminated a
lump-sum benefit payment for the survivors of workers who died before age
65.[196] * The original Social Security Act of 1935 states:
| The right to alter, amend, or repeal any provision of this Act is hereby
reserved to the Congress.[197] |
* In 1960, the Supreme Court ruled that entitlement to Social Security benefits
is not a contractual right.[198] * The Social Security Administration’s web site states:
| There has been a temptation throughout the program’s history for some people to
suppose that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them to a benefit in a legal,
contractual sense.… Congress clearly had no such limitation in mind when
crafting the law. ... Benefits which are granted at one time can be
withdrawn.…[199] |
* Under current law, the money that people pay in Social Security taxes is not
saved for them and is not their property.[200] * For a worker who is 34 years old in 2008 and plans to retire at 67 in 2041,
their retirement benefits will be derived solely from year 2041 taxpayers. Under
current law, tax revenue in 2041 is projected to be sufficient to pay 78% of
Social Security benefits.[201] * Proposals have been made to change a portion of Social Security from a benefit
program to a savings program. These savings would be the personal property of
each person who chose to participate. In turn, their Social Security old-age
benefits would be reduced to correspond with the amount of taxes they paid into
the program.[202] * In general, such proposals include a transition cost to move from the current
system to a system that includes personal accounts.[203]
[204] * Under the current system, a 22-year-old person who works for the next 45 years
earning $50,000/ year will contribute $279,000 to the Social Security program.
When he or she turns 67 years old in 2053, all of the money they have
contributed will be spent. Any old age benefits they receive would be derived
from taxpayer revenue at that time.[205] [206] * If this same person put 16% of their Social Security taxes into a personal
account and it earned 7% above the rate of inflation, he or she will have saved
$263,991 (2008 dollars) when they turn 67 years old in 2053.[207] * From 1871 to 2002, (including the Great Depression), the stock market (S&P
500) has averaged more than 8% above the rate of inflation.[208]
* During the 109th Congress (2005-2006), eight Social Security reform bills were
introduced that would have established individual accounts to supplement or
replace traditional Social Security benefits. No action was taken on any of
these bills.[209]
[210] * Of these eight bills, seven were sponsored by Republicans and one was
co-sponsored by one Democrat and one Republican.[211]
[212] * During the 110th Congress (2007-2008), at least four Social Security reform
measures were introduced that included the establishment of individual accounts.
All were introduced by Republicans.[213]
[214]
[215] * As of September 2008, the four bills had been referred to committee, but had
not received additional action.[216]
[217]
[218]
[219]
* The Republican Party supports giving workers the option to place a portion of
their Social Security taxes into a personal account. The Democratic Party does
not.[220]
[221] * Barack Obama opposes giving workers the option to place a portion of their
Social Security taxes into a personal account.[222]
[223]
* John McCain supports giving workers the option to place a portion of their
Social Security taxes into a personal account.[224]
* As of 2004, 30-year-old black men have an average life expectancy of 5.3 years
beyond their full retirement age of 67. (White males – 10.3 years, Black females
– 11.1 years, White females – 14.8 years).[225]
[226] * In general, for people who are single and have no children under the age of
19, their benefits stop when they pass on.[227] * Personal ownership allows people to pass their Social Security savings to
their heirs upon death.[228]
* In February of 2001,
the New York Times published an article written by Robert
Pear. The headline read:
| Study Says Disabled Would Lose Benefits Under New Social Security Plan. |
The article stated:
| The new study, by the General Accounting Office, an investigative arm of Congress, concludes that “even under the best of circumstances, Social Security reform proposals would reduce benefits” for people with disabilities.[229] |
* This study compared the disability benefits produced by several personal
ownership proposals to the disability benefits specified by current law. To pay
the disability benefits specified by current law, the Social Security tax rate
needed to be increased over time by 49%.[230] * This information appeared on page 44 of the congressional study and nowhere in
the New York Times article.
* When the study compared the personal ownership proposals to the current Social
Security system using the same tax rate for both plans, in the majority of
cases, the personal ownership systems produced higher disability benefits than
the current Social Security system.[231] * This information appeared on page 36 of the congressional study and nowhere in
the New York Times article.
* In 1981, the South American nation of Chile instituted a social security
personal ownership program.[232] * Prior to this reform, Chile had a government-run social security program.[233] * When reform occurred, membership in the personal ownership system was made
mandatory for all workers beginning their careers and optional for workers who
were members of the government-run social security program.[234] * As of 2007, 98% of all workers contributing to social security were in the
personal ownership system.[235]
[236]
[237] * Membership in the personal ownership program is voluntary for the
self-employed.[238]
* Chile’s personal ownership system has the following attributes:
- The contribution rate is 10% of income. Workers also pay 0.64% for survivors
and disability insurance and approximately 3.4% in administrative fees for an
average total of 14.04%. The tax rate for the government-run program ranged
between 15.75% and 24.91%.[239]
[240]
[241] - Each participating worker has an individual account into which their
contributions are deposited. [242] - Workers are given a choice of five government approved investment funds.[243]
[244] - Workers select between numerous investment fund administrators.[245]
[246] - Full retirement age is 65 for men and 60 for women, but it is possible to
retire
before this age if your personal retirement account meets certain
conditions.[247] - Assets may be passed on to surviving beneficiaries. If there are not any
surviving beneficiaries, the balance in the individual account becomes a part of
the deceased member’s estate.[248] - There is a provision to supply a minimum pension level for workers who have
not saved enough.[249] - At retirement, people have three options: 1) Programmed withdrawal: Retirees receive monthly payments made from their
personal account based on the amount of money accumulated, the life expectancy
of the individual and other factors. Retirees pay about 1.2% commission.[250]
[251] 2) Life annuity: Workers enter into a contract with a life insurance company of
their choosing, whereby the insurer takes control of the personal account assets
and in return provides a constant monthly income to the retiree and survivorship
benefits to their beneficiaries.
3) Temporary income with deferred life annuity (a hybrid of options 1 & 2):
Workers enter into a contract with a life insurance company that allows them to
keep their assets in their personal account for a predetermined period after
they retire (and receive a monthly payment), but later begin to receive a life
annuity through the insurance company. Retirees pay about 1.2% commission.[252]
[253]
[254] * The average annual yield on these personal ownership accounts from 1981 to
2002 was 10.7% above the rate of inflation. The costs for administering the
accounts averaged 3.4%, leaving a total annual yield of 7.3% above the rate of
inflation.[255]
[256] * The costs of paying pensions under the government system plus the costs of
transitioning to the personal ownership system averaged 3.25% of yearly Chilean
gross domestic product from 1981 to 1999.[257] * The government system paid benefits by taxing people who were currently
working and had an accumulated deficit equal to more than 100% of GDP.[258]
[259] * The personal ownership system is self-funded and has no deficit. Three times
per year workers receive a statement that informs them how much money they have
saved.[260]
[261]
[262]

[263]
* Beginning in 1946, Social Security cards had the following sentence imprinted
on them:
| FOR SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.[264] |
* Since 1961, various Congresses and Presidents have enacted laws requiring the
use of Social Security numbers for identity-related functions.[265] * Starting in 1972, the sentence reading “For Social Security Purposes -- Not
For Identification” was removed from all newly issued Social Security
cards.[266] * In 1994, Democratic Congressman Dick Gephardt sponsored a law that passed
Congress with 67% of Democrats and 70% of Republicans voting for it. Democratic
President Bill Clinton signed it into law. This legislation contains a section
entitled:
| TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS REQUIRED AT BIRTH.[267] |
This law requires that parents submit Social Security numbers for their children
with their tax return in order to obtain a tax exemption for their children.[268] * The web site of the U.S. Social Security Administration states:
| The Social Security number was originally devised to keep an accurate record of
each individual’s earnings, and to subsequently monitor benefits paid under the
Social Security program. However, use of the number as a general identifier has
grown to the point where it is the most commonly used and convenient identifier
for all types of record-keeping systems in the United States. |
It goes on to state that “specific laws require a person to provide his/her
number for certain purposes” and provides 15 examples of such including: - Internal Revenue Service for tax returns - Employers for wage and tax reporting purposes - Banks for monetary transactions - States to administer any tax, general public assistance, motor vehicle or
drivers license law within its jurisdiction - States for Medicaid - U.S. Treasury for U.S. Savings Bonds It is also states:
| If a business or other enterprise asks you for your number, you can refuse to
give it. However, that may mean doing without the purchase or service for which
your number was requested.[269] |
[1] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 6: Future income and expenditures of the OASI [Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] and
DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Funds will depend on many factors, including the
size and characteristics of the population receiving benefits, the level of
monthly benefit amounts, the size of the workforce, and the level of workers’
earnings. These factors will depend in turn on future birth rates, death rates,
immigration, marriage and divorce rates, retirement-age patterns, disability
incidence and termination rates, employment rates, productivity gains, wage
increases, inflation, and many other demographic, economic, and program-specific
factors.
{Also see table II.C1 on page 6.} Page 72:
Because projections of these factors and their interrelationships are inherently
uncertain, a range of estimates is shown in this report on the basis of three
sets of assumptions, designated as intermediate (alternative II), low cost
(alternative I), and high cost (alternative III). The intermediate set
represents the Board’s best estimate of the future course of the population and
the economy. In terms of the net effect on the status of the [Social Security]
program, the low cost is the most optimistic, and the high cost is the most
pessimistic. The low and high cost sets of assumptions reflect significant
potential changes in the interrelationship among factors, as well as changes in
the values for individual factors. The probability is very low that all the
assumptions and interactions would differ in the same direction from those
expected. Outcomes with overall cost as low as (or lower than) the low cost
scenario or as high as (or higher than) the high cost scenario also have a very
low probability. [2] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
[3] Report: “Major Decisions in the House and Senate on Social Security.” By
Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears. Domestic Social Policy Division,
Social Security Administration, March 26, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html H.R. 7225, the Social Security Amendments of 1956, was signed by President
Eisenhower on August 1, 1956. The amendments provided benefits, after a 6-month
waiting period, for permanently and totally disabled workers aged 50 to 64 who
were fully insured and had at least 5 years of coverage in the 10-year period
before becoming disabled; to a dependent child 18 and older of a deceased or
retired insured worker if the child became disabled before age 18; to women
workers and wives at the age of 62, instead of 65, with actuarially reduced
benefits; reduced from 65 to 62 the age at which benefits were payable to widows
or parents, with no reduction; extended coverage to lawyers, dentists,
veterinarians, optometrists, and all other self-employed professionals except
doctors99 increased the tax rate by 0.25% on employer and employee each (0.375%
for self-employed people) to finance disability benefits (thereby raising the
aggregate tax rate ultimately to 4.25%); and created a separate disability
insurance (DI) trust fund. The Social Security program now consisted of old-age,
survivors, and disability insurance [Social Security]. [4] Web page: “History: Signing the Social Security Act of 1935.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed November 17, 2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/fdrsign.html President Roosevelt signing Social Security Act of 1935 in the Cabinet Room of
the White House. Also shown, left to right:
Rep. Robert Doughton (D-NC); Sen. Robert Wagner (D-NY); Rep. John Dingell, Sr.
(D-MI); Unknown man in bowtie; Secretary of Labor, Frances Perkins; Senator Pat
Harrison (D-MS); Congressman David L. Lewis (D-MD). Library of Congress photo,
LC-US262-123278. [5] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 131: “The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established on
January 1, 1940 as a separate account in the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August 1, 1956. All the financial operations
of the OASI and DI programs are handled through these respective funds.“
[6] Report: “Charting the Future of Social Security’s Disability Programs: The
Need for Fundamental Change.” Social Security Advisory Board, January 2001.
http://www.ssab.gov/Publications/Disability/disabilitywhitepap.pdf {According to this document, the Social Security Advisory Board is “an
independent, bipartisan Board created by the Congress and appointed by the
President and the Congress to advise the President, the Congress, and the
Commissioner of Social Security on matters related to the Social Security and
Supplemental Security Income programs.”} Page ii: “SUPPLEMENTAL SECURITY INCOME (SSI) is a means-tested income assistance program
for aged, blind, and disabled individuals (regardless of prior workforce
participation) and is funded from general revenues of the Treasury.“
[7] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.” Page 4: “In 2007, net contributions accounted for 84 percent [$656.1 billion] of total
trust fund income [$784.9 billion]. Net contributions consist of taxes paid by
employees, employers and the self-employed on earnings covered by Social
Security.“ [8] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations. Page 5: “More than 98 percent of expenditures from the combined [Social Security] Trust
Funds in 2007 went to pay retirement, survivor, and disability benefits totaling
$584.9 billion.“ [9] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 50-51: Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due.
[10] Web page: “Population, Population change and estimated components of
population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007.” United States Census Bureau.
Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.census.gov/popest/datasets.html {See CSV file under the heading “Population, Population change and estimated
components of population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007
(NST-EST2007-alldata).” Cell O2 in the spreadsheet is the 2007 population
estimate. The U.S. Census Bureau estimates the U.S. population to be 301,621,157
for 2007. The last census (2000) found the population to be 281,421,906. The
2000 census can be found at
http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/c2kprof00-us.pdf}
[11] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 172: “The combined OASDI [Social Security] and HI [Hospital Insurance] contribution
rate for employees and their employers is often referred to as the FICA tax,
because it is authorized by the Federal Insurance Contributions Act.“
[12] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 207: “Medicare consists of two separate but coordinated programs—Hospital Insurance
(HI, Part A) and Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI).“ NOTE: Hospital Insurance is financed via payroll tax. Supplemental Medical
Insurance is not funded via payroll tax. Page 172: “Estimates for the Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI) program are not included
in this appendix because adequate financing is guaranteed in the law, and
because the SMI program is not financed through a payroll tax.“
[13] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.— Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution
Rates.“ [14] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.“
[15] Examined several different paychecks.
[16] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Net contributions consist of taxes paid by employees, employers and the
self-employed on earnings covered by Social Security. These taxes were paid on
covered earnings up to a specified maximum annual amount, which was $97,500 in
2007 and is increased each year automatically (to $102,000 in 2008) as the
average wage increases.“ [17] Web page: “History of SSA-related Legislation: 103rd Congress.”
United
States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/legislation/history/103.htm “PL 103-66 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (enacted 8/10/93).
Section 13207 repeals the limitation on the amount of earnings subject to the HI
[Hospital Insurance] tax beginning in 1994.“
[18] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html SEC. 811. When used in this title- (a) The term wages means all remuneration for
employment, including the cash value of all remuneration paid in any medium
other than cash; except that such term shall not include that part of the
remuneration which, after remuneration equal to $3,000 has been paid to an
individual by an employer with respect to employment during any calendar year,
is paid to such individual by such employer with respect to employment during
such calendar year.
[19] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf {The phrase “at least six laws” was used because six laws were found in this 30
page document that raised the threshold during this time period. However, other
documents indicated law changes that were not found here. To be on the safe
side, the lowest possible number in conjunction with the term “at least” was
used.} [20] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf Page CRS-11: The 1972 amendments introduced the concept of automatic adjustments or
“indexing” to the Social Security system. They provided that, effective in 1975,
benefit increases would be tied directly, or indexed, to rises in the cost of
living. Under this new procedure, benefits would be increased automatically each
January (through a cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA) when inflation as
measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3% or more from the approximate
time of the last benefit increase. In addition, effective in 1975, the earnings
base and the exempt amount under the earnings test would be adjusted
automatically to keep pace with changes in wage levels.
[21] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf Page CRS-14: “Increased the earnings base, on an ad hoc basis, to $22,900 in 1979, $25,900 in
1980, and $29,700 in 1981. After 1981, the base would be adjusted automatically
to keep up with average wages as under the prior law.“
[22] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 102-103: {See Table V.C.1 on page 102 and the table’s footnote 3 found on page 103 which
states, “Amounts for 1979-81 were specified by Public Law 95-216.”}
[23] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf Page CRS-14: “Increased the earnings base, on an ad hoc basis, to $22,900 in 1979, $25,900 in
1980, and $29,700 in 1981. After 1981, the base would be adjusted automatically
to keep up with average wages as under the prior law.“
[24] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 102-103: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index, Contribution
and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, 1975-2017.“
[25] Calculation performed with data from the following sources: a) “The 2000 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 30, 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR00/tr00.pdf Pages 34-35: “Table II.B1, Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.” [The wage threshold was $3,600 in 1951.] b) “The 2000 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 30, 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR00/tr00.pdf Page 66: “Table II.E2, Average Wage Index, Calendar Years 1951-98.”
[The AWI for 1951 was $2,799.16.] {1951 was chosen because it is the earliest year for which average wage index
(AWI) data was readily available from the Social Security Administration. See
also http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/AWI.html} CALCULATION: $3,600.00 / $2,799.16 = 128.61%
[26] Calculation performed with data from the following sources: a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 102-103: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index, Contribution
and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, 1975-2017.“
[Contribution and benefit base for 2007 is $97,500.] b) Web page: “Automatic Increases: National Average Wage Index.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified October 16, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/AWI.html [The 2007 Average Wage Index is $40,405.48.] CALCULATION: $97,500 / $40,405.48 = 241.30%
[27] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html SEC. 801. In addition to other taxes, there shall be levied, collected, and paid upon the
income of every individual a tax equal to the following percentages of the wages
(as defined in section 811) received by him after December 31, 1936, with
respect to employment (as defined in section 811) after such date: (1) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939,
the rate shall be 1 per centum.
(2) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942,
the rate shall be 1 per centum.
(3) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945,
the rate shall be 2 per centum.
(4) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948,
the rate shall be 2 per centum.
(5) With respect to employment after December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per
centum. SEC. 804. In addition to other taxes, every employer shall pay an excise tax,
with respect to having individuals in his employ, equal to the following
percentages of the wages (as defined in section 811) paid by him after December
31, 1936, with respect to employment (as defined in section 811) after such
date:
(1) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939,
the rate shall be 1 per centum.
(2) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942,
the rate shall be 1 per centum.
(3) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945,
the rate shall be 2 per centum.
(4) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948,
the rate shall be 2 per centum.
(5) With respect to employment after December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per
centum. [28] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf Page CRS-4: “[The 1939 amendments] Postponed the increase in the tax rate, scheduled for
1940, until 1943. (Subsequent amendments during the 1940s kept postponing the
increase so that it did not take effect until 1950.)“ [29] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 132: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.“
[30] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf {The phrase “at least nine laws” was used because we found nine laws in this
30-page document that raised the tax rate during this time period. However,
other documents indicated law changes that could not be found here. To be on the
safe side, we used the lowest possible number in conjunction with the term “at
least.”} [31] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.“
[32] CALCULATION: 52 weeks/year × 12.4% tax rate = 6.5 weeks per year to pay
Social Security taxes. [33] Web page: “History: The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social Security.”
United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html
[34] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:
a) Web page: “History: The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social Security.”
United
States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html b) Web page: “What is a Dollar Worth?”
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis,
October 29, 2008. http://www.minneapolisfed.org/ {On the right hand side of the web page is a consumer price index based
calculator that allows you to inflation adjust a dollar amount from the past
into today’s dollars.} CALCULATION: 6% of $3,000 = $180. {The tax rate of 6% is used because this was
the total tax levied (employer plus employee) at that time. Figure adjusted for
inflation using http://www.minneapolisfed.org/.
on October 29, 2008: $180 in 1949
was worth $1,630.59.} [35] Calculation performed with data from “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board
of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability
Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds,
March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.“ [In 2007, the wage threshold was $97,500 and the tax rate was 12.4% (employer
plus employee).] CALCULATION: $97,500 x 12.4% = $12,090
[36] Calculations performed with data from:
a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations. In 2007, net contributions accounted for 84 percent [$656.1 billion] of total
trust fund income. Net contributions consist of taxes paid by employees,
employers and the self-employed on earnings covered by Social Security. b) Report: “2007 Financial Report of the U.S. Government.”
United States
Department of the Treasury. December 10, 2007.
http://www.gao.gov/financial/fy2007/07frusg.pdf Page 3: “Table 1: The Nation by the Numbers – An Overview.“
| Year |
Total Taxes and Other
Revenues (in billions) |
| 2005 |
$2,185.5 |
| 2006 |
$2,440.8 |
| 2007 |
$2,627.3 |
CALCULATION: 656,100,000,000 / 2,627,300,000,000 = 24.97%
[37] Web page: “Barack Obama’s Plan.”
Obama for America. Accessed October 29,
2008 at
http://www.barackobama.com/issues/socialsecurity/#retirement-savings As part of a bipartisan plan that would be phased in over many years, he would
ask those making over $250,000 to contribute a bit more to Social Security to
keep it sound. … Obama does not support uncapping the full payroll tax of 12.4 percent rate.
Instead, he is considering plans that would ask those making over $250,000 to
pay in the range of 2 to 4 percent more in total (combined employer and
employee). [38] Article: “McCain: No New Taxes (Redux).” By Michael Cooper.
New York Times,
July 30, 2008.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/07/30/mccain-no-new-taxes-redux/ “I want to look you in the eye: I will not raise your taxes nor support a tax
increase,” [McCain] said here Wednesday at a town-hall-style meeting at the
Wagner Company, a Caterpillar dealer. “I will not do it.”
… Mr. McCain said. “I am opposed to raising taxes on Social Security.”
[39] Press release: “ATR Commends McCain’s Anti-Tax Vows.”
Americans for Tax
Reform, August 4, 2008.
http://www.atr.org/content/pdf/2008/August/080108pr_... {This document contains a compilation of statements, interviews and videos
whereby John McCain states his opposition to new taxes and tax increases.}
[40] Web page: “Your Social Security Statement.”
United States Social Security
Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf Page 4: “To qualify for benefits, you earn “credits” through your work — up to four each
year. This year, for example, you earn one credit for each $1,000 of wages or
self-employment income. When you’ve earned $4,000, you’ve earned your four
credits for the year. Most people need 40 credits, earned over their working
lifetime, to receive retirement benefits.“ {The Social Security administration is required by law to send statements to
workers once a year outlining their projected benefits.}
[41] Publication number 05-10070: “Your Retirement Benefit: How it is Figured.”
United States Social Security Administration, January 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10070.html Many people wonder how their benefit is figured. Social Security benefits are
based on your lifetime earnings. Your actual earnings are adjusted or “indexed”
to account for changes in average wages since the year the earnings were
received. Then Social Security calculates your average indexed monthly earnings
during the 35 years in which you earned the most. We apply a formula to these
earnings and arrive at your basic benefit, or “primary insurance amount” (PIA).
This is how much you would receive at your full retirement age—65 or older,
depending on your date of birth. NOTE: All worker earnings are taxed (up to a threshold amount that changes
yearly) at the same rate, therefore there is a direct correlation between
average earnings and Social Security taxes paid. [42] Web page: “Online Calculator.”
United States Social Security
Administration. Updated May 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/AnypiaApplet.html
[43] Web page: “Automatic Increases: Primary Insurance Amount.”
Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or
modified March 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/COLA/piaformula.html
PIA definition The “primary insurance amount” (PIA) is the benefit (before rounding down to
next lower whole dollar) a person would receive if he/she elects to begin
receiving retirement benefits at his/her normal retirement age. At this age, the
benefit is neither reduced for early retirement nor increased for delayed
retirement. PIA formula bend points The PIA is the sum of three separate percentages of portions of average indexed
monthly earnings. The portions depend on the year in which a worker attains age
62, becomes disabled before age 62, or dies before attaining age 62.
For 2008 these portions are the first $711, the amount between $711 and $4,288,
and the amount over $4,288. These dollar amounts are the “bend points” of the
2008 PIA formula. A table shows bend points, for years beginning with 1979, for
both the PIA and maximum family benefit formulas.
PIA formula For an individual who first becomes eligible for old-age insurance benefits or
disability insurance benefits in 2008, or who dies in 2008 before becoming
eligible for benefits, his/her PIA will be the sum of: (a) 90 percent of the first $711 of his/her average indexed monthly earnings,
plus
(b) 32 percent of his/her average indexed monthly earnings over $711 and through
$4,288, plus
(c) 15 percent of his/her average indexed monthly earnings over $4,288. NOTE: The above PIA formula weights lower average earnings more so than greater
earnings on a percentage basis. See next note for more information.
[44] Constructed with data from:
a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.— Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution
Rates.“ [Employers and employees pay a tax of 6.2% each for a total Social Security tax
of 12.4%.] b) Web page: “Social Security Administration’s Online Calculator.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Updated May 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/AnypiaApplet.html On August 27, 2008, the following data was entered into the Online Calculator:
- An individual born August 28, 1987. - First year of work is 2008 (works the full year). - Retirement date of August 28, 2054 (67 years old). - Projected benefits to be quoted in today’s (2008) dollars. Keeping the above data constant, the following yearly income data was entered
into the Online Calculator and the resulting benefits were recorded and ratios
calculated. Yearly taxes are calculated at 12.4% of yearly income:
| Yearly Income |
Yearly Taxes Paid |
Yearly Benefit
at Retirement |
Ratio of Yearly Benefits
to Yearly Tax |
| $25,000 |
$3,100 |
$12,936 |
417% |
| $30,000 |
$3,720 |
$14,544 |
391% |
| $35,000 |
$4,340 |
$16,140 |
372% |
| $40,000 |
$4,960 |
$17,736 |
358% |
| $45,000 |
$5,580 |
$19,344 |
347% |
| $50,000 |
$6,200 |
$20,940 |
338% |
| $55,000 |
$6,820 |
$21,936 |
322% |
| $60,000 |
$7,440 |
$22,692 |
305% |
| $65,000 |
$8,060 |
$23,436 |
291% |
| $70,000 |
$8,680 |
$24,192 |
279% |
| $75,000 |
$9,300 |
$24,936 |
268% |
| $80,000 |
$9,920 |
$25,692 |
259% |
| $85,000 |
$10,540 |
$26,436 |
251% |
| $90,000 |
$11,160 |
$27,192 |
244% |
| $95,000 |
$11,780 |
$27,936 |
237% |
| $100,000 |
$12,400 |
$28,692 |
231% |
[45] Web page: “Cost of Living Adjustments.”
United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified October 16, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/colaseries.html
[46] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html For those born before 1938, the full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 65 years old.
For those born between 1938 and 1959, the full retirement age to qualify for
Social Security benefits is defined by the following chart:
| Year of Birth |
Full Retirement Age |
| 1938 |
65 and 2 months |
| 1939 |
65 and 4 months |
| 1940 |
65 and 6 months |
| 1941 |
65 and 8 months |
| 1942 |
65 and 10 months |
| 1943 – 1954 |
66 |
| 1955 |
66 and 2 months |
| 1956 |
66 and 4 months |
| 1957 |
66 and 6 months |
| 1958 |
66 and 8 months |
| 1959 |
66 and 10 months |
For those born after 1959, the full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 67 years old.
[47] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the
Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html You may start receiving benefits as early as age 62. However, if you start your
benefits early, your benefits are reduced permanently. Your benefit is reduced
about one-half of one percent for each month you start your Social Security
before your full retirement age. For example, if your full retirement age is 66
and you sign up for Social Security when you are 62, you would only get 75
percent of your full benefit. NOTE: The reduction will be greater in future years as the full retirement age
increases. [48] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html If you choose to delay receiving benefits beyond your full retirement age, your
benefit will be increased by a certain percentage, depending on the year you
were born. The increase will be added in automatically from the time you reach
full retirement age until you start taking benefits or reach age 70, whichever
comes first. If, for example, you were born in 1940, your benefit would increase
7 percent for each year, between your full retirement age and age 70, that you
do not get retirement benefits. [49] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html [Family members include a spouse, children under the age of 19, and adult
children who are disabled. Each family member may be eligible for benefits equal
to 50% of the worker’s benefit, but there is a limit on the amount of benefits
that a single family can receive.]
[50] Publication No. 21-059: “Social Security: A Brief History.”
United States
Social Security Administration, october 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf Page 5: “Under the 1935 law, monthly benefits were to start in 1942. From 1937 until
1942, Social Security was to pay benefits to retirees in the form of a single,
lump-sum refund payment.“ [51] Publication No. 21-059: “Social Security: A Brief History.”
United States
Social Security Administration, October 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf Page 5:
Under the 1935 law, monthly benefits were to start in 1942. From 1937 until
1942, Social Security was to pay benefits to retirees in the form of a single,
lump-sum refund payment. The earliest reported applicant for a lump-sum refund
was a retired Cleveland motorman named Ernest Ackerman, who retired one day
after the Social Security program began. During his one day of participation in
the program, a nickel was withheld from Mr. Ackerman’s pay for Social Security,
and, upon retiring, he received a lump-sum payment of 17 cents.
[52] Web page: “Your Social Security Statement.”
United States Social Security
Administration, May 27, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf
[53] “Social Security Administration Fiscal Year 2007 Performance and
Accountability Report.” United States Social Security Administration, November
7, 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/finance/2007/Overview_of_SSA.pdf Page 8: “As shown in the chart Percent of Elderly Beneficiary Income from Social Security
Benefits, Social Security benefits comprise at least 90% of total income for
one-third of the elderly beneficiaries. For nearly two-thirds of elderly
beneficiaries, it is their major source (50-100 percent of their income).“ NOTE: The chart referenced above shows the following: 37% of beneficiaries - Social Security benefits are less than 50% of income.
31% of beneficiaries - Social Security benefits are 50-89% of income. 32% of beneficiaries - Social Security benefits are 90-100% of income Chart data source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey, March 2007.
[54] Calculation performed with data from:
News Release: “Personal Income and Outlays.”
Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.
Department of Commerce, May 2008
http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/pi/2008/pdf/pi0508.pdf Page 8: “Table 2. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Years and Quarters).“ {This table contains a U.S. personal savings amount and a population figure.} CALCULATION: Personal saving in 2007 ($47.8B) divided by total U.S. population
(302,087,000) = $158.23 [55] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html [The average 2008 monthly Social Security benefit for an individual is
$1,079/month, or $12,948/year.] [56] Web page: “The 2008 HHS Poverty Guidelines.”
United States Department of
Health and Human Services. Last updated January 23, 2008. http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/08poverty.shtml [The poverty level for a single person is $10,400 in 2008.]
[57] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html [The average 2008 monthly Social Security benefits for a couple is $1,761/month,
or $21,132/year.] [58] Web page: “The 2008 HHS Poverty Guidelines.”
United States Department
of Health and Human Services. Last updated January 23, 2008. http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/08poverty.shtml [The poverty level for two people is $14,000 in 2008.]
[59] Web page: “History: The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social Security.”
United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html “The checks will come to you as a right. You will get them regardless of the
amount of property or income you may have. They are what the law calls “Old-Age
Benefits” under the Social Security Act.“ [60] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html “You will have to pay taxes on your benefits if you file a federal tax return as
an “individual” and your total income is more than $25,000. If you file a joint
return, you will have to pay taxes if you and your spouse have a total income
that is more than $32,000. For more information call the Internal Revenue
Service’s toll-free number, 1-800-829-3676.“ [61] Publication No. 915: “Social Security and Equivalent Railroad Retirement
Benefits.” Internal Revenue Service, United States Department of the Treasury,
2007. http://www.irs.gov/publications/p915/ar02.html#d0e257
Are Any of Your Benefits Taxable? To find out whether any of your benefits may be taxable, compare the base amount
(explained later) for your filing status with the total of: 1. One-half of your benefits, plus 2. All your other income, including tax-exempt interest. …
How Much Is Taxable?
If part of your benefits are taxable, how much is taxable depends on the total
amount of your benefits and other income. Generally, the higher that total
amount, the greater the taxable part of your benefits.
Maximum taxable part. Generally, up to 50% of your benefits will be taxable.
[62] Publication No. 915: “Social Security and Equivalent Railroad Retirement
Benefits.” Internal Revenue Service, United States Department of the Treasury,
2007. http://www.irs.gov/publications/p915/ar02.html#d0e257 Are Any of Your Benefits Taxable? To find out whether any of your benefits may be taxable, compare the base amount
(explained later) for your filing status with the total of: 1. One-half of your benefits, plus 2. All your other income, including tax-exempt interest. … Maximum taxable part. Generally, up to 50% of your benefits will be taxable.
However, up to 85% of your benefits can be taxable if either of the following
situations applies to you. • The total of one-half of your benefits and all your other income is more than
$34,000 ($44,000 if you are married filing jointly). • You are married filing separately and lived with your spouse at any time
during 2007. [63] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 56: “In contrast, the projected income from taxation of benefits, expressed as a
percentage of taxable payroll, is expected to generally increase throughout the
long-range period. This is because increasing income from taxation of benefits
reflects not only rising benefit and income levels, but also the fact that
benefit-taxation threshold amounts are not indexed.“ [64] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability Benefits.”
United States Social
Security Administration, June 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf Pages 5-7:
|
Rules for work needed for the “recent work” test |
| In or before the quarter you turn 24. |
1.5 years of work during the three-year period ending with the quarter your disability began. |
| In the quarter after you turn age 24 but before the quarter you turn 31. |
Work during half the time for the period beginning with the quarter after you turned 21 and ending with the quarter you became disabled. Example: If you become disabled in the quarter you turned age 27, then you would need 3 years of work out of the six-year period ending with the quarter you became disabled. |
| In the quarter you turn age 31 or later. |
Work during five years out of the ten-year period ending with the quarter your disability began. |
| Examples of work needed for the “duration of work” test |
| If you become disabled… |
Then you generally need: |
| Before age 28 |
1.5 years of work |
| Age 30 |
2 years |
| Age 34 |
3 years |
| Age 38 |
4 years |
| Age 42 |
5 years |
| Age 44 |
5.5 years |
| Age 46 |
6 years |
| Age 48 |
6.5 years |
| Age 50 |
7 years |
| Age 52 |
7.5 years |
| Age 54 |
8 years |
| Age 56 |
8.5 years |
| Age 58 |
9 years |
| Age 60 |
9.5 years |
[65] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability Benefits.”
United States Social
Security Administration, June 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf Page 12: “When do my benefits start? If your application is approved, your first Social
Security disability benefits will be paid for the sixth full month after the
date your disability began.“ [66] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability Benefits.”
United States Social
Security Administration, June 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf Page 13: “How much will my benefits be? The amount of your monthly disability benefit is
based on your average lifetime earnings. The Social Security Statement that you
receive each year displays your lifetime earnings and provides an estimate of
your disability benefit.“ [67] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 102: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index, Contribution
and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, 1975-2017.“
[68] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html When you start receiving Social Security retirement or disability benefits,
other family members also may be eligible for payments. For example, benefits
can be paid to your husband or wife: • If he or she is age 62 or older; or
• At any age if he or she is caring for your child (the child must be younger
than 16 or disabled and entitled to Social Security benefits on your record). Benefits also can be paid to your unmarried children if they are: • Younger than 18;
• Between 18 and 19 years old, but in elementary or secondary school as
full-time students; or
• Age 18 or older and severely disabled (the disability must have started before
age 22).
If you become the parent of a child (including an adopted child) after you begin
receiving benefits, let us know about the child, so we can decide if the child
is eligible for benefits. How much can family members get? Each family member may be eligible for a monthly benefit that is up to half of
your retirement or disability benefit amount. However, there is a limit to the
total amount of money that can be paid to you and your family. The limit varies,
but is generally equal to about 150 to 180 percent of your retirement or
disability benefit. [69] Table constructed with data from: “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28,
2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 29: “Table III.A5.—Distribution of Benefit Payments by Type of Beneficiary or
Payment, Calendar Years 2006 and 2007.“ NOTE: “Percent of Total” column does not necessarily add up to 100% due to the
exclusion of categories representing minor amounts. [70] “Your Social Security Statement.”
United States Social Security
Administration, 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf
[71] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 131: “The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established on
January 1, 1940 as a separate account in the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August 1, 1956. All the financial operations
of the OASI and DI programs are handled through these respective funds.“
[72] Web page: “Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Trust Funds,
1957-2007.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration. Updated June 10, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html
[73] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.”
United
States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html “By law, income to the trust funds must be invested, on a daily basis, in
securities guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the Federal
government.“ [74] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?”
Bureau of the
Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4,
2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_... “Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest
accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to
the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then
become part of the total debt.“ [75] United States Code Title 3, Chapter 31, Section 3123: “Payment of
obligations and interest on the public debt.”
http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/31/3123.html “The faith of the United States Government is pledged to pay, in legal tender,
principal and interest on the obligations of the Government issued under this
chapter.“ [76] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Table II.B1.—Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.“ [Social Security Trust Fund assets at the end of 2007 were
$2,238.5 billion.] [77] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 53: “Beginning in 2017, the [Social Security] program under the intermediate
assumptions is projected to experience increasingly large cash-flow shortfalls….“
[78] Web page: “Table VI.F7-Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds
in Constant 2008 Dollars, Calendar Years 2008-85.” United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f7.html NOTE: This table projects the assets of the Trust Funds at the end of each year
and shows assets at the end of 2017 as $3.51 trillion. Though there is not a
surplus projected beyond 2017, the Trust Fund assets are projected to grow into
2021 due to interest income. This same table is present in the 2008 Social
Security Trustees Report, but does not contain all data for outer years.
[79] As shown by the following four sources, the $3.5 trillion Social Security
Trust Fund projected for 2017 will have been loaned to the federal government
which is required to pay it back with interest:
a) Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to invest such portion of
the amounts credited to the Account as is not, in his judgment, required to meet
current withdrawals. Such investment may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both
principal and interest by the United States.“ b) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest-bearing
Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in
the trust funds.“ c) Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?”
Bureau of the Public
Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4, 2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_... “Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest
accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to
the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then
become part of the total debt.“ d) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 24: “All securities held by the trust funds are backed by the full faith and credit
of the United States Government, as required by law.“ [80] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:
a) Web page: “Table VI.F7-Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in
Constant 2008 Dollars, Calendar Years 2008-85.” United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f7.html {Trust Fund assets are projected to be $3.51 trillion in 2017. By law, these
monies would have been loaned to the federal government.} b) Web page: “Table V.A2.-Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and
Dependency Ratios Calendar Years 1950-2085.” United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr5a2.html [Total population is projected to be 336,772,000 in 2017.] CALCULATION: $3,510,000,000,000 / 336,772,000 = $10,422 per person.
[81] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income starting in 2017, at which time the annual
gap will be covered with cash from redemptions of special obligations of the
Treasury that make up the trust fund assets until these assets are exhausted in
2041.“ [82] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 18: “Based on the Trustees’ best estimate, program cost will exceed tax
revenues starting in 2017 and throughout the remainder of the 75-year projection
period. Social Security’s combined trust funds are projected to allow full
payment of scheduled benefits until they become exhausted in 2041. At that time
annual tax income to the trust funds is projected to equal about 78 percent of
program costs.“ [83] Calculations performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 18: “For example, payroll taxes could be raised to finance scheduled benefits fully
in every year starting in 2041. In this case, the payroll tax would be increased
to 15.94 percent at the point of trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and continue
rising to 16.60 percent in 2082.“ CALCULATIONS:
(15.94-12.4) / 12.4 = 0.28 (16.60-12.4) / 12.4 = 0.34
[84] Calculations performed with data from: Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report Intermediate
Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration, October 16, 2008.
| Year |
Income
(excluding interest) |
Scheduled Benefits |
| 2041 |
3,085,670 |
3,898,638 |
| 2082 |
18,023,648 |
23,739,110 |
CALCULATIONS:
2041: (3,898,638 - 3,085,670) / 3,898,638 = .21 2082: (23,739,110 - 18,023,648) / 23,739,110 = .24
[85] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 59: “The present value of future cost less future tax income over the
long-range period, minus the amount of trust fund assets at the beginning of the
projection period, amounts to $4.3 trillion for the [Social Security] program.
This amount is referred to as the 75-year ’open group unfunded obligation’.“
[86] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 208 [appendix]: “Open group unfunded obligation. This measure is computed as the excess of the
present value of the projected cost of the program over a specified time period
(for example the next 75 years or the infinite future) over the sum of (1) the
value of trust fund assets at the beginning of the period and (2) the present
value of the projected tax income of the program, assuming scheduled tax rates
and benefit levels.“ [87] Report: “Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds and the Federal Budget.”
By James Duggan and Christopher Soares. Office of Economic Policy, U.S.
Department of Treasury, March 2008.
http://www.treas.gov/offices/economic-policy/reports/... Page 16:
Present values recognize that a dollar next year is worth less than a dollar
today, because a dollar today could be saved and earn a year’s-worth of
interest. To create a present value, future amounts are thus reduced using an
assumed interest rate, and those reduced amounts are summed. The resulting
present value is the amount that would have to be put in the bank today at the
assumed interest rate to fund the future cash flows. … For [Social Security], over the next seventy-five years revenues from payroll
and benefit taxes are estimated at $36.4 trillion in present value and
expenditures to the public at $42.9 trillion in present value, resulting in net
obligations of $6.6 trillion. From the trust fund perspective, the net
obligation is reduced by the $2.2 trillion trust fund for an unfunded obligation
of $4.3 trillion. [88] Calculation performed with data from: “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Table II.B1. Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.“ CALCULATION: Shortfall of $4,300,000,000,000 / Total 2007 Social Security income
$784,900,000,000 = 5.4784 [89] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 11: “The balance of the combined trust funds peaks at $2.7 trillion in 2017 (in
present value) and then turns downward. This cumulative amount continues to be
positive, indicating trust fund assets, or reserves, through 2040. However,
after 2040 this cumulative amount becomes negative, indicating a net unfunded
obligation. Through the end of 2082, the combined funds have a present-value
unfunded obligation of $4.3 trillion.” Pages 50-51:
Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due. [The number of covered workers (those paying Social Security taxes) in 2007 was
163,177,000.] CALCULATION: $4,300,000,000,000 / 164,421,000 = $26,152
[90] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:
a) Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report
Intermediate Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social
Security Administration, October 16, 2008. The Social Security
Trust Fund end of year assets are projected
to be -$277,143,351,000,000 in 2082. b) Web page: “Selected Economic Variables: Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic
Variables Calendar Years 2007-85.” United States Social Security Administration.
Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f6.html [The adjusted CPI (consumer price index) from this table is 769.36 for 2082.]
CALCULATION: -277.1 trillion (2082 $) (769.36/100) = -36.0 trillion (2008 $)
[91] Calculation performed with data from the source above and the following
source:
Web page: “Table IV.B2.-Covered Workers and Beneficiaries Calendar Years
1945-2085.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or
modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html [The number of covered workers (those paying Social Security taxes) in 2082 is
projected to be 234,346,000.] CALCULATION: $36,000,000,000,000 / 234,346,000 = $153,619
[92] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 61: “However, there are limitations on what can be conveyed using summarized measures
alone. For example, overemphasis on summary measures (such as the actuarial
balance and open group unfunded obligation) for the 75-year period can lead to
incorrect perceptions and policies that fail to address financial sustainability
for the more distant future.“ [93] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 61:
Another limitation is that continued, and possibly increasing, annual shortfalls
after the period are not reflected in the 75-year summarized measures. In order
to address this limitation, this section presents estimates of unfunded
obligations that extend to the infinite horizon. The extension assumes that the
current-law [Social Security] program and the demographic and most economic
trends used for the 75-year projection continue indefinitely. The one exception
is that the ultimate assumed real-wage differential for the long-range period of
1.1 percent is increased to 1.2 percent, phased in over the 10-year period 2083
to 2092. This change essentially maintains consistency with the assumed
reduction in the growth of health care expenditures after 2082. (See the
Medicare Trustees Report.) The values in table IV.B6 indicate that extending the
calculations beyond 2082 adds $9.3 ($13.6 - $4.3) trillion in present value to
the amount of the unfunded obligation estimated through 2082. That is, over the
infinite horizon, the [Social Security] open group unfunded obligation is
projected to be $13.6 trillion. The $9.3 trillion increment reflects a
significant financing gap projected for [Social Security] over the infinite
future period after 2082. Of course, the degree of uncertainty associated with
estimates beyond 2082 is substantial. [94] Report: “Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds and the Federal Budget.”
By James Duggan and Christopher Soares. Office of Economic Policy, U.S.
Department of Treasury, March 2008.
http://www.treas.gov/offices/economic-policy/reports/... Page 16: “Present values recognize that a dollar next year is worth less than a
dollar today, because a dollar today could be saved and earn a year’s-worth of
interest. To create a present value, future amounts are thus reduced using an
assumed interest rate, and those reduced amounts are summed. The resulting
present value is the amount that would have to be put in the bank today at the
assumed interest rate to fund the future cash flows.“ [95] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 50: “Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085.“ [The number of covered workers (those paying Social Security taxes) for 2007 was
163,177,000.] Page 61: “That is, over the infinite horizon, the [Social Security] open group unfunded
obligation is projected to be $13.6 trillion.“ CALCULATION: $13,600,000,000,000 / 163,177,000 = $83,345
[96] Report: “The 2004 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board
of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 23, 2004.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR04/tr04.pdf Page 59: “Table IV.B7.—Unfunded OASDI [Social Security] Obligations for 1935 (Program
Inception) Through the Infinite Horizon.“ [97] House editorial: “The Social Security Fear Factor.”
New York Times,
January 3, 2005.
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/01/03/opinion/03mon1.html?... If you’ve lent even one ear to the administration’s recent comments on Social
Security, you have no doubt heard President Bush and his aides asserting that a
$10 trillion shortfall threatens the retirement system - and the economy itself.
That $10 trillion hole is the basis of the president’s claim last month that
“the [Social Security] crisis is now.” It’s also the basis of the
administration’s claim that the cost of doing nothing to reform the system would
be far greater than the cost of acting now. … Over a 75-year time frame, Social Security’s shortfall is estimated by the
Congressional Budget Office at $2 trillion and by the Social Security trustees
at $3.7 trillion, a manageable sliver of the economy in each case.
[98] Report: “The 2004 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal
Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board
of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 23, 2004.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR04/tr04.pdf Page 56: “The present value of future cost less future tax income over the
long-range period, minus the amount of trust fund assets at the beginning of the
projection period, amounts to $3.7 trillion. This amount is referred to as the
75-year ’open group unfunded obligation’.“ [99] Report: “Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds and the Federal Budget.”
By James Duggan and Christopher Soares. Office of Economic Policy, U.S.
Department of Treasury, March 2008.
http://www.treas.gov/offices/economic-policy/reports/... Page 16: “Present values recognize that a dollar next year is worth less than a dollar
today, because a dollar today could be saved and earn a year’s-worth of
interest. To create a present value, future amounts are thus reduced using an
assumed interest rate, and those reduced amounts are summed. The resulting
present value is the amount that would have to be put in the bank today at the
assumed interest rate to fund the future cash flows.“
[100] Report: “Dow Jones Industrial Average History.”
Dow Jones & Co., Inc.
Updated September 22, 2008.
http://www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/downloads/DJIA_Hist_Comp.pdf Page 20 [The thirty companies comprising the Dow Jones Industrial Average as of
September 22, 2008]: 3M Company, Alcoa Incorporated, American Express Company, AT&T Incorporated,
Bank of America Corporation, Boeing Corporation, Caterpillar Incorporated,
Chevron Corporation, Citigroup Incorporated, Coca-Cola Company, DuPont, Exxon
Mobil Corporation, General Electric Company, General Motors Corporation,
Hewlett-Packard Company, Home Depot Incorporated, Intel Corporation,
International Business Machines, Johnson & Johnson, J.P. Morgan Chase & Company,
Kraft Foods Inc., McDonald’s Corporation, Merck & Company, Incorporated,
Microsoft Corporation, Pfizer Incorporated, Procter & Gamble Company, United
Technologies, Verizon Company, Wal-Mart Stores Incorporated, Walt Disney Company
[101] Calculation performed with data from:
Web page: “Marketwatch stock quotes.”
Marketwatch, Inc, September 29, 2008.
http://www.marketwatch.com/quotes/ [Market capitalization values (in billions USD) for the thirty Dow Jones
Industrial Average stocks (symbol) between 3PM and 4PM EST on September 29,
2008]: 3M Company (MMM): 46.52, Alcoa Incorporated (AA): 17.37, American Express
Company (AXP): 39.88, AT&T Incorporated (T): 167.76, Bank of America Corporation
(BAC): 146.96, Boeing Corporation (BA): 39.51, Caterpillar Incorporated (CAT):
35.91, Chevron Corporation (CVX): 164.75, Citigroup Incorporated (C): 103.30,
Coca-Cola Company (KO): 119.41, DuPont (DD): 36.03, Exxon Mobil Corporation
(XOM): 395.63, General Electric Company (GE): 237.86, General Motors Corporation
(GM): 5.08, Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ): 109.21, Home Depot Incorporated (HD):
41.60, Intel Corporation (INTC): 100.32, International Business Machines (IBM):
153.44, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): 189.16, J.P. Morgan Chase & Company (JPM):
147.82, Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT): 48.73, McDonald’s Corporation (MCD): 68.07,
Merck & Company, Incorporated (MRK): 66.12, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT):
235.20, Pfizer Incorporated (PFE): 119.59, Procter & Gamble Company (PG):
203.43, United Technologies (UTX): 54.57, Verizon Company (VZ): 87.03, Wal-Mart
Stores Incorporated (WMT): 231.55, Walt Disney Company (DIS): 55.75.
CALCULATION: Sum of all thirty companies’ market capitalization: $3,411.81
billion. [102] Calculation performed with data from: “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 50: “Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085.“ b) “The 2004 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 23, 2004.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR04/tr04.pdf Page 59: “Table IV.B7.—Unfunded OASDI [Social Security] Obligations for 1935 (Program
Inception) Through the Infinite Horizon.“ CALCULATION: $3,700,000,000,000 (75-year unfunded liability in 2004 present
value terms) / 156,250,000 (the number of covered workers who paid Social
Security taxes in 2004) = $23,680 [103] The 2001 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 19, 2001.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR01/tr01.pdf Page 39: “Table IV.A3.—Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Years
1996-2010.“ [End of year assets for 2007 listed as $2,536.1 billion.]
[104] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Table II.B1.—Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.“ [Actual assets at the end of 2007 were $2,238.5 billion.]
[105] Report: “Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars: Intermediate
Assumptions 2001 Trustees Report.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States
Social Security Administration, February 13, 2001. [In 2001, Social Security projected end of year assets to be $37.38 trillion
(converted to 2008 dollars).] [106] Web page: “Selected Economic Variables: Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic
Variables, Calendar Years 2000-75, Intermediate Cost Assumptions.” United States
Social Security Administration, 2001.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR01/lr6E7-2.html {The adjusted CPI from this table was used to convert the yearly balance amounts
from current year dollars into 2008 dollars.} [107] Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report
Intermediate Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social
Security Administration, October 16, 2008. [End of year assets for 2075 quoted in 2008 dollars is projected to be $25.06
trillion.] [108] Web page: “Selected Economic Variables: Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic
Variables Calendar Years 2007-85.” United States Social Security Administration.
Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f6.html {The adjusted CPI rate from this table was used to convert the yearly balance
amounts from current year dollars into 2008 dollars.}
[109] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:
a) Report: “Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars: Intermediate Assumptions
2001 Trustees Report.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social
Security Administration, February 13, 2001. [In 2001, Social Security projected end of year assets to be $37.38 trillion
(converted to 2008 dollars).] b) Web page: “Selected Economic Variables: Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic
Variables, Calendar Years 2000-75, Intermediate Cost Assumptions.” United States
Social Security Administration, 2001.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR01/lr6E7-2.html {The adjusted CPI from this table was used to convert the yearly balance amounts
from current year dollars into 2008 dollars.} c) “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report Intermediate
Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration, October 16, 2008. [End of year assets for 2075 quoted in 2008 dollars was projected to be $25.06
trillion.] d) Web page: “Selected Economic Variables: Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic
Variables Calendar Years 2007-85.” United States Social Security Administration.
Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f6.html {The adjusted CPI rate from this table was used to convert the yearly balance
amounts from current year dollars into 2008 dollars.} CALCULATION: ($37.38 trillion - $25.06 trillion) / $37.38 trillion = 32.96%
[110] Calculation performed with data from: “Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars: Intermediate Assumptions 2001
Trustees Report.” Office of the Chief Actuary, Unites States Social Security
Administration, February 13, 2001. [In 2001, Social Security projected 2041 income excluding interest to be $3.528
trillion and payroll taxes to be $3.323 trillion. Total Social Security program
outgo was projected to be $4.755 trillion in 2041.] CALCULATION: (4.755 – 3.528) / 3.323 = 36.9%
[111] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 18: “For example, payroll taxes could be raised to finance scheduled benefits fully
in every year starting in 2041. In this case, the payroll tax would be increased
to 15.94 percent at the point of trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and continue
rising to 16.60 percent in 2082.“ Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.— Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution
Rates.“ [Tax rate from 1990 through 2008 is 12.4%.] CALCULATION: (15.94-12.4) / 12.4 = 28%
[112] Calculation performed with data from:
Report: “Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars: Intermediate Assumptions 2001
Trustees Report.” Office of the Chief Actuary, Unites States Social Security
Administration, February 13, 2001. [In 2001, Social Security projected 2075 income excluding interest to be $16.19
trillion and payroll taxes to be $15.049 trillion. Total Social Security program
outgo was projected to be $23.592 trillion in 2075.] CALCULATION: (23.592 – 16.19) / 15.049 = 49.18%
[113] Calculation performed with data from:
Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report Intermediate
Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration, October 16, 2008. [In 2008, Social Security projected 2075 income excluding interest to be $13.36
trillion and payroll taxes to be $12.479 trillion. Total Social Security program
outgo was projected to be $17.333 trillion in 2075.] CALCULATION: (17.333 – 13.36) / 12.479 = 31.8%
[114] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 12-13:
Overemphasis on summary measures for a 75-year period can lead to incorrect
perceptions and to policy prescriptions that do not achieve sustainable
solvency. Thus, careful consideration of the trends in annual deficits and
unfunded obligations toward the end of the 75-year period is important. In
addition, summary measures for a time period that extends to the infinite
horizon are included in this report. These measures provide an additional
indication of Social Security’s very long-run financial condition, but are
subject to much greater uncertainty. These calculations show that extending the
horizon beyond 75 years increases the unfunded obligation. Over the infinite
horizon, the shortfall (unfunded obligation) is $13.6 trillion in present value,
or 3.2 percent of future taxable payroll and 1.1 percent of future GDP. These
calculations of the shortfall indicate that much larger changes may be required
to achieve solvency beyond the 75-year period as compared to changes needed to
balance 75-year period summary measures. [115] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 50-51:
Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due.
[116] Web page: “In-Depth Research: Legislative History. Summary of P.L. 98-21,
(H.R. 1900), Social Security Amendments of 1983- Signed on April 20, 1983.” The Social Security Administration’s Office of Legislative and Congressional
Affairs, November 26, 1984. http://www.ssa.gov/history/1983amend.html “Raises the age of eligibility for unreduced retirement benefits in two stages to
67 by the year 2027. Workers born in 1938 will be the first group affected by
the gradual increase.“ [117] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html For those born before 1938, the full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 65 years old.
For those born between 1938 and 1959, the full retirement age to qualify for
Social Security benefits is defined by the following chart:
| Year of Birth |
Full Retirement Age |
| 1938 |
65 and 2 months |
| 1939 |
65 and 4 months |
| 1940 |
65 and 6 months |
| 1941 |
65 and 8 months |
| 1942 |
65 and 10 months |
| 1943 – 1954 |
66 |
| 1955 |
66 and 2 months |
| 1956 |
66 and 4 months |
| 1957 |
66 and 6 months |
| 1958 |
66 and 8 months |
| 1959 |
66 and 10 months |
For those born after 1959, the full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 67 years old.
[118] Publication No. 21-059: “Social Security: A Brief History.”
United States
Social Security Administration, October 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf Page 21: “[On January 31, 1940] Ida May Fuller became the first person to receive an
old-age monthly benefit check.“ [119] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 85: “Table V.A3.—Period Life Expectancy.“ {Data from 2004 is used because it is the latest year available in this table
that is not an estimate. Footnote 1 on Table V.A3 states: “The period life
expectancy at a given age for a given year represents the average number of
years of life remaining if a group of persons at that age were to experience the
mortality rates for that year over the course of their remaining lives.”}
[120] Publication No. 21-059: “Social Security: A Brief History.”
United States
Social Security Administration, october 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf Page 21: “[On January 31, 1940] Ida May Fuller became the first person to receive an
old-age monthly benefit check.“ [121] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 85: “Table V.A3.—Period Life Expectancy.“ {Data from 2004 is used because it is the latest year available in this table
that is not an estimate. Footnote 1 on Table V.A3 states: “The period life
expectancy at a given age for a given year represents the average number of
years of life remaining if a group of persons at that age were to experience the
mortality rates for that year over the course of their remaining lives.”}
[122] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf {See pages 100 through 107 which explains “automatically adjusted program
parameters” in detail.} [123] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 200: “Baby boom. The period from the end of World War II through the mid-1960s marked
by unusually high birth rates.“ [124] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 80-81: “Table V.A1.—Principal Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2085.“ {2004 is the latest data available that is not an estimate.}
[125] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 80-81: “Table V.A1.—Principal Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2085.“ {2004 is the latest data available that is not an estimate.}
[126] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 49: The primary reason that the estimated [Social Security] cost rate increases
rapidly between 2010 and 2030 is that the number of beneficiaries is projected
to increase more rapidly than the number of covered workers. This occurs because
the relatively large number of persons born during the baby boom will reach
retirement eligibility age, and begin to receive benefits, while the relatively
small number of persons born during the subsequent period of low fertility rates
will comprise the labor force. A comparison of the numbers of covered workers
and beneficiaries is shown in table IV.B2. [127] Calculations performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 50-51: Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due. CALCULATIONS:
a) Covered workers 2030 (projected) 184,974,000 minus covered workers 2010
(projected) 167,817,000 / 167,817,000 = 10.22% b) Old-Age & Survivors Insurance Beneficiaries (OASI) 2030 (projected)
71,547,000 minus OASI beneficiaries 2010 (projected) 43,165,000 / 43,165,000 =
66% [128] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 82-83: “Table V.A2.—Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1950-2085.“ [129] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 124-125: “Table V.C5.—DI Beneficiaries With Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the End
of Calendar Years 1960-2085.“ [130] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 82: “Table V.A2.—Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1950-2085.“ [Population in 1960 = 190,172,000; population in 2005 = 302,863,000.] CALCULATION: (302,863,000 – 190,172,000) / 190,172,000 = 59.26%
[131] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 124: “Table V.C5.—DI Beneficiaries With Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the End
of Calendar Years 1960-2085.“ [Disability insurance beneficiaries in 1960: 687,000; disability insurance
beneficiaries in 2005: 8,309,000.] CALCULATION: (8,309,000 – 687,000) / 687,000 = 1,109.46%
[132] Transcript: “NBC Nightly News” (6:30 PM ET).
NBC,
February 26, 2004. BRIAN WILLIAMS reporting: Inside this small private elementary school in
Manhattan, Mimi Baso came to work this morning thinking about retirement. She
has no plans to retire but these days worries about getting back all the Social
Security money she paid in.
Ms. MIMI BASO: I am entitled to the money. It’s my money. I’ve saved it.
[133] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html The current Social Security system works like this: when you work, you pay taxes
into Social Security. The tax money is used to pay benefits to: • People who already have retired; • People who are disabled; • Survivors of workers who have died; and • Dependents of beneficiaries. The money you pay in taxes is not held in a personal account for you to use when
you get benefits. Your taxes are being used right now to pay people who now are
getting benefits. Any unused money goes to the Social Security trust funds, not
a personal account with your name on it. [134] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 4: “Table II.B1. Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.“ Page 27: “Table III.A3.—Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Year
2007.“ {This table accounts for all receipts and disbursements of the Social Security
Trust Funds. Trust Fund assets increased in 2007 by $190.4 billion. As tables
VI.A5 and VI.A6 show, all of these additional monies were invested in government
obligations.} Page 142: “Table VI.A5. Assets of the OASI [Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] Trust Fund, End
of Calendar Years 2006 and 2007.“ Page 143: “Table VI.A6. Assets of the DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Fund, End of Calendar
Years 2006 and 2007.“ {Note that the total OASDI [Social Security] Trust Fund assets at the close of
2007 ($2,238 trillion) are equivalent to the sum of the OASI [Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance] assets ($2,023 billion and
$214.88 billion respectively) that are invested in government obligations. All
Trust Fund assets are thus invested in government obligations.} Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest-bearing
Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in
the trust funds.“ [135] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United
States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31, 2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to invest such portion of
the amounts credited to the Account as is not, in his judgment, required to meet
current withdrawals. Such investment may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both
principal and interest by the United States.“ [136] Report: “Major Decisions in the House and Senate on Social Security.” By
Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears. Domestic Social Policy Division,
Social Security Administration, March 26, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html {The Social Security Act of 1935 established that assets be invested in
obligations of the United States or guaranteed by the United States. The 2008
Trustees Report shows that this was the case in 2007. The document referenced
here shows that there have not been any major decisions altering this in the
intervening years. Thus, all money paid to Social Security during its
seventy-plus years was either spent or loaned to the federal government.}
[137] Report: Analytical Perspectives: Budget of the United States Government,
Fiscal Year 2000. Executive Office of the President of the United States, U.S.
Government Printing Office, 1999.
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy00/pdf/spec.pdf Page 337:
These balances are available to finance future benefit payments and other trust
fund expenditures—but only in a bookkeeping sense. These funds are not set up to
be pension funds, like the funds of private pension plans. They do not consist
of real economic assets that can be drawn down in the future to fund benefits.
Instead, they are claims on the Treasury that, when redeemed, will have to be
financed by raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or reducing benefits or
other expenditures. The existence of large trust fund balances, therefore, does
not, by itself, have any impact on the Government’s ability to pay benefits.
[138] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Pages 50-51:
Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due.
[139] Constructed with data from:
Web page: “Covered Workers and Beneficiaries: Table IV.B2.-Covered Workers and
Beneficiaries Calendar Year 1945-2085.” United States Social Security
Administration, Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html
[140] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 135: “The Social Security Act does not permit expenditures from the [Old-Age &
Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose
not related to the payment of benefits or administrative costs for the OASDI
[Social Security] program.“ [141] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest-bearing
Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in
the trust funds.“ [142] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?”
Bureau of the
Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4,
2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm “Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest
accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to
the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then
become part of the total debt.“ [143] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United
States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to invest such portion of
the amounts credited to the Account as is not, in his judgment, required to meet
current withdrawals. Such investment may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both
principal and interest by the United States.“ [144] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 24: “All securities held by the trust funds are backed by the full faith and credit
of the United States Government, as required by law.“
[145] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.”
Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30,
2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf {Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance
Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both
of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt
Outstanding.”} [146] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.”
United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3,
2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html “The government has always repaid Social Security, with interest.“
[147] Web page: “Trust Fund Data: Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Funds,
1937-2007.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration, Updated June 10, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a1.html
[148] Web page: “Trust Fund Data: Disability Insurance Trust Fund, 1957-2007.”
Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration.
Updated June 10, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a2.html {This data and the data from the previous footnote account for the assets of the
Social Security Trust Fund since 1937.} [149] Web page: “FAQ’s: Debunking some Internet Myths. Myths and Misinformation
about Social Security.” United States Social Security Administration. Last
reviewed or modified January 14, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/InternetMyths.html Starting in 1969 (due to action by the Johnson Administration in 1968) the
transactions to the Trust Fund were included in what is known as the “unified
budget.” This means that every function of the federal government is included in
a single budget. This is sometimes described by saying that the Social Security
Trust Funds are “on-budget.” This budget treatment of the Social Security Trust
Fund continued until 1990 when the Trust Funds were again taken “off-budget.”
This means only that they are shown as a separate account in the federal budget.
But whether the Trust Funds are “on-budget” or “off-budget” is primarily a
question of accounting practices--it has no affect on the actual operations of
the Trust Fund itself. [150] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income starting in 2017, at which time the annual
gap will be covered with cash from redemptions of special obligations of the
Treasury that make up the trust fund assets until these assets are exhausted in
2041.“ [151] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 59: “The present value of future cost less future tax income over the
long-range period, minus the amount of trust fund assets at the beginning of the
projection period, amounts to $4.3 trillion for the [Social Security] program.
This amount is referred to as the 75-year ’open group unfunded obligation’.“ {The unfunded obligation is the amount that would need to be added to the Social
Security Trust fund today in order to keep it solvent over the 75 year horizon.}
[152] Result of an independent study performed by Just Facts. All data used in
the study was obtained from the United States Social Security Administration.
Our actual
show that the program would have become insolvent in
1977, but because approximations were used in the study, we added an extra 3
years as a margin of safety. The original Social Security Act of 1935 specified
different tax rates that were supposed to become effective at certain points in
time. Over the course of time, the law was changed. Between 1940 and 1962, the
tax rates were lower than the Social Security Act of 1935 originally specified.
Since 1963, the tax rates have been higher than originally specified. This study
accounts for both of these situations. If the study reflected only the extra
taxes paid by the younger generations, the insolvency date would have occurred
years earlier. This study did not account for the extra taxes and expenses that
have resulted from the government adding disability benefits to the Social
Security program. If these numbers were added into the calculation, the
insolvency date would have occurred years earlier. This study did not account
for extra taxes that have resulted from the government increasing the wage
threshold. If these numbers were added into the calculation, the insolvency date
would have occurred years earlier. [153] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 29: “Net administrative expenses charged to the [Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] and
DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Funds in calendar year 2007 totaled $5.5
billion. This amount represented 0.8 percent of contribution income and 0.9
percent of expenditures.“ [154] Calculations performed with data from the previous note and:
Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States Social
Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html [The average 2008 monthly Social Security benefit for retired workers is
$1,079.] CALCULATION: $5,5000,000,000 / $12,948 (average individual retired worker’s
yearly Social Security retirement benefit for 2008) = 424,776
[155] Graph constructed with data from the following sources
(available in spreadsheet format upon request): a) Web page: “Table IV.B2: Covered Workers and Beneficiaries Calendar Years
1945-2085.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html b) Web page: “Trust Fund Data. Old Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance Trust
Funds.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 10, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html c) Web page: “Consumer Price Index 1913-2008.”
The Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis. Accessed on November 10, 2008.
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/community_education/teacher/... {Used to adjust all amounts for inflation.}
[156] Report: “The Social Security Administration’s Procedures to Identify
Representative Payees Who Are Deceased.” Office of the Inspector General, Social
Security Administration, September 1999.
http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/auditpdf/9861009.pdf Pages i-ii: SSA’s procedures do not ensure that new Rep Payees are selected when former Rep
Payees have died. Since SSA does not identify all cases in which a Rep Payee has
died, benefit payments continue to be paid to deceased Rep Payees. Based on our
review, we estimate that 2,091 deceased Rep Payees received $17.33 million in
Old-Age, Survivors and Disability Insurance [Social Security] and Supplemental
Security Income (SSI) payments from the date of the Rep Payee’s death through
June 1998 (the date we began our review). {The explanation of a “Rep Payee” from this report: “Some individuals are not
able to manage or direct the management of their finances because of their age
or mental and/or physical impairments. For such people, Congress provided for
payment to be made through Rep Payees who receive and manage the benefit
payments of the beneficiaries/recipients.”} [157] Report: “Benefit Payments in Instances Where the Social Security
Administration Removed a Death Entry From the Beneficiary’s Record,” United
States Social Security Administration, Office of the Inspector General. June
2008. http://www.ssa.gov/oig/ADOBEPDF/A-06-07-27156.pdf Page 2: In instances when death reports are posted in error, SSA deletes the death entry
from the DMF [death master file] (“resurrect” the record) and, when applicable,
reinstates benefit payments. SSA employees may only process transactions to
resurrect a record when presented with proof the original death entry was posted
in error. Unless the mistake resulted from an administrative error, the
resurrection transaction should not be processed before completion of a
face-to-face interview with the beneficiary or recipient. To validate the
integrity of these transactions, SSA requires that two employees be involved in
the process. SSA also requires that employees document the events leading to and
facts supporting the transaction. Since January 2004, SSA has provided us with electronic files containing updates
made to the DMF, including instances when individual records were removed from
the DMF. Preliminary analysis of these files indicated that, from January 2004
through April 2007, SSA deleted more than 44,000 individuals’ death entries from
the DMF. SSA records indicated 20,623 of these individuals were in current
payment status on or after April 27, 2007 and received approximately $17.2
million in monthly SSA benefit payments. [158] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 131:
The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established on
January 1, 1940 as a separate account in the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August 1, 1956. All the financial operations
of the OASI and DI programs are handled through these respective funds. The
Board of Trustees is responsible for overseeing the financial operations of
these funds. [159] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.”
United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3,
2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html “By law, income to the trust funds must be invested, on a daily basis, in
securities guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the Federal
government. All securities held by the trust funds are ’special issues’ of the
United States Treasury. Such securities are available only to the trust funds.“
[160] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 214: “[Social Security Trust] Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service
benefits, the financial interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in
interest bearing Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is
also deposited in the trust funds.“ [161] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.”
United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3,
2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html “By law, income to the trust funds must be invested, on a daily basis, in
securities guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the Federal
government. All securities held by the trust funds are ’special issues’ of the
United States Treasury. Such securities are available only to the trust funds.“
[162] Web page: “Social Security Online History: Presidential Statements. George
W. Bush- 2nd Quarter 2005. President Tours Bureau of Public Debt.” United States
Social Security Administration, April 5, 2005.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/gwbushstmts5b.html#04052005 THE PRESIDENT: See, what’s interesting is a lot of people believe that the
Social Security trust is -- the government takes a person’s money, invests it,
and then pays it back to them upon retirement. It doesn’t work that way. MS. CHAPMAN: That’s right, that’s exactly right. THE PRESIDENT: This is what exists. And it’s very important, then, to make sure
that in the future that there’s real assets for retirees.
[163] Article: “‘Trust Fund’ is Locked in Filing Cabinet.” By Dennis Cauchon.
USA Today, April 5, 2005.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2005-04-05-trust-fund_x.htm The papers in the cabinet are computer-generated replicas of $1.7 trillion in
Treasury bonds — the amount the government has promised to repay Social Security
for spending payroll taxes that finance the retirement system on other programs
such as defense and education.
The imitation bonds are signed by Chapman, division director of the Office of
Public Accounting in the Trust Fund Management Branch of the Bureau of the
Public Debt. The bureau is part of the Treasury Department.
[164] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 214: “[Social Security Trust] Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service
benefits, the financial interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in
interest bearing Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is
also deposited in the trust funds.“ [165] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?”
Bureau of the
Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4,
2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_... “Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest
accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to
the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then
become part of the total debt.“ [166] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.”
Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30,
2008. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/... {Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance
Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both
of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt
Outstanding.”} [167] Web page: “Frequently Asked Questions About the Public Debt.”
Bureau of
the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated February
27, 2007.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/resources/faq/faq_publicdebt.htm
What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals,
corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other
entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank
securities. Types of securities held by the public include, but are not limited
to, Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, TIPS, United States Savings Bonds, and State
and Local Government Series securities.
What are Intragovernmental Holdings?
Intragovernmental Holdings are Government Account Series securities held by
Government trust funds, revolving funds, and special funds; and Federal
Financing Bank securities. A small amount of marketable securities are held by
government accounts.
[168] NOTE: There is considerable confusion regarding the terminology associated
with the national debt. Listed below are some frequently used terms categorized
by their proper meaning: (a) Overall national debt – national debt, public debt, gross debt, debt.
(b)
Portion of the national debt owed to federal entities – Nonmarketable debt,
Intragovernmental holdings, debt held by the government, government held debt.
(c)
Portion of the national debt owed to non-federal entities – Marketable debt,
debt held by the public, publicly held debt. (Just Facts has come across
numerous instances where politicians and reporters use terms that refer to the
overall national debt, when in fact, they are only referring to this portion of
the debt.) [169] United States Code Title 3, Chapter 31, Section 3123. “Payment of
obligations and interest on the public debt.” Accessed November 11, 2008 at
http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/31/3123.html Section (a): “The faith of the United States Government is pledged to pay, in legal tender,
principal and interest on the obligations of the Government issued under this
chapter.“ [170] Web page: “Treasury Direct Debt Position and Activity Report.”
U.S.
Department of the Treasury, August 31, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/pd_debtposactrpt.htm
[171] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.”
Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30,
2008. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/...
[172] Article: “Al Gore’s Social Security Confusion.” By Peter J. Ferrara.
The
Cato Institute, October 26, 2000.
http://www.cato.org//dailys/10-06-00.html
[173] Memorandum: “Estimated Financial Effects of a Proposal to Finance
Individual Accounts with the OASDI Cash Flow Surplus.” By Stephen C. Goss (Chief
Actuary) and Alice H. Wade (Deputy Chief Actuary). United States Social Security
Administration, June 23, 2005.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/solvency/DeMint_20050623.pdf “This plan is being introduced today as the ’Stop the Raid on Social Security Act
of 2005’.” [174] Article: “Agency History: Research Note #20: The Social Security Trust
Funds and the Federal Budget.” By Larry DeWitt. United States Social Security
Administration. Updated June 19, 2007.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/BudgetTreatment.html “[T]he financing procedures involving the Social Security program have not
changed in any fundamental way since they were established in the original
Social Security Act of 1935 and amended in 1939. These changes in federal
budgeting rules govern how the Social Security program is accounted for in the
federal budget, not how it is financed.“ [175] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.”
United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3,
2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html “[T]he investments held by the trust funds are backed by the full faith and
credit of the U. S. Government. The government has always repaid Social
Security, with interest.“ [176] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.”
Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30,
2008. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/... {Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance
Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both
of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt
Outstanding.”} [177] Article: “Agency History: Research Note #20: The Social Security Trust
Funds and the Federal Budget.” By Larry DeWitt. United States Social Security
Administration. Updated June 19, 2007.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/BudgetTreatment.html “[T]he financing procedures involving the Social Security program have not
changed in any fundamental way since they were established in the original
Social Security Act of 1935 and amended in 1939. These changes in federal
budgeting rules govern how the Social Security program is accounted for in the
federal budget, not how it is financed.“ [178] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 135: “The Social Security Act does not permit expenditures from the [Old-Age &
Survivors Insurance] and [Disability Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose not
related to the payment of benefits or administrative costs for the [Social
Security] program.“ [179] Report: “Government Receipts and Expenditures, First Quarter of 2008.”
United States Bureau of Economic Affairs, June 2008.
http://www.bea.gov/scb/pdf/2008/06%20June/0608_gre.pdf {Page 12, Table 2, “Federal Government Current Receipts and Expenditures” lists
the various taxes collected and expenditures made by the federal government.
Social Security taxes are listed under “Contributions for government social
insurance.”} [180] “H.R. 1259 - Social Security and Medicare Safe Deposit Box Act of 1999.”
United States House of Representatives, March 24, 1999.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ Sec 2 (b): “Purpose: It is the purpose of this Act to prohibit the use of Social Security
surpluses for any purpose other than reforming Social Security and Medicare.“
[181] Report: “Filibusters and Cloture in the Senate.” By Richard S. Beth &
Stanley Bach. Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. Updated March
28, 2003. http://www.senate.gov/reference/resources/pdf/RL30360.pdf Page 2 (in PDF):
The filibuster is widely viewed as one of the Senate’s most characteristic
procedural features. Filibustering includes any use of dilatory or obstructive
tactics to block a measure by preventing it from coming to a vote. The
possibility of filibusters exists because Senate rules place few limits on
Senators’ rights and opportunities in the legislative process. … Senate Rule XXII, however, known as the “cloture rule,” enables Senators to
end a filibuster on any debatable matter the Senate is considering. Sixteen
Senators
initiate this process by presenting a motion to end the debate. The Senate does
not
vote on this cloture motion until the second day after the motion is made. Then
it
usually requires the votes of at least three-fifths of all Senators (normally 60
votes)
to invoke cloture. Invoking cloture on a proposal to amend the Senate’s standing
rules requires the support of two-thirds of the Senators present and voting. Page CRS-10: Invoking cloture usually requires a three-fifths vote of the entire
Senate—”three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen and sworn.” If there are no
vacancies, therefore, 60 Senators must vote to invoke cloture. In contrast, most
other votes require only a simple majority (that is, 51%) of the Senators
present and voting, assuming that those Senators constitute a quorum. In the
case of a cloture vote, the key is the number of Senators voting for cloture,
not the number voting against. Failing to vote on a cloture motion has the same
effect as voting against the motion: it deprives the motion of one of the 60
votes needed to agree to it. There is an important exception to the three-fifths requirement to invoke
cloture. Under Rule XXII, an affirmative vote of two-thirds of the Senators
present and voting is required to invoke cloture on a measure or motion to amend
the Senate rules. This exception has its origin in the recent history of the
cloture rule. Before 1975, two-thirds of the Senators present and voting (a
quorum being present) was required for cloture on all matters. In early 1975, at
the beginning of the 94th Congress, Senators sought to amend the rule to make it
somewhat easier to invoke cloture. However, some Senators feared that if this
effort succeeded, that would only make it easier to amend the rule again, making
cloture still easier to invoke. As a compromise, the Senate agreed to move from
a maximum of 67 votes (two-thirds of the Senators present and voting) to a
minimum of 60 votes (three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen and sworn) on all
matters except future rules changes, including changes in the cloture rule
itself.11” [182] “Standing Rules of the Senate: Rule XXII: Precedence Of Motions.” Accessed
June 20, 2008 at http://rules.senate.gov/senaterules/rule22.php 2. Notwithstanding the provisions of rule II or rule IV or any other rule of the
Senate, at any time a motion signed by sixteen Senators, to bring to a close the
debate upon any measure, motion, other matter pending before the Senate, or the
unfinished business, is presented to the Senate, the Presiding Officer, or clerk
at the direction of the Presiding Officer, shall at once state the motion to the
Senate, and one hour after the Senate meets on the following calendar day but
one, he shall lay the motion before the Senate and direct that the clerk call
the roll, and upon the ascertainment that a quorum is present, the Presiding
Officer shall, without debate, submit to the Senate by a yea-and-nay vote the
question:
“Is it the sense of the Senate that the debate shall be brought to a close?” And
if that question shall be decided in the affirmative by three-fifths of the
Senators duly chosen and sworn -- except on a measure or motion to amend the
Senate rules, in which case the necessary affirmative vote shall be two-thirds
of the Senators present and voting -- then said measure, motion, or other matter
pending before the Senate, or the unfinished business, shall be the unfinished
business to the exclusion of all other business until disposed of.
Thereafter no Senator shall be entitled to speak in all more than one hour on
the measure, motion, or other matter pending before the Senate, or the
unfinished business, the amendments thereto, and motions affecting the same, and
it shall be the duty of the Presiding Officer to keep the time of each Senator
who speaks. Except by unanimous consent, no amendment shall be proposed after
the vote to bring the debate to a close, unless it had been submitted in writing
to the Journal Clerk by 1 o’clock p.m. on the day following the filing of the
cloture motion if an amendment in the first degree, and unless it had been so
submitted at least one hour prior to the beginning of the cloture vote if an
amendment in the second degree. No dilatory motion, or dilatory amendment, or
amendment not germane shall be in order. Points of order, including questions of
relevancy, and appeals from the decision of the Presiding Officer, shall be
decided without debate.
After no more than thirty hours of consideration of the measure, motion, or
other matter on which cloture has been invoked, the Senate shall proceed,
without any further debate on any question, to vote on the final disposition
thereof to the exclusion of all amendments not then actually pending before the
Senate at that time and to the exclusion of all motions, except a motion to
table, or to reconsider and one quorum call on demand to establish the presence
of a quorum (and motions required to establish a quorum) immediately before the
final vote begins. The thirty hours may be increased by the adoption of a
motion, decided without debate, by a three-fifths affirmative vote of the
Senators duly chosen and sworn, and any such time thus agreed upon shall be
equally divided between and controlled by the Majority and Minority Leaders or
their designees. However, only one motion to extend time, specified above, may
be made in any one calendar day. [183] Vote number 170: “On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on
H.R.1259 ).” U.S. Senate Roll Call Votes 106th Congress – 1st Session, June 16,
1999.
http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/...
| |
Voted YES |
Voted NO |
Not Voting |
| Republican |
55 |
|
|
| Democratic |
|
44 |
1 |
{A total of 60 yea votes were needed to invoke cloture and allow the bill itself
to be voted on.} [184] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.”
Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30,
2008. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/... {Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance
Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both
of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt
Outstanding.”} [185] Web page: “Population, Population change and estimated components of
population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007.” United States Census Bureau.
See CSV file located at: http://www.census.gov/popest/datasets.html {The United States Census Bureau estimates the U.S. population to be 301,621,157
for 2007. The last census (2000) found the population to be 281,421,906. The
2000 census can be found at
http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/c2kprof00-us.pdf}
[186] Web page: “Table VI.F7-Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds
in Constant 2008 Dollars, Calendar Years 2008-85.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March
25, 2008. https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f7.html NOTE: This table projects the assets of the Trust Funds at the end of each year
and shows assets at the end of 2017 as $3.51 trillion. Though there is not a
surplus projected beyond 2017, the Trust Fund assets are projected to grow into
2021 due to interest income. This same table is present in the 2008 Social
Security Trustees Report, but does not contain all data for outer years.
[187] As shown by the following four sources, the $3.5 trillion Social Security
Trust Fund projected for 2017 will have been loaned to the federal government
which is required to pay it back with interest:
a) Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to invest such portion of
the amounts credited to the Account as is not, in his judgment, required to meet
current withdrawals. Such investment may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both
principal and interest by the United States.“ b) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest-bearing
Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in
the trust funds.“ c) Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?”
Bureau of the Public
Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4, 2006.http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/... “Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest
accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to
the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then
become part of the total debt.“ d) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees
of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 24: “All securities held by the trust funds are backed by the full faith and credit
of the United States Government, as required by law.“
[188] Calculation performed with data from the following sources: a) Web page: “Table VI.F7-Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in
Constant 2008 Dollars, Calendar Years 2008-85.” Office of the Chief Actuary,
United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March
25, 2008. https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f7.html {Trust Fund assets are projected to be $3.51 trillion in 2017. By law, these
monies would have been loaned to the federal government.} b) Web page: “Table V.A2.-Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and
Dependency Ratios Calendar Years 1950-2085.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United
States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr5a2.html [Total population is projected to be 336,772 in 2017.] CALCULATION: $3,510,000,000,000 / 336,772,000 = $10,422 per person.
[189] Web page: “Historical Debt Outstanding – Annual: 1950- 1999 and 2000 -
2007.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last
updated January 31, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt.htm
[190] Web page: “Consumer Price Index 1913-2008,”
The Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis. Accessed September 8, 2008 at
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/community_education/... {The rate of inflation was used from these tables to calculate how the national
debt of $270,522,171,896 from 1957 would have grown due to inflation alone up
until 2007.} [191] Speech: “Address of the President to Joint Sessions of Congress.”
President George W. Bush, February 27, 2001.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2001/02/20010228.html
[192] Report: “A Blueprint for New Beginnings – A Responsible Budget for
America’s Priorities.” Executive Office of the President of the United States,
February 28, 2001.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/usbudget/blueprint/blueprint.pdf Page 11: “At the end of 2001, there will be $3.2 trillion in publicly held debt. About
$2.0 trillion can actually be retired over the next 10 years.“ {The 2 trillion dollars to be retired is “publicly held debt.” The numbers cited
do not include the debt owed to federal entities.} [193] Report: “A Blueprint for New Beginnings – A Responsible Budget for
America’s Priorities.” Executive Office of the President of the United States,
February 28, 2001.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/usbudget/blueprint/blueprint.pdf NOTE: Page 201 contains a chart with a section labeled, “Held By.” Compare the
following two line items: (a) “Debt securities held as assets by Government accounts.” This is the debt
owed to federal entities. Between 2001 and 2011, it rises by 3,782 billion
dollars (goes from $2,219 billion to 6,001 billion).
(b) “Debt held by the public (gross).” – This is the debt owed to non-federal
entities. Between 2001 and 2011, it falls by 2,252 billion dollars (goes from
$3,410 billion to $1,158 billion).
The net effect is an increase in the national debt: 3,782 billion dollar increase in debt owed to federal entities
– 2,252 billion decrease in debt owed to non-federal entities
= 1,530 billion increase to the national debt.
[194] Report: “A Blueprint for New Beginnings – A Responsible Budget for
America’s Priorities.” Executive Office of the President of the United States,
February 28, 2001.
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/usbudget/blueprint/blueprint.pdf NOTE: Page 201 contains a chart with a section labeled, “Debt Outstanding, End
of Year.” Examine the line item, “Total, gross federal debt.” This is the
national debt. Between 2011 and 2001, it increases by 1,530 billion dollars.
Note that this figure matches the result of the calculation in the previous
footnote. [195] Web page: “History: The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social Security.”
United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html “The checks will come to you as a right. You will get them regardless of the
amount of property or income you may have. They are what the law calls “Old-Age
Benefits” under the Social Security Act.“ [196] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits
Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service,
Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf Page CRS-3: “The provision for lump-sum payments of 3.5% of accumulated wages for workers who
died before age 65, or attained age 65 but were ineligible for benefits, was
repealed….“ [197] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.”
United
States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31, 2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html “SEC. 1104. The right to alter, amend, or repeal any provision of this Act is
hereby reserved to the Congress.“ [198] Web page: “Social Security History: Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs.
Nestor.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed on November 11,
2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html
In this 1960 Supreme Court decision Nestor’s denial of benefits was upheld even
though he had contributed to the program for 19 years and was already receiving
benefits. Under a 1954 law, Social Security benefits were denied to persons
deported for, among other things, having been a member of the Communist party.
Accordingly, Mr. Nestor’s benefits were terminated. He appealed the termination
arguing, among other claims, that promised Social Security benefits were a
contract and that Congress could not renege on that contract. In its ruling, the
Court rejected this argument and established the principle that entitlement to
Social Security benefits is not contractual right. [199] Web page: “Social Security History: Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs.
Nestor.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed on November 11,
2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html There has been a temptation throughout the program’s history for some people to
suppose that their FICA payroll taxes entitle them to a benefit in a legal,
contractual sense. That is to say, if a person makes FICA contributions over a
number of years, Congress cannot, according to this reasoning, change the rules
in such a way that deprives a contributor of a promised future benefit. Under
this reasoning, benefits under Social Security could probably only be increased,
never decreased, if the Act could be amended at all. Congress clearly had no
such limitation in mind when crafting the law. Section 1104 of the 1935 Act,
entitled “RESERVATION OF POWER,” specifically said: “The right to alter, amend,
or repeal any provision of this Act is hereby reserved to the Congress.” Even
so, some have thought that this reservation was in some way unconstitutional.
This is the issue finally settled by Flemming v. Nestor.
[200] Web page: “Social Security History: Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs.
Nestor.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed on November 11,
2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html TO ENGRAFT UPON THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM A CONCEPT OF “ACCRUED
PROPERTY RIGHTS” WOULD DEPRIVE IT OF THE FLEXIBILITY AND BOLDNESS IN
ADJUSTMENT TO EVER-CHANGING CONDITIONS WHICH IT DEMANDS. SEE
WOLLENBERG, VESTED RIGHTS IN SOCIAL-SECURITY BENEFITS, 37 ORE. L. REV.
299, 359. IT WAS DOUBTLESS OUT OF AN AWARENESS OF THE NEED FOR SUCH
FLEXIBILITY THAT CONGRESS INCLUDED IN THE ORIGINAL ACT [363 U.S. 603, 611], AND
HAS SINCE RETAINED, A CLAUSE EXPRESSLY RESERVING TO IT “THE RIGHT TO ALTER,
AMEND, ORREPEAL ANY PROVISION” OF THE ACT. SEC. 1104, 49 STAT. 648,42 U.S.C.
SEC. 1304. {Read the entire court decision Flemming vs. Nestor at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html for additional detail.}
[201] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 8:
Redemption of trust fund assets will allow continuation of full benefit payments
on a timely basis until 2041, when the trust funds are projected to become
exhausted. This redemption process will require a flow of cash from the General
Fund of the Treasury. Pressures on the Federal Budget will thus emerge well
before 2041. Even if a trust fund’s assets are exhausted, however, tax income
will continue to flow into the fund. Present tax rates are projected to be
sufficient to pay 78 percent of scheduled benefits after trust fund exhaustion
in 2041 and 75 percent of scheduled benefits in 2082.
[202] Article: “Retiring With Dignity: Social Security Vs. Private Markets.” By
William G. Shipman. The Cato Institute, August 14, 1995.
http://www.cato.org/pubs/ssps/ssp2.html
[203] Web page: “Provisions Affecting Individual Accounts.”
Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified
July 16, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/solvency/provisions/individualaccts.html Many of the individual account provisions included in recent solvency proposals
would redirect some portion of each participating worker’s Social Security
payroll tax to an individual account and later pay a reduced traditional monthly
Social Security benefit. Some plans base the amount of reduction, or “benefit
offset”, on a hypothetical or shadow account balance accumulated to retirement
(or to entitlement to disability benefits in some proposals). The rate of return
at which hypothetical accounts accumulate is generally set at a level such that
workers should have a good chance of doing better with their actual investments
over a working lifetime. These “benefit offsets” are a source of savings to the
Social Security trust funds. Individual account provisions of this type
generally do not, in themselves, improve the solvency of the Social Security
trust funds. As a result, some proposals often include some additional revenues
(like General Fund transfers) for a period of years before the benefit offset
provision has matured. [204] Memorandum: “Estimated Financial Effects of the ‘Social Security Personal
Savings Guarantee and Prosperity Act of 2008.’” By Stephen C. Goss (Chief
Actuary). United States Social Security Administration, May 21, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/solvency/index.html Page 2:
Under the plan specifications described below the Social Security program would
be expected to be solvent and to meet its benefit obligations throughout the
long-range period 2008 through 2082. The long-range [Social Security] actuarial
deficit of 1.70 percent of payroll and the [Social Security] long-range unfunded
obligation of $4.3 trillion in present value would be eliminated. In addition,
trust fund assets expressed as a percentage of annual program cost are projected
to be rising at the end of the 75-year period. Thus, the proposal meets the
long-range criteria for sustainable solvency and would be expected to remain
solvent for the foreseeable future. General Fund transfers are, however,
expected to be needed under the plan in years 2032 through 2063, totaling $4.1
trillion in present discounted value. All estimates are based on the
intermediate assumptions of the 2008 Trustees Report plus additional assumptions
described below. {This is one example of a personal account proposal and its transition costs.
Several more proposal examples are available at the same Web address:
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/solvency/index.html}
[205] CALCULATION: ($50,000/year) X (45 years) X 12.4% = $279,000
[206] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age
and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of
Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income starting in 2017, at which time the annual
gap will be covered with cash from redemptions of special obligations of the
Treasury that make up the trust fund assets until these assets are exhausted in
2041.“ [207] CALCULATIONS:
($50,000/year) X (12.4%) X (16%) = $992.00/year
($992/year) compounded annually over 45 years at 7% = $263,991 (year 2008
dollars) NOTE: Calculated with starting balance of $0, adding $992 per year and
compounding one time per year. As a benchmark, the Chilean personal ownership
accounts have been earning about 7% above the rate of inflation per year. (see
upcoming section). [208] Book: Market Volatility. By Robert J. Shiller.
MIT Press, 1989. Chapter
26. {Excel spreadsheet of the historical S&P 500 data (updated through 2002)
available at: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/chapt26.xls}
[209] Report: “Social Security Reform: Current Issues and Legislation,” By Dawn Nuschler.
Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. Updated May 18,
2007.http://www.house.gov/waxman/pdfs/crs/RL33544.pdf Page CRS-18:
In the 109th Congress, 10 Social Security reform bills were introduced as
follows: H.R. 440 (Representative Kolbe and Representative Boyd), H.R. 530
(Representative Sam Johnson), H.R. 750 (Representative Shaw), S. 540 (Senator
Hagel), S. 857 (Senator Sununu), H.R. 1776 (Representative Paul Ryan), H.R. 2472
(Representative Wexler), S. 1302 (Senator DeMint), H.R. 3304 (Representative
McCrery), and S. 2427 (Senator Bennett). All but two of the measures (H.R. 2472
and S. 2427) would have established individual accounts to supplement or replace
traditional Social Security benefits, among other changes.
[210] Report: “Social Security: The Chilean Approach to Retirement.” By
Christopher Tamborini. Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, May
17, 2007. http://assets.opencrs.com/rpts/RL34006_20070517.pdf Page CRS-3: “During the 109th Congress, 10 Social Security reform bills were introduced; all
but two of these would have allowed workers to invest some part of their
earnings in individual retirement accounts, either to supplement the Social
Security system (often referred to as add-on accounts) or to replace part of the
system (often referred to as carve-out accounts).13 No legislation received
congressional action.“ [211] Report: “Social Security Reform: Current Issues and Legislation,” By Dawn Nuschler.
Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. Updated May 18,
2007. http://www.house.gov/waxman/pdfs/crs/RL33544.pdf Page CRS-18: “In the 109th Congress, 10 Social Security reform bills were introduced as
follows: H.R. 440 (Representative Kolbe and Representative Boyd), H.R. 530
(Representative Sam Johnson), H.R. 750 (Representative Shaw), S. 540 (Senator
Hagel), S. 857 (Senator Sununu), H.R. 1776 (Representative Paul Ryan), H.R. 2472
(Representative Wexler), S. 1302 (Senator DeMint), H.R. 3304 (Representative
McCrery), and S. 2427 (Senator Bennett).“ [212] Web page: “Biographical Directory of the United States Congress
1774-Present.” United States Congress. Accessed September 17, 2008 at
http://bioguide.congress.gov/biosearch/biosearch.asp {This site was used to determine the party affiliations of the sponsors of the
following bills:}
H.R. 440 - Representative Kolbe (R-AZ) and Representative Boyd (D-FL) H.R. 530 - Representative Sam Johnson (R-TX)
H.R. 750 - Representative Shaw (R-FL) S. 540 - Senator Hagel (R-NE)
S. 857 - Senator Sununu (R-NH),
H.R. 1776 - Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI)
S. 1302 - Senator DeMint (R-SC) H.R. 3304 - Representative McCrery (R-LA)
[213] Report: “Social Security Reform: Current Issues and Legislation,” By Dawn Nuschler.
Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. Updated May 18,
2007. http://www.house.gov/waxman/pdfs/crs/RL33544.pdf Page CRS-23:
During the 110th Congress, two comprehensive Social Security reform measures
have been introduced: H.R. 1090 (Social Security Guarantee Plus Act of 2007) and
H.R. 2002 (Individual Social Security Investment Program Act of 2007). H.R.
1090, which is the same as H.R. 750 in the 109th Congress, would establish
voluntary individual accounts funded with general revenues, among other program
changes. H.R. 2002, which is the same as H.R. 530 in the 109th Congress, would
establish individual accounts funded with a redirection of current payroll
taxes, among other program changes. {H.R. 1090 was sponsored by Rep. Ron Lews (R-KY). H.R. 2002 was sponsored by
Rep. Samuel Johnson (R-TX).} [214] Bill: “S.2765, Saving Social Security Act of 2008.”
United States Senate,
March 13, 2008. http://thomas.loc.gov/ Sec. 101. Establishment of an investment-based option for social security
benefits. [215] Bill: “H.R.4922: Savings Account for Every American Act of 2007.”
United
States House of Representatives, December 19, 2007.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ {This bill calls for the establishment of individual “S.A.F.E.” savings accounts
through payroll deduction to be used in retirement. A S.A.F.E. account has
meaning as provided for by section 222 (c) of the IRS Code of 1986.}
[216] Bill: “H.R.1090: Social Security Guarantee Plus Act of 2007.”
United
States House of Representatives, February 15, 2007.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ [March 13, 2007: Referred to House Subcommittee on Social Security.]
[217] Bill: “H.R.2002: Individual Social Security Investment Program Act of
2007.” United States House of Representatives, April 23, 2007.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ [April 25, 2007: Referred to House Subcommittee on Social Security.]
[218] Bill: “S.2765: Saving Social Security Act of 2008.”
United States Senate,
March 13, 2008.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ [March 13, 2008: Referred to Senate Committee on Finance.]
[219] Bill: “H.R. 4922: Savings Account for Every American Act of 2007.”
United
States House of Representatives, December 19, 2007.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ [December 19, 2007: Referred to Committee on Ways and Means and Committee on
Oversight and Government Reform.] [220] Report: “2008 Republican Party Platform.”
Republican National Committee,
September 2008. http://www.gopplatform2008.com/2008Platform.pdf Page 19: “Comprehensive reform should include the opportunity to freely choose to create
your own personal investment accounts which are distinct from and supplemental
to the overall Social Security system.“ [221] Report: “2008 Democratic Party Platform: “Renewing
America’s Promise.”
Democratic National Committee, August 25, 2008.
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=78283 “We will not privatize [Social Security].“
[222] Web page: “Obama ‘08, Seniors and Social Security”
Obama for America.
Accessed November 11, 2008 at
http://www.barackobama.com/issues/socialsecurity/ “In the midst of the 2005 debate over Social Security privatization, Obama gave a
major speech at the National Press Club forcefully arguing against
privatization. He also repeatedly voted against Republican amendments that aimed
to privatize Social Security or cut benefits.“ [223] Speech: “A Hope to Fulfill.” Barack Obama, April 26th, 2005.
http://obama.senate.gov/speech/050426-_a_hope_to_fulfill/index.php “I think we will save Social Security from privatization this year.“
[224] Transcript: “The Republican Debate on Fox News
Channel,” New York
Times, October 21, 2007.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/21/us/politics/... “And you have to go to the American people and say we don’t -- we won’t raise
your taxes. We need personal savings accounts, but we got to fix this system.“
[225] Report: “National Vital Statistics Report, Volume 56, Number 9: United
States Life Tables, 2004.” By Elizabeth Arias. Division of Vital Statistics,
United States Centers for Disease Control, December 28, 2007.
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr56/nvsr56_09.pdf Page 3: “Table A. Expectation of life by age, race, and sex: United States, 2004.“
[226] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the
Benefits.” United States Social Security
Administration, May 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
[Anyone born in 1960 or later has a full retirement age of 67.]
[227] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.”
United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html {There are exceptions to this if a person has child over the age of 18 who is
disabled, and in certain cases where a person is divorced and their ex-spouse is
still alive.} [228] Report: “Strengthening Social Security and Creating Personal Wealth for
All Americans.” The President’s Commission to Strengthen Social Security,
December 21, 2001. http://www.csss.gov/reports/Final_report.pdf Page 11: “Personal accounts improve retirement security by facilitating wealth creation
and providing participants with assets that they own and that can be inherited,
rather than providing only claims to benefits that remain subject to political
negotiation.“ [229] Article: “Study Says Disabled Would Lose Benefits Under New Social
Security Plan.” By Robert Pear. New York Times, February 7, 2001.
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=...
[230] Calculation performed with data from the report: “Social Security Reform: Potential Effects on SSA’s Disability
Program and Beneficiaries,” United States General Accounting Office, January
2001. http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0135.pdf Page 43: “This scenario maintains current-law benefits while increasing payroll
tax rates to levels that support those benefits.”
Page 44: Data from “Table 9: Payroll Tax Rates.”
| Years |
Disability Tax Rate |
| 2000-24 |
1.80% |
| 2060-73 |
2.69% |
CALCULATION: (2.69 – 1.80) / 1.80 = .49
[231] Report: “Social Security Reform: Potential Effects on SSA’s Disability
Programs and Beneficiaries,” United States General Accounting Office, January
2001. http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d0135.pdf Page 36: “In the cases we studied, our analyses indicate that most disabled beneficiaries
would receive higher benefits under Social Security reform proposals than under
a solvency scenario that maintained payroll tax rates while reducing benefits.“
[232] Bulletin Volume 63, No. 2: “Social Security Privatization in Latin
America.” By Barbara E. Kritzer. United States Social Security Administration,
December 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v63n2/v63n2p17.pdf Pages 17-18: “In 1981, Chile became the first Latin American country to privatize its social
security system. Chile switched from a defined-benefit, pay-as-you-go (PAYGO)
system to a defined contribution system of individual accounts managed by
private companies.“ [233] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de Administradoras de
Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of
The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf Page 32: “Table II.5: BENEFITS OF THE THREE MAIN INSTITUTIONS IN THE OLD SYSTEM.”
[234] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 60: “Membership of the Individual Capitalization Pension System is mandatory for all
employed workers beginning their working life and optional for those workers who
were members of the Old System when the reform came into being.“
[235] Data supplied by Jefe Division Estudios,
Superintendencia de Pensiones
(Chief of the Research Division, Superintendant of Pensions).
Available in PDF format
upon request. NOTE: This document states the following in a table entitled “Coverage of the
Social Security System (In December of Each Year)”: In 2007, covered members in the personal ownership system (members with less
than twelve months without movement in their account) were 70.3% of the
workforce.
In 2007, contributors to the government-run system were 1.5% of the workforce. In 2007, covered members in the personal ownership system plus contributors to
the government-run system were 71.9% of the workforce.
[236] Calculation performed with data from the previous note:
CALCULATION: Covered members in the personal ownership (70.3%) divided by the
covered members in the personal ownership system plus the contributors to the
government run system (71.9%) = 97.78% of the workforce.
[237] Data supplied by Jefe Division Estudios,
Superintendencia de Pensiones
(Chief of the Research Division, Superintendant of Pensions).
Available in PDF format
upon request. NOTES: This document states in the table entitled “COVERAGE OF THE AFP SYSTEM IN
RELATION TO THE WORK FORCE AND THOSE ACTUALLY IN WORK (In December of each
year),” that 70.3% of the work force was “covered” in the personal ownership
system. A “covered worker” is defined as having “less than twelve months without
movement in their account.” In other words, a covered member is someone who had
activity in their account in the last year. This document also states: “Statistics show that from 1976 to 1980, the coverage
of the Social Security System in existence at that period [the government-run
program] reached an average of 67% of the work force, with a clear downward
trend.” [238] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 60: “In the case of the self-employed, membership is voluntary.“
[239] Bulletin Volume 63, No. 2: “Social Security Privatization in Latin
America.” By Barbara E. Kritzer. United States Social Security Administration,
December 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v63n2/v63n2p17.pdf Pages 19-20: “Under Chile’s new system, workers pay 10 percent of earnings (mandatory for
employees, voluntary for the self employed) to an individual account run by a
pension fund management company (administradora de fondos de pension,or AFP).
They also pay about 1.98 percent for administrative fees and 0.64 percent for
survivors and disability insurance for a total of about 2.62 percent (AIOS
1999).“ NOTE: According to the Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de
Pensiones, administrative fees have averaged higher than what is quoted here. In
keeping with our
Standards of Credibility, Just Facts is using the higher amount
of 3.4%. See next note for details.
[240] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf Page 152: “Table No. VI.11: MONTHLY SOCIAL SECURITY COST FOR A MEMBER WITH THE AVERAGE
INCOME OF THE AFP SYSTEM.“ {The average of the values in the column labeled “Social Security Cost % of
Average Income” is 3.4%. Note that this cost has been on a downward trend.}
[241] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf Page 29: “Table II.2 Contribution Rates for Pensions.“ {This range of rates represents those from the three main social security
institutions (known as “Cajas”) in Chile in 1980. These three institutions
involved 94% of the workers covered under Chile’s “old system.” The government
collected between 32.5% and 41.04% of taxable wages for pensions, health
benefits, industrial accidents and other things, but used the monies for these
programs without distinction. See the bottom of page 28 and Table II.1 of this
same document for explanation.} [242] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 53: “The Pension System is based on individual capitalization. Each member has an
individual account in which his/her social security contributions are deposited.
These are capitalized and earn the yield on the investments made by the
Administrators with the resources of the Funds.“ [243] Brochure: “Compare Fondos, Superintendencia de AFP.”
Gobierno de Chile,
April 2008. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-5749_recurso_1.pdf
{This document is in Spanish and outlines the five funds available to
investors.} [244] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Pages 53-54: The worker chooses the institution that he/she wishes to join, and may change
from one Administrator to another whenever he/she thinks it advisable. He/she
also has a free choice with regard to the type of Pension Fund in which to put
his/her social security savings, though in the case of older members and
pensioners there are certain limitations attached to the choice of Funds with
relatively higher risk, as far as their mandatory contributions are concerned.
[245] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Pages 53-54: The worker chooses the institution that he/she wishes to join, and may change
from one Administrator to another whenever he/she thinks it advisable. He/she
also has a free choice with regard to the type of Pension Fund in which to put
his/her social security savings, though in the case of older members and
pensioners there are certain limitations attached to the choice of Funds with
relatively higher risk, as far as their mandatory contributions are concerned.
[246] Web page: “Rentabilidad Real de los Fondos de Pensiones,”
Centro de Estadisticas, Superintendencia de Pensiones, August 2008.
http://www.safp.cl/safpstats/stats/rentabilidad/... {This web page is in Spanish and supplies the names of the available fund
managers and their respective fund returns.} [247] Report: “Social Security Programs Throughout the World: The Americas 2007:
Chile.” U.S. Social Security Administration and the International Social
Security Association, March 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/progdesc/ssptw/2006-2007/... Pages 76-77: Old-age pension: Age 65 (men) or age 60 (women). If aged 55 or older (men) or
aged 50 or older (women) on August 19, 2004, retirement before the normal
retirement age is possible for insured persons with a pension equal to at least
50% of the insured’s average wage in the last 10 years and at least equal to
110% of the minimum old-age pension. If younger than age 55 (men) or age 50
(women) on August 19, 2004, retirement before the normal retirement age is
possible for insured persons with a pension equal to at least 55% of the
insured’s average wage in the last 10 years (rising to 70% by August 19, 2010)
and at least equal to a 150% of the minimum old-age pension (beginning August
19, 2007). [248] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 66: “Survivorship pensions are awarded to surviving beneficiaries on the death of the
member (spouse, offspring or parents, depending on the case). If there are no
beneficiaries of the survivorship pension, the balance remaining in the deceased
member’s individual capitalization account goes to augment his/her estate.“
[249] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Pages 69-70:
In the private administration system of the Pension Funds, the State provides
certain guarantees related with its role in welfare. In particular, if the
member cannot cover the current minimum pension with his/her own resources,
either at the moment of retirement or at some later stage, the State promises to
finance the remainder, provided that: i. In the case of retirement pensions, the member fulfils the legal requirement
of having contributed for at least 20 years in a social security system. ii. In the case of disability or survivorship, the member has registered a
minimum of two years’ contributions in the social security systems during the
five years immediately preceding the moment at which he/she is declared disabled
or the death occurs, or is paying contributions at the time of the event, in
cases where disability or death occur as a consequence of an accident, or has
completed 10 years of real contributions in any social security system.
It should be emphasized that minimum survivorship pensions correspond to
percentages of the minimum retirement pension. Among the commitments assumed by
the State when the social security reform came into being, the state guarantee
for minimum pensions is the largest long-term item, as far as government
expenditure is concerned. The main aim of the state guarantee for minimum
pensions is to generate a source of income for those people who do not manage to
save enough money to obtain a pension equivalent to the minimum, even though
they have paid contributions for a significant part of their lives and who have
no other sources of income. In the case of programmed withdrawal pensions, the
state guarantee is paid once the member has used up the balance in his/her
individual capitalization account. In the case of life annuity pensions, the
state guarantee is paid as the difference between the minimum pension and the
pension received by the member. In all cases there are discounts where early
retirement pensions are concerned and where the member has withdrawn
freely-usable surpluses. At present, the minimum pension is worth $72,361.62 for
members under 70 years of age, and $79,121.84 for members over 70 years of age.
Over the past 10 years the minimum pension has increased at a rate of 4.6% per
year in real terms, a figure considerably higher than that observed in previous
decades; between 1960 and 1990, when the real annual growth rate of the minimum
pension was less than 1%. There are a series of variables which determine
whether a member will become a beneficiary of the minimum pension. Among these
are the density of the member’s contributions, the rate of return obtained by
his/her Pension Funds, his/her income profile, the development of the value of
the minimum pension over time and the fixed commission charged by the AFPs.
[250] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf Page 153: “Table Nº VI.12: DEVELOPMENT OF COST OF PROGRAMMED WITHDRAWALS.“
[251] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 91: “Table No. IV.4: Commissions Structure.“
[252] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Pages 68-69: Decree-Law 3,500 established the existence of the following pension options from
which members can choose, each with its own system of financing and
administration: a. Programmed Withdrawal: On retirement the worker keeps his/her Individual
Capitalization Account in the Administrator to which he/she belongs, withdrawing
annual amounts which are obtained by dividing the accumulated balance in the
account by the capital required33. These annual amounts are divided into monthly instalments, are readjusted according to the rise in the cost of living and are
recalculated every twelve months. With this kind of pension it is the AFP which
manages the resources and the member who assumes the risks of longevity and
reinvestment, while retaining the ownership of his/her funds. With the
implementation of the law of multifunds, members receiving pensions under this
option may choose any of the three lower-risk Funds (C, D and E) for the balance
corresponding to their mandatory contributions. The reason for this restriction
is to avoid pensioners taking high risks in investments made with their
mandatory resources, since this might have an irreversible effect on the level
of their retirement pensions and on the state guarantees for minimum pensions
that are involved. Nonetheless, they may choose any of the five Funds for their
voluntary contributions, agreed deposits and voluntary savings account. In
addition to the above, the member may revoke his/her pension option decision at
any time and change to the Life Annuity alternative. b. Life Annuity: Members may sign a contract to have their pension paid by a
Life Insurance Company (chosen by themselves). This company promises to pay them
a constant monthly income, in real terms, as long as they live, and to pay a
survivorship pension to their beneficiaries. In this way, the member’s resources
are transferred to the Life Insurance Company which assumes both the financial
risk and the risk of longevity on the part of the pensioner and his/her family
group. Once the member has chosen this pension option and signed the contract,
the decision is irrevocable, because the ownership of the resources is lost. c. Temporary Income with Deferred Life Annuity: On deciding in favour of a
temporary income, a contract is signed with a Life Insurance Company for the
payment of a fixed monthly income, readjustable in UF, as from a date some time
after the moment of retirement. Between the date on which the member requests
this kind of pension
and the date on which he/she begins to receive the life annuity, he/she receives
a monthly pension financed with funds held specially for this purpose in his/her
capitalization account at his AFP. In this way the member retains the ownership
and assumes the financial risk of the part of his/her fund that remains in the
AFP for a defined period in his/her life. On the other hand he/she does not
assume the longevity risk, because that, like the financial risk for the second
period, is covered by the Insurance Company with which he/she has
signed the life annuity contract. The deferred life annuity cannot be less than
50% of the first temporary income payment nor more than 100% of that payment.
[253] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf Page 153: “Table No. VI.12: DEVELOPMENT OF COST OF PROGRAMMED WITHDRAWALS.“ [The commission was 1.16% in 2002 for those receiving an average pension.]
[254] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 91: “Table No. IV.4: Commissions Structure.“
[255] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf Page 152: “Table No. VI.11: MONTHLY SOCIAL SECURITY COST FOR A MEMBER WITH THE AVERAGE
INCOME OF THE AFP SYSTEM.“ {The average of the values in the column labeled “Social Security Cost % of
Average Income” is 3.4%.} [256] Book: Terms of Trade: Glossary of International Economics. By Alan V. Deardoff.
World Scientific, 2006.
Page 228:
“Real” is defined as “expressed in terms of the amounts of goods and services
that something is worth at market prices” and “adjusted for inflation.”
[257] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter3.pdf Page 47:
Once the reform of the Pension System came into force, the Old System had to
continue paying benefits to its pensioners, with the result that the level of
expenditure on pension payments remained the same. At the same time, the
transfer of workers to the Individual Capitalization System reduced its income,
meaning that the deficit carried by the old system became even deeper and the
State had to assume the cost of covering it. In the case of workers who changed
System, the State is responsible for paying compensation for the contributions
made under the “Cajas de Previsión” regime [the “old system], and does this by
means of a financial instrument called a Recognition Bond (RB). The payment of
pensions from the Old System and the payment of Recognition Bonds are government
contributions specific to the transition period in which the Social Security
System currently finds itself, and they are made through the INP [Institute of
Social Security Normalization]. This has meant a considerable financial cost to
the State, and it has had to make an effort to fulfil its social security
obligations. During the years since the social security reform came in, the
State has used resources to finance it which amount on average to around 3.25%
of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per year. The government expenditure
generated by the change of Social Security System is of great magnitude, with
the result that everything in this sector which is not social security must
produce a surplus in order to finance that expenditure.
[258] Article: “Chile’s Private Pension System at 18: Its Current State and
Future Challenges.” By Jacobo L. Rodriguez. The Cato Institute, July 30, 1999.
http://www.socialsecurity.org/pubs/ssps/ssp17.pdf Page 3: “By the early 1970s the system had clearly gotten out of hand. Contribution rates
had increased from 16 to 26 percent of total payroll; the government’s
contribution to the pension system had increased to about 38 percent of the
system’s total revenues, or about 4 percent of gross domestic product; and the
implicit debt of the system was over 100 percent of GDP.“
[259] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf Page 34:
One of the main characteristics of the Social Security System then in force was
that it originally functioned as a Partial Capitalization System. In other
words, the active contributors financed the pensions of the passive, but at the
same time a reserve fund was created with part of the resources collected.
Although in the early stages it was possible to capitalize part of the resources
collected, this became increasingly difficult, and it turned into a simple
Pay-as-you-go System. In other words, no reserves were accumulated.
[260] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf Page 130:
The liabilities of the Pension Funds are made up almost entirely of net worth;
in fact in March 2002, 98.8% of the liabilities of the Type 1 Fund corresponds
to net worth, while in the case of the Type 2 Fund this percentage rises to 99%.
The net worth of the Pension Fund is made up of the individual capitalization
accounts, the voluntary savings accounts and the compensation savings accounts.
It also includes misplaced contributions and revenue which is in the process of
being credited to personal accounts. NOTE: The Pension Fund’s assets are matched evenly to its liabilities. The
liabilities that are counted against the Pension Fund assets are made up
principally of individual capitalization accounts. In other words, the program
is self-funded and is not accruing a deficit. [261] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf Page 93: “Three times a year, in the months of February, June and October, all members
whose capitalization account has shown some movement during the previous
four-month period receive a summary, at their home address, of the movements in
their account during the last four months: deposits, charges and balance, both
in pesos and in units.“ [262] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.”
Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf Page 130:
The liabilities of the Pension Funds are made up almost entirely of net worth;
in fact in March 2002, 98.8% of the liabilities of the Type 1 Fund corresponds
to net worth, while in the case of the Type 2 Fund this percentage rises to 99%.
The net worth of the Pension Fund is made up of the individual capitalization
accounts, the voluntary savings accounts and the compensation savings accounts.
It also includes misplaced contributions and revenue which is in the process of
being credited to personal accounts. NOTE: The Pension Fund’s assets are matched evenly to its liabilities. The
liabilities that are counted against the Pension Fund assets are made up
principally of individual capitalization accounts. In other words, the program
is self-funded and is not accruing a deficit. [263] Data supplied by Jefe Division Estudios,
Superintendencia de Pensiones
(Chief of the Research Division, Superintendant of Pensions).
Available in PDF format
upon request.
[264] Web page: “History: Frequently asked questions.”
United States Social
Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified January 14, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html Q21: When did Social Security cards bear the legend “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION”? A: The first Social Security cards were issued starting in 1936, they did not
have this legend. Beginning with the sixth design version of the card, issued
starting in 1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of the card reading “FOR
SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.” This legend was removed as
part of the design changes for the 18th version of the card, issued beginning in
1972. The legend has not been on any new cards issued since 1972.
[265] Web page: “Social Security Number Chronology.”
United States Social
Security Administration. Updated November 9, 2005.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssnchron.html
[266] Web page: “History: Frequently asked questions.”
United States Social
Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified January 14, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html Q21: When did Social Security cards bear the legend “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION”? A: The first Social Security cards were issued starting in 1936, they did not
have this legend. Beginning with the sixth design version of the card, issued
starting in 1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of the card reading “FOR
SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.” This legend was removed as
part of the design changes for the 18th version of the card, issued beginning in
1972. The legend has not been on any new cards issued since 1972.
[267] Bill: “H.R. 5110, Public Law 103-465 – Bill Summary and Status for the
103rd Congress.” Congress of the United States of America, December 8, 1994.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
[268] Bill: “H.R. 5110, Public Law 103-465 – Bill Summary and Status for the
103rd Congress.” Congress of the United States of America, December 8, 1994.
http://thomas.loc.gov/ Section 742:
SEC. 742. TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS REQUIRED AT BIRTH.
(a) EARNED INCOME CREDIT- Clause (i) of section 32(c)(3)(D) is amended to read
as follows: `(i) IN GENERAL- The requirements of this subparagraph are met if the taxpayer
includes the name, age, and TIN of each qualifying child (without regard to this
subparagraph) on the return of tax for the taxable year.’ (b) DEPENDENCY EXEMPTION- Subsection (e) of section 6109 is amended to read as
follows: `(e) FURNISHING NUMBER FOR DEPENDENTS- Any taxpayer who claims an exemption
under section 151 for any dependent on a return for any taxable year shall
include on such return the identifying number (for purposes of this title) of
such dependent.’ (c) EFFECTIVE DATE- (1) IN GENERAL- Except as provided in paragraph (2), the amendments made by this
section shall apply to returns for taxable years beginning after December 31,
1994. (2) EXCEPTION- The amendments made by this section shall not apply to--
(A) returns for taxable years beginning in 1995 with respect to individuals who
are born after October 31, 1995, and (B) returns for taxable years beginning in 1996 with respect to individuals who
are born after November 30, 1996. [269] Web page: “When am I legally required to provide my Social Security
number?” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed November 19,
2008 at
http://ssa-custhelp.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/ssa.cfg/php/enduser/...
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