social security basics >

 

Citation

 

“Social Security Basics.” By Stephen F. Cardone and James D. Agresti. Just Facts, January, 9, 2009. http://justfacts.com/socialsecurity.basics.asp

 

(This page contains basic facts about the topic of Social Security. For further specifics, click here. For comprehensive and scholarly details, click here.)

 
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Overview

Taxes

Benefits

Financial Stability

Public Perceptions

Accountability

Impact on National Debt

Personal Ownership

Privacy

 
Introductory Notes

 

A major source of information for this section is the 2008 Social Security Trustees Report.[1] This report was published in March of 2008 and contains data from 2007. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are indexed for inflation, wage growth, and other economic parameters to produce numbers that are consistent in terms of the years 2007/2008.

 

Figures from specific years are used based on availability, and not to produce a desired result.

 
Overview

 

* In 1935, Congress passed and Democratic President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed into law the “Social Security Act.” This law created “a system of Federal old-age benefits” for workers and their families. In 1956, the law was amended to also provide disability benefits.[2] [3]

 

* Pictured below is Franklin Delano Roosevelt signing the Social Security Act of 1935.[4]

* In 2007, Social Security had a total income of $784.9 billion and expenditures of $594.5 billion.[5] [6]

 

* As of June 30, 2007, there were over 49 million people receiving monthly benefits, or approximately 16% of the U.S. population.[7] [8]

 
Taxes

 

* Social Security tax rates are as follows:

 

   Tax Rate
Employee portion  6.2%
Employer portion  6.2%
Total  12.4%

[9]

 

* The self-employed pay a Social Security tax of 12.4%.[10]

 

* In 2007, Social Security taxes accounted for about 25% of all federal tax collections.[11]

 

 * Social Security taxes are subject to a wage threshold. Any income earned above the threshold is not taxed. In 2008, the threshold was $102,000.[12] [13]

 


Tax Threshold Increases

 

* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the wage threshold at $3,000. Income earned above this amount was not subject to Social Security taxes. This threshold was a fixed amount that was not indexed for inflation.[14]

 

* In 1972, the Congress and Republican President Nixon passed a law to automatically index the threshold based upon the national average wage.[15]

 

* In 1951, the wage threshold was 129% of the national average wage.[16]

 

* In 2007, the wage threshold was 241% of the national average wage.[17]

 


Tax Rate Increases

 

* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the initial tax rate at 2%.[18]

 

* Tax rate history:

 

Year  Social Security Tax Rate
1950  3%
1960  6%
1970  8.4%
1980  10.2%
1990  12.4%
2000  12.4%
2008  12.4%

[19]

 


Government Promise

 

 * At the outset of the Social Security program, the federal government published an informational pamphlet that stated the following with regard to Social Security taxes:

 

And finally, beginning in 1949, 12 years from now, you and your employer will each pay 3 cents on each dollar you earn, up to $3,000 a year. That is the most you will ever pay.[20]

   

After adjusting for inflation, the result of this calculation equates to a maximum tax collection of $1,630 per person.[21] In 2007, the maximum tax collection per person was $12,090, or more than seven times this amount.[22]

 

* During the 2008 presidential race, Barack Obama’s campaign stated that he is considering increasing Social Security taxes on those making above $250,000/year by 2% to 4%.[23]

 

* During the 2008 presidential race, John McCain pledged not to increase Social Security taxes.[24] [25]

 
Benefits

 

NOTE: The following projections are based upon what the current law specifies. This does not mean that there will be enough money in the Social Security program to pay for these benefits. Information concerning the financial stability of the Social Security program is contained in the next section.

 


Old Age Benefits

 

* In general, to qualify for old age benefits, a person must work for ten years, earning at least $4,000 a year (in 2007).[26]

 

* Old age benefits are calculated in a way that takes into account the Social Security taxes paid by the worker.[27]

 

* People who have lower incomes receive a higher ratio of benefits to taxes.[28] If a 20-year-old earns $30,000/year for the next forty-six years, they would receive a yearly old-age benefit that is about four times the amount of the yearly taxes that they paid. If the same individual were to make $85,000 per year, their yearly benefit would be 2.5 times the yearly taxes that they paid. [29]

 

* Old age benefits are generally increased each December based upon a cost of living adjustment.[30]

 

* The age at which a worker receives full Social Security old age benefits is referred to as the “full retirement age.” A person’s full retirement age can be between 65 and 67 years old, depending upon their year of birth. For those born after 1959, full retirement age is 67 (More details in footnote.)[31]

 


Retirement Income

 

* The statement issued by the Social Security Administration to all participants states the following:

 

Social Security is the largest source of income for most elderly Americans today, but Social Security was never intended to be your only source of income when you retire. You also will need other savings, investments, pensions or retirement accounts to make sure you have enough money to live comfortably when you retire.[32]

 

* As of 2008, Social Security is paying an average of $12,948/year to individual retired workers receiving old age benefits. The poverty level for an individual is $10,400.[33] [34]

 

* As of 2008, Social Security is paying an average of $21,132/year to couples receiving old age benefits. The poverty level for a couple is $14,000.[35] [36]

 


Disability Benefits

 

* In general, to qualify for disability benefits, there are two criteria that must be satisfied:

 

1. A “recent work” test based on your age at the time you became disabled; and

 

2. A “duration of work” test to show that you worked long enough under Social Security.                         

(More details in footnote.)[37]

 

* In general, recipients begin to receive disability benefits after they have been disabled for five full months.[38]

 

* Disability benefits are calculated based upon a formula that takes into account the average Social Security taxes paid by the worker.[39]

  

* Disability benefits are generally increased once a year based upon the increased cost of living.[40]

 


 

* The Social Security administration is required by law to send statements to workers once a year outlining their projected benefits. You should receive it about 3 months before your birthday. If you do not receive it, call 1-800-772-1213 or go to http://www.ssa.gov/.[41]

 
Financial Stability

 

* The Social Security program has an independent budget that is separate from the rest of the federal government.[42]

 

* Since 1982, Social Security has had surpluses every year.[43] By law, these surpluses must be loaned to the federal government, which is obligated to pay the money back with interest.[44] [45] [46]

 

* Social Security is projected to continue having annual surpluses until 2017.[47] [48]

 

* In 2017, the Social Security program is projected to start having annual deficits that will be covered by collecting on the money it has loaned to the federal government. By 2041, it is projected that all of this money will be paid back and the trust fund will have a balance of zero.[49]

 

NOTE: The above fact does not mean that the federal government will have enough money to pay back the Social Security program. Information concerning the ability of the federal government to do so is contained in the section: Impact on National Debt

 

* After 2041, Social Security is projected to have deficits every year into the foreseeable future.[50] If money is borrowed to cover these shortfalls for the next 41 years, this debt (including interest) would amount to $36 trillion ($36,000,000,000,000) or an additional $153,000 (in 2008 dollars) for every person expected to be paying Social Security taxes in 2082.[51] [52]

 

* To cover these shortfalls, Social Security payroll taxes would need to be increased by 28% starting in 2041, rising to a 34% increase by 2082.[53] This shortfall could also be covered by reducing benefits by 21% starting in 2041, falling to a 24% reduction by 2082.[54]

 


Reliability of Projections

 

* In 2001, Social Security projected the Trust Fund balance to reach $2.54 trillion by the end of 2007. It actually reached $2.24 trillion, or 13% lower than projected.[55] [56]

 


 

* In 2001, the Social Security Administration projected that payroll taxes would need to be increased by about 37% to cover the projected deficit in 2041.[57]

 

* In 2008, the Social Security Administration projected that payroll taxes would need to be increased by about 28% to cover the projected deficit in 2041.[58]

 


Summary

 

* Projected financial status of the Social Security program:

 

Time Period  Financial Status
1984- 2016 The Social Security program brings in more money than it spends. The surplus money is loaned to the federal government.
2017-2041 The Social Security program spends more money than it brings in. The federal government pays back the money that the Social Security program has loaned to it with interest. The trust fund ends this period with a balance of zero.
2041-2082 The Social Security program runs annual deficits that accumulate to $36 trillion, which could be covered by (a) increasing payroll taxes 28% starting in 2041, rising to a 34% increase by 2082, or (b) reducing benefits by 21% starting in 2041, falling to a 24% reduction by 2082.

 

 


 └ Causes and Effects

 

* One of the causes for the projected deficits is that the number of workers paying taxes compared to the number of people receiving benefits has fallen and is projected to fall further.

 

Year  Ratio of people paying taxes

 to people receiving benefits

1945  41.9 / 1
1950  16.5 / 1
1960  5.1 / 1
1970  3.7 / 1
1980  3.2 / 1
1990  3.4 / 1
2000  3.4 / 1
2007  3.3 / 1
2030  2.2 / 1
2070  2.1 / 1

[59]

 

* Factors that have contributed to the falling ratio of people paying taxes compared to people receiving benefits:

 

1) Increase in life expectancy without a comparable increase in the retirement age:

 

- Since Social Security began paying benefits in 1940, the life expectancy of the average 65-year old male and female has gone up 40% and 45% respectively.[60] [61] [62]

 

- Benefits and taxes are automatically indexed on an annual basis to compensate for inflation and wage growth. The retirement age is not indexed to compensate for increased life expectancy.[63]

 

2) The higher birth rate of the baby boom generation compared to the birth rates of succeeding generations:

 

- In 1960 (during the baby boom), the average birth rate per woman was 3.6.[64] [65] By 1975, the average birth rate had fallen to 1.77. As of 2004, it is at 2.05.[66]

 

3) The increasing number of people receiving disability benefits:

 

- Between 1960 and 2005, the U.S. population grew by 59%. During the same period, the number of people receiving disability benefits increased by 1,109%.[67] [68]

 
Public Perceptions

 

Perception:

 

I am entitled to my Social Security benefits. It’s my money. I’ve saved it.[69]

 

* Social Security Administration publication number 05-10024 states:

 

The money you pay in taxes is not held in a personal account for you to use when you get benefits. Your taxes are being used right now to pay people who now are getting benefits. Any unused money goes to the Social Security trust funds, not a personal account with your name on it.[70]

 

* All taxes that have been paid into the Social Security system since its inception have been spent to pay benefits, fund the administrative overhead of the program, or loaned to the federal government.[71] [72] [73]

 

* In its 2000 budget, the Clinton administration stated that the Social Security Trust Funds

 

do not consist of real economic assets that can be drawn down in the future to fund benefits. Instead, they are claims on the Treasury that, when redeemed, will have to be financed by raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or reducing benefits or other expenditures.[74]

 

* As of 2007, for every person receiving benefits, there are 3.3 people paying payroll taxes.[75] This ratio is projected to continue decreasing until beyond 2070:

 

[76]

 


 

Perception:

 

If politicians didn’t take money out of the Social Security program, it would be fine now.

 

* No money has been taken from the Social Security program.[77] Social Security surpluses are loaned to the federal government.[78] [79] This is a requirement that was established in the original Social Security Act.[80] The federal government is required by law to pay back this money to the Social Security program with interest, and it has never failed to do so.[81] [82] [83]

 
Accountability

 

* In 2007, the administrative cost of the Social Security program was $5.5 billion. This is equal to 0.9% of the benefit payments that Social Security made that year, or enough to pay monthly Social Security retirement benefits to 424,776 individual retired workers for one year.[84] [85]

 
Impact on National Debt

 

NOTE: For a compelling news story on this topic, visit our Exclusive News Service article: The Impact of Social Security on the National Debt

 
Trust Fund Assets Consist of Federal Debt

 

* The Social Security program has an independent budget that is separate from the rest of the federal government.[86]

 

* When the Social Security program collects more in taxes than it spends, it generates surplus money. By law, the only thing that the Social Security program can do with surplus money is to loan it to the U.S. government.[87] [88]

 

* When the Social Security program loans money to the U.S. government, the government is obligated by law to pay this money back to the Social Security program with interest. This money becomes a part of the national debt.[89] [90] [91]

 

* As of June, 2008, the U.S. government owes $2.36 trillion to the Social Security program. This comes to $7,800 for every man, woman, and child living in the United States.[92] [93]

 


Debt to be Paid

 

* The U.S. government divides the national debt into two categories:

 

1) Money that it owes to federal entities such as the Social Security program and federal employee retirement funds.

 

2) Money that it owes to non-federal entities such as individuals who have purchased U.S. Savings Bonds.[94] [95]

 

* As of June 30, 2008, the national debt looks like this:

 

Money owed to federal entities  4.2 trillion
Money owed to non-federal entities  5.3 trillion
National debt (total)  9.5 trillion

[96]

 

[97] [98]

 
Personal Ownership

 

* Under current law, the money that people pay in Social Security taxes is not saved for them and is not their property.[99]

 

* For a worker who is 34 years old in 2008 and plans to retire at 67 in 2041, their retirement benefits will be derived solely from year 2041 taxpayers. Under current law, tax revenue in 2041 is projected to be sufficient to pay 78% of Social Security benefits.[100]

 

* Proposals have been made to change a portion of Social Security from a benefit program to a savings program. These savings would be the personal property of each person who chose to participate. In turn, their Social Security old-age benefits would be reduced to correspond with the amount of taxes they paid into the program.[101]

 

* Under the current system, a 22-year-old person who works for the next 45 years earning $50,000/ year will contribute $279,000 to the Social Security program. When he or she turns 67 years old in 2053, all of the money they have contributed will be spent. Any old age benefits they receive would be derived from taxpayer revenue at that time.[102] [103]

 

* If this same person put 16% of their Social Security taxes into a personal account and it earned 7% above the rate of inflation, he or she will have saved $263,991 (2008 dollars) when they turn 67 years old in 2053.[104]

 

* From 1871 to 2002, (including the Great Depression), the stock market (S&P 500) has averaged more than 8% above the rate of inflation.[105]

 


Politics

 

* The Republican Party supports giving workers the option to place a portion of their Social Security taxes into a personal account. The Democratic Party does not.[106] [107]

 

* Barack Obama opposes giving workers the option to place a portion of their Social Security taxes into a personal account.[108] [109]

 


Chile

 

* In 1981, the South American nation of Chile instituted a social security personal ownership program.[110]

 

* Prior to this reform, Chile had a government-run social security program.[111]

 

* Chile’s personal ownership system has the following attributes:

 

- The contribution rate, including fees and taxes, is 14.04%.[112] [113] The tax rate for the government-run program ranged between 15.75% and 24.91%.[114]

 

- Each participating worker has an individual account into which their contributions are deposited. They have a choice of five government approved investment funds. [115] [116] [117]

 

- Full retirement age is 65 for men and 60 for women, but it is possible to retire before this age if your personal retirement account meets certain conditions.[118]

 

- At retirement, people have three options for how to receive their retirement money.[119]

 

* The average annual yield on these personal ownership accounts from 1981 to 2002 was 10.7% above the rate of inflation. The costs for administering the accounts averaged 3.4%, leaving a total annual yield of 7.3% above the rate of inflation.[120] [121]

 

* The government system paid benefits by taxing people who were currently working and had an accumulated deficit equal to more than 100% of Chile’s Gross Domestic Product.[122] [123]

 

* The personal ownership system is self-funded and has no deficit. Three times per year workers receive a statement that informs them how much money they have saved.[124] [125] [126]

 
Privacy

 

* Beginning in 1946, Social Security cards had the following sentence imprinted on them:

 

FOR SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.[127]

 

* Since 1961, various Congresses and Presidents have enacted laws requiring the use of Social Security numbers for identity-related functions.[128]

 

* Starting in 1972, the sentence reading “For Social Security Purposes -- Not For Identification” was removed from all newly issued Social Security cards.[129]

 

* In 1994, Democratic Congressman Dick Gephardt sponsored a law that passed Congress with 67% of Democrats and 70% of Republicans voting for it. Democratic President Bill Clinton signed it into law. This legislation contains a section entitled:

 

TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS REQUIRED AT BIRTH.[130]

      

This law requires that parents submit Social Security numbers for their children with their tax return in order to obtain a tax exemption for their children.[131]

 

* The web site of the U.S. Social Security Administration states:

 

The Social Security number was originally devised to keep an accurate record of each individual’s earnings, and to subsequently monitor benefits paid under the Social Security program. However, use of the number as a general identifier has grown to the point where it is the most commonly used and convenient identifier for all types of record-keeping systems in the United States.

 

It is also states:

 

If a business or other enterprise asks you for your number, you can refuse to give it. However, that may mean doing without the purchase or service for which your number was requested.[132]

 
Sources

 

[1] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

[2] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html

 

[3] Report: “Major Decisions in the House and Senate on Social Security.” By Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears. Domestic Social Policy Division, Social Security Administration, March 26, 2001. http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html

 

H.R. 7225, the Social Security Amendments of 1956, was signed by President Eisenhower on August 1, 1956. The amendments provided benefits, after a 6-month waiting period, for permanently and totally disabled workers aged 50 to 64 who were fully insured and had at least 5 years of coverage in the 10-year period before becoming disabled; to a dependent child 18 and older of a deceased or retired insured worker if the child became disabled before age 18; to women workers and wives at the age of 62, instead of 65, with actuarially reduced benefits; reduced from 65 to 62 the age at which benefits were payable to widows or parents, with no reduction; extended coverage to lawyers, dentists, veterinarians, optometrists, and all other self-employed professionals except doctors99 increased the tax rate by 0.25% on employer and employee each (0.375% for self-employed people) to finance disability benefits (thereby raising the aggregate tax rate ultimately to 4.25%); and created a separate disability insurance (DI) trust fund. The Social Security program now consisted of old-age, survivors, and disability insurance [Social Security].

 

[4] Web page: “History: Signing the Social Security Act of 1935.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed November 17, 2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/fdrsign.html

 

President Roosevelt signing Social Security Act of 1935 in the Cabinet Room of the White House. Also shown, left to right:

Rep. Robert Doughton (D-NC); Sen. Robert Wagner (D-NY); Rep. John Dingell, Sr. (D-MI); Unknown man in bowtie; Secretary of Labor, Frances Perkins; Senator Pat Harrison (D-MS); Congressman David L. Lewis (D-MD). Library of Congress photo, LC-US262-123278.

 

[5] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 4: “Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.”

 

Page 4: “In 2007, net contributions accounted for 84 percent [$656.1 billion] of total trust fund income [$784.9 billion]. Net contributions consist of taxes paid by employees, employers and the self-employed on earnings covered by Social Security.”

 

[6] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 4: “Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.”

 

Page 5: “More than 98 percent of expenditures from the combined [Social Security] Trust Funds in 2007 went to pay retirement, survivor, and disability benefits totaling $584.9 billion.”

 

[7] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 50: “Table IV.B2: Covered Workers and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085.”

 

[8] Web page: “Population, Population change and estimated components of population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007.” United States Census Bureau. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.census.gov/popest/datasets.html

 

{See CSV file under the heading “Population, Population change and estimated components of population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007 (NST-EST2007-alldata).” Cell O2 in the spreadsheet is the 2007 population estimate. The U.S. Census Bureau estimates the U.S. population to be 301,621,157 for 2007. The last census (2000) found the population to be 281,421,906. The 2000 census can be found at http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/c2kprof00-us.pdf}

 

[9] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.— Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[10] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[11] Calculations performed with data from:

 

a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 4:

 

Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.

 

In 2007, net contributions accounted for 84 percent [$656.1 billion] of total trust fund income. Net contributions consist of taxes paid by employees, employers and the self-employed on earnings covered by Social Security.

 

b) Report: “2007 Financial Report of the U.S. Government.” United States Department of the Treasury, December 10, 2007. http://www.gao.gov/financial/fy2007/07frusg.pdf

 

Page 3: “Table 1: The Nation by the Numbers – An Overview.”

 
Year  Total Taxes and Other

 Revenues (in billions)

2005  $2,185.5
2006  $2,440.8
2007  $2,627.3

 

CALCULATION: 656,100,000,000 / 2,627,300,000,000 = 24.97%

 

[12] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 4: “Net contributions consist of taxes paid by employees, employers and the self-employed on earnings covered by Social Security. These taxes were paid on covered earnings up to a specified maximum annual amount, which was $97,500 in 2007 and is increased each year automatically (to $102,000 in 2008) as the average wage increases.”

 

[13] Web page: “History of SSA-related Legislation: 103rd Congress.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.socialsecurity.gov/legislation/history/103.htm

 

“PL 103-66 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993 (enacted 8/10/93). Section 13207 repeals the limitation on the amount of earnings subject to the HI [Hospital Insurance] tax beginning in 1994.”

 

[14] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html

 

SEC. 811. When used in this title- (a) The term wages means all remuneration for employment, including the cash value of all remuneration paid in any medium other than cash; except that such term shall not include that part of the remuneration which, after remuneration equal to $3,000 has been paid to an individual by an employer with respect to employment during any calendar year, is paid to such individual by such employer with respect to employment during such calendar year.

 

[15] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in the Social Security Cash Benefits Program: 1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann. Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress. Updated December 20, 1996. http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf

 

Page CRS-11:

 

The 1972 amendments introduced the concept of automatic adjustments or “indexing” to the Social Security system. They provided that, effective in 1975, benefit increases would be tied directly, or indexed, to rises in the cost of living. Under this new procedure, benefits would be increased automatically each January (through a cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA) when inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3% or more from the approximate time of the last benefit increase. In addition, effective in 1975, the earnings base and the exempt amount under the earnings test would be adjusted automatically to keep pace with changes in wage levels.

 

[16] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:

 

a) “The 2000 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 30, 2000. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR00/tr00.pdf

 

Pages 34-35: “Table II.B1, Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[The wage threshold was $3,600 in 1951.]

 

b) “The 2000 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 30, 2000. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR00/tr00.pdf

 

Page 66: “Table II.E2, Average Wage Index, Calendar Years 1951-98.”

 

[The AWI for 1951 was $2,799.16.]

 

{1951 was chosen because it is the earliest year for which average wage index (AWI) data was readily available from the Social Security Administration. See also http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/AWI.html}

 

CALCULATION: $3,600.00 / $2,799.16 = 128.61%

 

[17] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:

 

a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 102-103: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index, Contribution and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, 1975-2017.”

 

[Contribution and benefit base for 2007 is $97,500.]

 

b) Web page: “Automatic Increases: National Average Wage Index.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified October 16, 2008.

http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/AWI.html

 

[The 2007 Average Wage Index is $40,405.48.]

 

CALCULATION: $97,500 / $40,405.48 = 241.30%

 

[18] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html

 

SEC. 801.

In addition to other taxes, there shall be levied, collected, and paid upon the income of every individual a tax equal to the following percentages of the wages (as defined in section 811) received by him after December 31, 1936, with respect to employment (as defined in section 811) after such date:

(1) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939, the rate shall be 1 per centum.

(2) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942, the rate shall be 1 per centum.

(3) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945, the rate shall be 2 per centum.

(4) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948, the rate shall be 2 per centum.

(5) With respect to employment after December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per centum.

 

SEC. 804. In addition to other taxes, every employer shall pay an excise tax, with respect to having individuals in his employ, equal to the following percentages of the wages (as defined in section 811) paid by him after December 31, 1936, with respect to employment (as defined in section 811) after such date:

(1) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939, the rate shall be 1 per centum.

(2) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942, the rate shall be 1 per centum.

(3) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945, the rate shall be 2 per centum.

(4) With respect to employment during the calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948, the rate shall be 2 per centum.

(5) With respect to employment after December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per centum.

 

[19] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[20] Web page: “History: The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social Security.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html

 

[21] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:

 

a) Web page: “History: The 1936 Government Pamphlet on Social Security.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html

 

b) Web page: “What is a Dollar Worth?” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, October 29, 2008. http://www.minneapolisfed.org/

 

{On the right hand side of the web page is a consumer price index based calculator that allows you to inflation adjust a dollar amount from the past into today’s dollars.}

 

CALCULATION: 6% of $3,000 = $180. {The tax rate of 6% is used because this was the total tax levied (employer plus employee) at that time. Figure adjusted for inflation using http://www.minneapolisfed.org/. On October 29, 2008: $180 in 1949 was worth $1,630.59.}

 

[22] Calculation performed with data from “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[In 2007, the wage threshold was $97,500 and the tax rate was 12.4% (employer plus employee).]

 

CALCULATION: $97,500 x 12.4% = $12,090

 

[23] Web page: “Barack Obama’s Plan.” Obama for America. Accessed October 29, 2008 at http://www.barackobama.com/issues/socialsecurity/#retirement-savings

 

As part of a bipartisan plan that would be phased in over many years, he would ask those making over $250,000 to contribute a bit more to Social Security to keep it sound.

 

… Obama does not support uncapping the full payroll tax of 12.4 percent rate. Instead, he is considering plans that would ask those making over $250,000 to pay in the range of 2 to 4 percent more in total (combined employer and employee).

 

[24] Article: “McCain: No New Taxes (Redux).” By Michael Cooper. New York Times, July 30, 2008. http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/07/30/mccain-no-new-taxes-redux/

 

“I want to look you in the eye: I will not raise your taxes nor support a tax increase," [McCain] said here Wednesday at a town-hall-style meeting at the Wagner Company, a Caterpillar dealer. “I will not do it."

 

… Mr. McCain said. “I am opposed to raising taxes on Social Security.”

 

[25] Press release: “ATR Commends McCain’s Anti-Tax Vows.” Americans for Tax Reform, August 4, 2008. http://www.atr.org/content/pdf/2008/August/080108pr_mccain...

 

{This document contains a compilation of statements, interviews and videos whereby John McCain states his opposition to new taxes and tax increases.}

 

[26] Web page: “Your Social Security Statement.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf

 

Page 4: “To qualify for benefits, you earn “credits” through your work — up to four each year. This year, for example, you earn one credit for each $1,000 of wages or self-employment income. When you’ve earned $4,000, you’ve earned your four credits for the year. Most people need 40 credits, earned over their working lifetime, to receive retirement benefits.”

 

{The Social Security administration is required by law to send statements to workers once a year outlining their projected benefits.}

 

[27] Publication number 05-10070: “Your Retirement Benefit: How it is Figured.” United States Social Security Administration, January 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10070.html

 

Many people wonder how their benefit is figured. Social Security benefits are based on your lifetime earnings. Your actual earnings are adjusted or “indexed” to account for changes in average wages since the year the earnings were received. Then Social Security calculates your average indexed monthly earnings during the 35 years in which you earned the most. We apply a formula to these earnings and arrive at your basic benefit, or “primary insurance amount” (PIA). This is how much you would receive at your full retirement age—65 or older, depending on your date of birth.

 

NOTE: All worker earnings are taxed (up to a threshold amount that changes yearly) at the same rate, therefore there is a direct correlation between average earnings and Social Security taxes paid.

 

[28] Web page: “Automatic Increases: Primary Insurance Amount.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/COLA/piaformula.html

 

PIA definition

The “primary insurance amount” (PIA) is the benefit (before rounding down to next lower whole dollar) a person would receive if he/she elects to begin receiving retirement benefits at his/her normal retirement age. At this age, the benefit is neither reduced for early retirement nor increased for delayed retirement.

 

PIA formula bend points

The PIA is the sum of three separate percentages of portions of average indexed monthly earnings. The portions depend on the year in which a worker attains age 62, becomes disabled before age 62, or dies before attaining age 62.

 

For 2008 these portions are the first $711, the amount between $711 and $4,288, and the amount over $4,288. These dollar amounts are the “bend points” of the 2008 PIA formula. A table shows bend points, for years beginning with 1979, for both the PIA and maximum family benefit formulas.

 

PIA formula

For an individual who first becomes eligible for old-age insurance benefits or disability insurance benefits in 2008, or who dies in 2008 before becoming eligible for benefits, his/her PIA will be the sum of:

(a) 90 percent of the first $711 of his/her average indexed monthly earnings, plus

(b) 32 percent of his/her average indexed monthly earnings over $711 and through $4,288, plus

(c) 15 percent of his/her average indexed monthly earnings over $4,288.

 

NOTE: The above PIA formula weights lower average earnings more so than greater earnings on a percentage basis. See next note for more information.

 

[29] Calculation performed with data from::

 

a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[Employers and employees pay a tax of 6.2% each for a total Social Security tax of 12.4%.]

 

b) Web page: “Social Security Administration’s Online Calculator.” United States Social Security Administration. Updated May 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/AnypiaApplet.html

 

On August 27, 2008, the following data was entered into the Online Calculator:

 

- An individual born August 28, 1987.

- First year of work is 2008 (works the full year).

- Retirement date of August 28, 2054 (67 years old).

- Projected benefits to be quoted in today’s (2008) dollars.

 

Keeping the above data constant, the following yearly income data was entered into the Online Calculator and the resulting benefits were recorded and ratios calculated. Yearly taxes are calculated at 12.4% of yearly income:

 
Yearly Income  Yearly Taxes Paid Yearly Benefit

at Retirement

 Ratio of Yearly Benefits

 to Yearly Tax

$25,000  $3,100  $12,936  417%
$30,000  $3,720  $14,544  391%
$35,000  $4,340  $16,140  372%
$40,000  $4,960  $17,736  358%
$45,000  $5,580  $19,344  347%
$50,000  $6,200  $20,940  338%
$55,000  $6,820  $21,936  322%
$60,000  $7,440  $22,692  305%
$65,000  $8,060  $23,436  291%
$70,000  $8,680  $24,192  279%
$75,000  $9,300  $24,936  268%
$80,000  $9,920  $25,692  259%
$85,000  $10,540  $26,436  251%
$90,000  $11,160  $27,192  244%
$95,000  $11,780  $27,936  237%
$100,000  $12,400  $28,692  231%

 

[30] Web page: “Cost of Living Adjustments.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified October 16, 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/colaseries.html

 

[31] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, May 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html

 

For those born before 1938, the full retirement age to qualify for Social Security benefits is 65 years old.

 

For those born between 1938 and 1959, the full retirement age to qualify for Social Security benefits is defined by the following chart:

 
Year of Birth  Full Retirement Age
1938  65 and 2 months
1939  65 and 4 months
1940  65 and 6 months
1941  65 and 8 months
1942  65 and 10 months
1943 – 1954  66
1955  66 and 2 months
1956  66 and 4 months
1957  66 and 6 months
1958  66 and 8 months
1959  66 and 10 months

 

For those born after 1959, the full retirement age to qualify for Social Security benefits is 67 years old.

 

[32] Web page: “Your Social Security Statement.” United States Social Security Administration, May 27, 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf

 

[33] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, May 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html

 

[The average 2008 monthly Social Security benefit for an individual is $1,079/month, or $12,948/year.]

 

[34] Web page: “The 2008 HHS Poverty Guidelines.” United States Department of Health and Human Services. Last updated January 23, 2008. http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/08poverty.shtml

 

[The poverty level for a single person is $10,400 in 2008.]

 

[35] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, May 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html

 

[The average 2008 monthly Social Security benefits for a couple is $1,761/month, or $21,132/year.]

 

[36] Web page: “The 2008 HHS Poverty Guidelines.” United States Department of Health and Human Services. Last updated January 23, 2008. http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/08poverty.shtml

 

[The poverty level for two people is $14,000 in 2008.]

 

[37] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, June 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf

 

Pages 5-7:

 

 Rules for work needed for the “recent work” test

In or before the quarter you turn 24. 1.5 years of work during the three-year period ending with the quarter your disability began.
In the quarter after you turn age 24 but before the quarter you turn 31. Work during half the time for the period beginning with the quarter after you turned 21 and ending with the quarter you became disabled. Example: If you become disabled in the quarter you turned age 27, then you would need 3 years of work out of the six-year period ending with the quarter you became disabled.
In the quarter you turn age 31 or later. Work during five years out of the ten-year period ending with the quarter your disability began.

 
Examples of work needed for the “duration of work” test
If you become disabled…  Then you generally need:
Before age 28  1.5 years of work
Age 30  2 years
Age 34  3 years
Age 38  4 years
Age 42  5 years
Age 44  5.5 years
Age 46  6 years
Age 48  6.5 years
Age 50  7 years
Age 52  7.5 years
Age 54  8 years
Age 56  8.5 years
Age 58  9 years
Age 60  9.5 years

 

[38] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, June 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf

 

Page 12: “When do my benefits start? If your application is approved, your first Social Security disability benefits will be paid for the sixth full month after the date your disability began.”

 

[39] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, June 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf

 

Page 13: “How much will my benefits be? The amount of your monthly disability benefit is based on your average lifetime earnings. The Social Security Statement that you receive each year displays your lifetime earnings and provides an estimate of your disability benefit.”

 

[40] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 102: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index, Contribution and Benefit Bases, and Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts, 1975-2017.”

 

[41] “Your Social Security Statement.” United States Social Security Administration, 2007. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf

 

[42] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 131: “The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established on January 1, 1940 as a separate account in the United States Treasury. The Federal Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, another separate account in the United States Treasury, was established on August 1, 1956. All the financial operations of the OASI and DI programs are handled through these respective funds.”

 

[43] Web page: “Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Trust Funds, 1957-2007.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration. Updated June 10, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html

 

[44] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html

 

“By law, income to the trust funds must be invested, on a daily basis, in securities guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the Federal government.”

 

[45] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4, 2006. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm

 

“Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then become part of the total debt.”

 

[46] United States Code Title 3, Chapter 31, Section 3123: “Payment of obligations  and interest on the public debt.” http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/31/3123.html

 

“The faith of the United States Government is pledged to pay, in legal tender, principal and interest on the obligations of the Government issued under this chapter.”

 

[47] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 53: “Beginning in 2017, the [Social Security] program under the intermediate assumptions is projected to experience increasingly large cash-flow shortfalls….”

 

[48] Web page: “Table VI.F7-Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in Constant 2008 Dollars, Calendar Years 2008-85.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008. https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f7.html

 

NOTE: This table projects the assets of the Trust Funds at the end of each year and shows assets at the end of 2017 as $3.51 trillion. Though there is not a surplus projected beyond 2017, the Trust Fund assets are projected to grow into 2021 due to interest income. This same table is present in the 2008 Social Security Trustees Report, but does not contain all data for outer years.

 

[49] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income starting in 2017, at which time the annual gap will be covered with cash from redemptions of special obligations of the Treasury that make up the trust fund assets until these assets are exhausted in 2041.”

 

[50] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 18: “Based on the Trustees’ best estimate, program cost will exceed tax revenues starting in 2017 and throughout the remainder of the 75-year projection period. Social Security’s combined trust funds are projected to allow full payment of scheduled benefits until they become exhausted in 2041. At that time annual tax income to the trust funds is projected to equal about 78 percent of program costs.”

 

[51] Calculation performed with data from the following sources:

 

a) Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report Intermediate Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration, October 16, 2008.

 

[The Social Security Trust Fund end of year assets are projected to be -$277,143,351,000,000 in 2082.]

 

b) Web page: “Selected Economic Variables: Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic Variables Calendar Years 2007-85.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f6.html

 

[The adjusted CPI (consumer price index) from this table is 769.36 for 2082.]

 

CALCULATION: -277.1 trillion (2082 $) / (769.36/100) = -36.0 trillion (2008 $)

 

[52] Calculation performed with data from the source above and the following source:

 

Web page: “Table IV.B2.-Covered Workers and Beneficiaries Calendar Years 1945-2085.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008. https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html

 

[The number of covered workers (those paying Social Security taxes) in 2082 is projected to be 234,346,000.]

 

CALCULATION: $36,000,000,000,000 / 234,346,000 = $153,619

 

[53] Calculations performed with data from: “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 18: “For example, payroll taxes could be raised to finance scheduled benefits fully in every year starting in 2041. In this case, the payroll tax would be increased to 15.94 percent at the point of trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and continue rising to 16.60 percent in 2082.”

 

CALCULATIONS:

 

(15.94-12.4) / 12.4 = 0.28

(16.60-12.4) / 12.4 = 0.34

 

[54] Calculations performed with data from:

 

Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund Operations: 2008 Trustees Report Intermediate Assumptions.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security Administration, October 16, 2008.

 
Year  Income

(excluding interest)

 Scheduled Benefits
2041  3,085,670  3,898,638
2082  18,023,648  23,739,110

 

CALCULATIONS:

 

2041: (3,898,638 - 3,085,670) / 3,898,638 = .21

2082: (23,739,110 - 18,023,648) / 23,739,110 = .24

 

[55] The 2001 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 19, 2001. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR01/tr01.pdf

 

Page 39: “Table IV.A3.—Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Years 1996-2010.”

 

[End of year assets for 2007 listed as $2,536.1 billion.]

 

[56] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 4: “Table II.B1.—Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.”

 

[Actual assets at the end of 2007 were $2,238.5 billion.]

 

[57] Calculation performed with data from:

 

 “Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars: Intermediate Assumptions 2001 Trustees Report.” Office of the Chief Actuary, Unites States Social Security Administration, February 13, 2001.

 

[In 2001, Social Security projected 2041 income excluding interest to be $3.528 trillion and payroll taxes to be $3.323 trillion. Total Social Security program outgo was projected to be $4.755 trillion in 2041.]

 

CALCULATION: (4.755 – 3.528) / 3.323 = 36.9%

 

[58] Calculation performed with data from:

 

“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 18: “For example, payroll taxes could be raised to finance scheduled benefits fully in every year starting in 2041. In this case, the payroll tax would be increased to 15.94 percent at the point of trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and continue rising to 16.60 percent in 2082.”

 

Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”

 

[Tax rate from 1990 through 2008 is 12.4%.]

 

CALCULATION: (15.94-12.4) / 12.4 = 28%

 

[59] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 50-51: 

 

Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …

 

1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due.

 

[60] Publication No. 21-059: “Social Security: A Brief History.” United States Social Security Administration, October 2007. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf

 

Page 21: “[On January 31, 1940] Ida May Fuller became the first person to receive an old-age monthly benefit check.”

 

[61] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 85: “Table V.A3.—Period Life Expectancy.”

 

{Data from 2004 is used because it is the latest year available in this table that is not an estimate. Footnote 1 on Table V.A3 states: “The period life expectancy at a given age for a given year represents the average number of years of life remaining if a group of persons at that age were to experience the mortality rates for that year over the course of their remaining lives.”}

 

[62] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 85: “Table V.A3.—Period Life Expectancy.”

 

{Data from 2004 is used because it is the latest year available in this table that is not an estimate. Footnote 1 on Table V.A3 states: “The period life expectancy at a given age for a given year represents the average number of years of life remaining if a group of persons at that age were to experience the mortality rates for that year over the course of their remaining lives.”}

 

[63] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

{See pages 100 through 107 which explains “automatically adjusted program parameters” in detail.}

 

[64] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 200: “Baby boom. The period from the end of World War II through the mid-1960s marked by unusually high birth rates.”

 

[65] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 80-81: “Table V.A1.—Principal Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2085.”

 

{2004 is the latest data available that is not an estimate.}

 

[66] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 80-81: “Table V.A1.—Principal Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years 1940-2085.”

 

{2004 is the latest data available that is not an estimate.}

 

[67] Calculation performed with data from:

 

“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 82: “Table V.A2.—Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios, Calendar Years 1950-2085.”

 

[Population in 1960 = 190,172,000; population in 2005 = 302,863,000.]

 

CALCULATION:  (302,863,000 – 190,172,000) / 190,172,000 = 59.26%

 

[68] Calculation performed with data from:

 

“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 124: “Table V.C5.—DI Beneficiaries With Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the End of Calendar Years 1960-2085.”

 

[Disability insurance beneficiaries in 1960: 687,000; disability insurance beneficiaries in 2005: 8,309,000.]

 

CALCULATION: (8,309,000 – 687,000) / 687,000 = 1,109.46%

 

[69] Transcript: “NBC Nightly News” (6:30 PM ET). NBC, February 26, 2004.

 

BRIAN WILLIAMS reporting: Inside this small private elementary school in Manhattan, Mimi Baso came to work this morning thinking about retirement. She has no plans to retire but these days worries about getting back all the Social Security money she paid in.

 

Ms. MIMI BASO: I am entitled to the money. It’s my money. I’ve saved it.

 

[70] Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, May 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html

 

The current Social Security system works like this: when you work, you pay taxes into Social Security. The tax money is used to pay benefits to:

 

• People who already have retired;

• People who are disabled;

• Survivors of workers who have died; and

• Dependents of beneficiaries.

 

The money you pay in taxes is not held in a personal account for you to use when you get benefits. Your taxes are being used right now to pay people who now are getting benefits. Any unused money goes to the Social Security trust funds, not a personal account with your name on it.

 

[71] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 4: “Table II.B1. Summary of 2007 Trust Fund Financial Operations.”

 

Page 27: “Table III.A3.—Operations of the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar Year 2007.”

 

{This table accounts for all receipts and disbursements of the Social Security Trust Funds. Trust Fund assets increased in 2007 by $190.4 billion. As tables VI.A5 and VI.A6 show, all of these additional monies were invested in government obligations.}

 

Page 142: “Table VI.A5. Assets of the OASI [Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] Trust Fund, End of Calendar Years 2006 and 2007.”

 

Page 143: “Table VI.A6. Assets of the DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Fund, End of Calendar Years 2006 and 2007.”

 

{Note that the total OASDI [Social Security] Trust Fund assets at the close of 2007 ($2,238 trillion) are equivalent to the sum of the OASI [Old-Age and Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance] assets ($2,023 billion and $214.88 billion respectively) that are invested in government obligations. All Trust Fund assets are thus invested in government obligations.}

 

Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest-bearing Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in the trust funds.”

 

[72] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31, 2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html

 

Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to invest such portion of the amounts credited to the Account as is not, in his judgment, required to meet current withdrawals. Such investment may be made only in interest-bearing obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the United States.”

 

[73] Report: “Major Decisions in the House and Senate on Social Security.” By Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears. Domestic Social Policy Division, Social Security Administration, March 26, 2001. http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html

 

{The Social Security Act of 1935 established that assets be invested in obligations of the United States or guaranteed by the United States. The 2008 Trustees Report shows that this was the case in 2007. The document referenced here shows that there have not been any major decisions altering this in the intervening years. Thus, all money paid to Social Security during its seventy-plus years was either spent or loaned to the federal government.}

 

[74] Report: Analytical Perspectives: Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2000. Executive Office of the President of the United States, U.S. Government Printing Office, 1999. http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy00/pdf/spec.pdf

 

Page 337:

 

These balances are available to finance future benefit payments and other trust fund expenditures—but only in a bookkeeping sense. These funds are not set up to be pension funds, like the funds of private pension plans. They do not consist of real economic assets that can be drawn down in the future to fund benefits. Instead, they are claims on the Treasury that, when redeemed, will have to be financed by raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or reducing benefits or other expenditures. The existence of large trust fund balances, therefore, does not, by itself, have any impact on the Government’s ability to pay benefits.

 

[75] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Pages 50-51: 

 

Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …

 

1 Workers who are paid at some time during the year for employment on which OASDI taxes are due.

 

[76] Constructed with data from:

 

Web page: “Covered Workers and Beneficiaries: Table IV.B2.-Covered Workers and Beneficiaries Calendar Year 1945-2085.” United States Social Security Administration, Last reviewed or modified March 25, 2008. https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html

 

[77] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 135: “The Social Security Act does not permit expenditures from the [Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose not related to the payment of benefits or administrative costs for the OASDI [Social Security] program.”

 

[78] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest-bearing Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in the trust funds.”

 

[79] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4, 2006. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm

 

“Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then become part of the total debt.”

 

[80] Web page: “Legislative History: Social Security Act of 1935.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html

 

Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the Secretary of the Treasury to invest such portion of the amounts credited to the Account as is not, in his judgment, required to meet current withdrawals. Such investment may be made only in interest-bearing obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the United States.”

 

[81] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 24: “All securities held by the trust funds are backed by the full faith and credit of the United States Government, as required by law.”

 

[82] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30, 2008. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf

 

{Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt Outstanding.”}

 

[83] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html

 

“The government has always repaid Social Security, with interest.”

 

[84] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 29: “Net administrative expenses charged to the [Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance] Trust Funds in calendar year 2007 totaled $5.5 billion. This amount represented 0.8 percent of contribution income and 0.9 percent of expenditures.”

 

[85] Calculations performed with data from the previous note and:

 

Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding the Benefits.” United States Social Security Administration, May 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html

 

[The average 2008 monthly Social Security benefit for retired workers is $1,079.]

 

CALCULATION: $5,5000,000,000 / $12,948 (average individual retired worker’s yearly Social Security retirement benefit for 2008) = 424,776

 

[86] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 131:

 

The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established on January 1, 1940 as a separate account in the United States Treasury. The Federal Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, another separate account in the United States Treasury, was established on August 1, 1956. All the financial operations of the OASI and DI programs are handled through these respective funds. The Board of Trustees is responsible for overseeing the financial operations of these funds.

 

[87] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds: Frequently Asked Questions.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified June 3, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html

 

"By law, income to the trust funds must be invested, on a daily basis, in securities guaranteed as to both principal and interest by the Federal government. All securities held by the trust funds are “special issues” of the United States Treasury. Such securities are available only to the trust funds."

 

[88] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 214: “[Social Security Trust] Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest bearing Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in the trust funds.”

 

[89] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 214: “[Social Security Trust] Funds not withdrawn for current monthly or service benefits, the financial interchange, and administrative expenses are invested in interest bearing Federal securities, as required by law; the interest earned is also deposited in the trust funds.”

 

[90] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s the Difference?” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated August 4, 2006. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm

 

"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are required by law to invest accumulated surpluses in Treasury securities. The Treasury securities issued to the public and to the Government Trust Funds (intragovernmental holdings) then become part of the total debt."

 

[91] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30, 2008.

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf

 

{Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt Outstanding.”}

 

[92] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30, 2008.

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf

 

{Social Security’s assets are contained in the “Federal Disability Insurance Trust Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund.” Both of these appear on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the Public Debt Outstanding.”}

 

[93] Web page: “Population, Population change and estimated components of population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007.” United States Census Bureau. See CSV file located at: http://www.census.gov/popest/datasets.html

 

{The United States Census Bureau estimates the U.S. population to be 301,621,157 for 2007. The last census (2000) found the population to be 281,421,906. The 2000 census can be found at http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/c2kprof00-us.pdf}

 

[94] Web page: “Frequently Asked Questions About the Public Debt.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated February 27, 2007. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/resources/faq/faq_publicdebt.htm

            

What is the Debt Held by the Public?

 

The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities. Types of securities held by the public include, but are not limited to, Treasury Bills, Notes, Bonds, TIPS, United States Savings Bonds, and State and Local Government Series securities.

 

What are Intragovernmental Holdings?

 

Intragovernmental Holdings are Government Account Series securities held by Government trust funds, revolving funds, and special funds; and Federal Financing Bank securities. A small amount of marketable securities are held by government accounts.

 

[95] NOTE: There is considerable confusion regarding the terminology associated with the national debt. Listed below are some frequently used terms categorized by their proper meaning:

 

(a) Overall national debt – national debt, public debt, gross debt, debt.

 

(b) Portion of the national debt owed to federal entities – Nonmarketable debt, Intragovernmental holdings, debt held by the government, government held debt.

 

(c) Portion of the national debt owed to non-federal entities – Marketable debt, debt held by the public, publicly held debt. (Just Facts has come across numerous instances where politicians and reporters use terms that refer to the overall national debt, when in fact, they are only referring to this portion of the debt.)

 

[96] Report: “Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury, June 30, 2008.

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf

 

[97] Web page: “Historical Debt Outstanding – Annual: 1950- 1999 and 2000 - 2007.” Bureau of the Public Debt, United States Department of the Treasury. Last updated January 31, 2008. http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt.htm

 

[98] Web page: “Consumer Price Index 1913-2008,” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Accessed September 8, 2008 at http://www.minneapolisfed.org/community_education/teacher/calc/hist1913.cfm

 

{The rate of inflation was used from these tables to calculate how the national debt of $270,522,171,896 from 1957 would have grown due to inflation alone up until 2007.}

 

[99] Web page: “Social Security History: Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs. Nestor.” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed on November 11, 2008 at http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html

 

TO ENGRAFT UPON THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM A CONCEPT OF “ACCRUED PROPERTY RIGHTS” WOULD DEPRIVE IT OF THE FLEXIBILITY AND BOLDNESS IN ADJUSTMENT TO EVER-CHANGING CONDITIONS WHICH IT DEMANDS. SEE WOLLENBERG, VESTED RIGHTS IN SOCIAL-SECURITY BENEFITS, 37 ORE. L. REV. 299, 359. IT WAS DOUBTLESS OUT OF AN AWARENESS OF THE NEED FOR SUCH FLEXIBILITY THAT CONGRESS INCLUDED IN THE ORIGINAL ACT [363 U.S. 603, 611], AND HAS SINCE RETAINED, A CLAUSE EXPRESSLY RESERVING TO IT “THE RIGHT TO ALTER, AMEND, ORREPEAL ANY PROVISION” OF THE ACT. SEC. 1104, 49 STAT. 648,42 U.S.C. SEC. 1304.

 

{Read the entire court decision Flemming vs. Nestor at http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html for additional detail.}

 

[100] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 8:

 

Redemption of trust fund assets will allow continuation of full benefit payments on a timely basis until 2041, when the trust funds are projected to become exhausted. This redemption process will require a flow of cash from the General Fund of the Treasury. Pressures on the Federal Budget will thus emerge well before 2041. Even if a trust fund’s assets are exhausted, however, tax income will continue to flow into the fund. Present tax rates are projected to be sufficient to pay 78 percent of scheduled benefits after trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and 75 percent of scheduled benefits in 2082.

 

[101] Article: “Retiring With Dignity: Social Security Vs. Private Markets.” By William G. Shipman. The Cato Institute, August 14, 1995. http://www.cato.org/pubs/ssps/ssp2.html

 

[102] CALCULATION: ($50,000/year) X (45 years) X 12.4% = $279,000

 

[103] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf

 

Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income starting in 2017, at which time the annual gap will be covered with cash from redemptions of special obligations of the Treasury that make up the trust fund assets until these assets are exhausted in 2041.”

 

[104] CALCULATIONS:

 

($50,000/year) X (12.4%) X (16%) = $992.00/year

($992/year) compounded annually over 45 years at 7% = $263,991 (year 2008 dollars)

 

NOTE: Calculated with starting balance of $0, adding $992 per year and compounding one time per year. As a benchmark, the Chilean personal ownership accounts have been earning about 7% above the rate of inflation per year. (see upcoming section).

 

[105] Book: Market Volatility. By Robert J. Shiller. MIT Press, 1989. Chapter 26.

 

{Excel spreadsheet of the historical S&P 500 data (updated through 2002) available at: http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/chapt26.xls}

 

[106] Report: “2008 Republican Party Platform.” Republican National Committee, September 2008. http://www.gopplatform2008.com/2008Platform.pdf

 

Page 19: “Comprehensive reform should include the opportunity to freely choose to create your own personal investment accounts which are distinct from and supplemental to the overall Social Security system.”

 

[107] Report: “2008 Democratic Party Platform: “Renewing America’s Promise.” Democratic National Committee, August 25, 2008. http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=78283

 

“We will not privatize [Social Security].”

 

[108] Web page: “Obama ‘08, Seniors and Social Security” Obama for America. Accessed November 11, 2008 at http://www.barackobama.com/issues/socialsecurity/

 

“In the midst of the 2005 debate over Social Security privatization, Obama gave a major speech at the National Press Club forcefully arguing against privatization. He also repeatedly voted against Republican amendments that aimed to privatize Social Security or cut benefits.”

 

[109] Speech: “A Hope to Fulfill.” Barack Obama, April 26th, 2005. http://obama.senate.gov/speech/050426-_a_hope_to_fulfill/index.php

 

“I think we will save Social Security from privatization this year.”

 

[110] Bulletin Volume 63, No. 2: “Social Security Privatization in Latin America.” By Barbara E. Kritzer. United States Social Security Administration, December 2000. http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v63n2/v63n2p17.pdf

 

Pages 17-18: “In 1981, Chile became the first Latin American country to privatize its social security system. Chile switched from a defined-benefit, pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) system to a defined contribution system of individual accounts managed by private companies.”

 

[111] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf

 

Page 32: “Table II.5: BENEFITS OF THE THREE MAIN INSTITUTIONS IN THE OLD SYSTEM.”

 

[112] Bulletin Volume 63, No. 2:  “Social Security Privatization in Latin America.” By Barbara E. Kritzer. United States Social Security Administration, December 2000.

http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v63n2/v63n2p17.pdf

 

Pages 19-20: “Under Chile’s new system, workers pay 10 percent of earnings (mandatory for employees, voluntary for the self employed) to an individual account run by a pension fund management company (administradora de fondos de pension,or AFP). They also pay about 1.98 percent for administrative fees and 0.64 percent for survivors and disability insurance for a total of about 2.62 percent (AIOS 1999).”

 

NOTE: According to the Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones, administrative fees have averaged higher than what is quoted here. In keeping with our Standards of Credibility, Just Facts is using the higher amount of 3.4%. See next note for details.

 

[113] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf

 

Page 152: “Table No. VI.11: MONTHLY SOCIAL SECURITY COST FOR A MEMBER WITH THE AVERAGE INCOME OF THE AFP SYSTEM.”

 

{The average of the values in the column labeled “Social Security Cost % of Average Income” is 3.4%. Note that this cost has been on a downward trend.}

 

[114] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf

 

Page 29: “Table II.2 Contribution Rates for Pensions.”

 

{This range of rates represents those from the three main social security institutions (known as “Cajas”) in Chile in 1980. These three institutions involved 94% of the workers covered under Chile’s “old system.” The government collected between 32.5% and 41.04% of taxable wages for pensions, health benefits, industrial accidents and other things, but used the monies for these programs without distinction. See the bottom of page 28 and Table II.1 of this same document for explanation.}

 

[115] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf

 

Page 53: “The Pension System is based on individual capitalization. Each member has an individual account in which his/her social security contributions are deposited. These are capitalized and earn the yield on the investments made by the Administrators with the resources of the Funds.”

 

[116]  Brochure: “Compare Fondos, Superintendencia de AFP.” Gobierno de Chile, April 2008. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-5749_recurso_1.pdf

 

{This document is in Spanish and outlines the five funds available to investors.}

 

[117] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf

 

Pages 53-54:

 

The worker chooses the institution that he/she wishes to join, and may change from one Administrator to another whenever he/she thinks it advisable. He/she also has a free choice with regard to the type of Pension Fund in which to put his/her social security savings, though in the case of older members and pensioners there are certain limitations attached to the choice of Funds with relatively higher risk, as far as their mandatory contributions are concerned.

 

[118] Report: “Social Security Programs Throughout the World: The Americas 2007: Chile.” U.S. Social Security Administration and the International Social Security Association, March 2008. http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/progdesc/ssptw/2006-2007/americas/chile.pdf

 

Pages 76-77:

 

Old-age pension: Age 65 (men) or age 60 (women). If aged 55 or older (men) or aged 50 or older (women) on August 19, 2004, retirement before the normal retirement age is possible for insured persons with a pension equal to at least 50% of the insured’s average wage in the last 10 years and at least equal to 110% of the minimum old-age pension. If younger than age 55 (men) or age 50 (women) on August 19, 2004, retirement before the normal retirement age is possible for insured persons with a pension equal to at least 55% of the insured’s average wage in the last 10 years (rising to 70% by August 19, 2010) and at least equal to a 150% of the minimum old-age pension (beginning August 19, 2007).

 

[119] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf

 

Pages 68-69:

 

Decree-Law 3,500 established the existence of the following pension options from which members can choose, each with its own system of financing and administration:

 

a. Programmed Withdrawal: On retirement the worker keeps his/her Individual Capitalization Account in the Administrator to which he/she belongs, withdrawing annual amounts which are obtained by dividing the accumulated balance in the account by the capital required33. These annual amounts are divided into monthly instalments, are readjusted according to the rise in the cost of living and are recalculated every twelve months. With this kind of pension it is the AFP which manages the resources and the member who assumes the risks of longevity and reinvestment, while retaining the ownership of his/her funds. With the implementation of the law of multifunds, members receiving pensions under this option may choose any of the three lower-risk Funds (C, D and E) for the balance corresponding to their mandatory contributions. The reason for this restriction is to avoid pensioners taking high risks in investments made with their mandatory resources, since this might have an irreversible effect on the level of their retirement pensions and on the state guarantees for minimum pensions that are involved. Nonetheless, they may choose any of the five Funds for their voluntary contributions, agreed deposits and voluntary savings account. In addition to the above, the member may revoke his/her pension option decision at any time and change to the Life Annuity alternative.

 

b. Life Annuity: Members may sign a contract to have their pension paid by a Life Insurance Company (chosen by themselves). This company promises to pay them a constant monthly income, in real terms, as long as they live, and to pay a survivorship pension to their beneficiaries. In this way, the member’s resources are transferred to the Life Insurance Company which assumes both the financial risk and the risk of longevity on the part of the pensioner and his/her family group. Once the member has chosen this pension option and signed the contract, the decision is irrevocable, because the ownership of the resources is lost.

 

c. Temporary Income with Deferred Life Annuity: On deciding in favour of a temporary income, a contract is signed with a Life Insurance Company for the payment of a fixed monthly income, readjustable in UF, as from a date some time after the moment of retirement. Between the date on which the member requests this kind of pension and the date on which he/she begins to receive the life annuity, he/she receives a monthly pension financed with funds held specially for this purpose in his/her capitalization account at his AFP. In this way the member retains the ownership and assumes the financial risk of the part of his/her fund that remains in the AFP for a defined period in his/her life. On the other hand he/she does not assume the longevity risk, because that, like the financial risk for the second period, is covered by the Insurance Company with which he/she has signed the life annuity contract. The deferred life annuity cannot be less than 50% of the first temporary income payment nor more than 100% of that payment.

 

[120] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf

 

Page 152: “Table No. VI.11: MONTHLY SOCIAL SECURITY COST FOR A MEMBER WITH THE AVERAGE INCOME OF THE AFP SYSTEM.”

 

{The average of the values in the column labeled “Social Security Cost % of Average Income” is 3.4%.}

 

[121] Book: Terms of Trade: Glossary of International Economics. By Alan V. Deardoff. World Scientific, 2006.

 

Page 228:

 

“Real” is defined as “expressed in terms of the amounts of goods and services that something is worth at market prices” and “adjusted for inflation.” 

 

[122] Article: “Chile’s Private Pension System at 18: Its Current State and Future Challenges.” By Jacobo L. Rodriguez. The Cato Institute, July 30, 1999. http://www.socialsecurity.org/pubs/ssps/ssp17.pdf

 

Page 3: “By the early 1970s the system had clearly gotten out of hand. Contribution rates had increased from 16 to 26 percent of total payroll; the government’s contribution to the pension system had increased to about 38 percent of the system’s total revenues, or about 4 percent of gross domestic product; and the implicit debt of the system was over 100 percent of GDP.”

 

[123] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf

 

Page 34:

 

One of the main characteristics of the Social Security System then in force was that it originally functioned as a Partial Capitalization System. In other words, the active contributors financed the pensions of the passive, but at the same time a reserve fund was created with part of the resources collected. Although in the early stages it was possible to capitalize part of the resources collected, this became increasingly difficult, and it turned into a simple Pay-as-you-go System. In other words, no reserves were accumulated.

 

[124] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf

 

Page 130:

 

The liabilities of the Pension Funds are made up almost entirely of net worth; in fact in March 2002, 98.8% of the liabilities of the Type 1 Fund corresponds to net worth, while in the case of the Type 2 Fund this percentage rises to 99%. The net worth of the Pension Fund is made up of the individual capitalization accounts, the voluntary savings accounts and the compensation savings accounts. It also includes misplaced contributions and revenue which is in the process of being credited to personal accounts.

 

NOTE: The Pension Fund’s assets are matched evenly to its liabilities. The liabilities that are counted against the Pension Fund assets are made up principally of individual capitalization accounts. In other words, the program is self-funded and is not accruing a deficit.

 

[125] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf

 

Page 93: “Three times a year, in the months of February, June and October, all members whose  capitalization account has shown some movement during the previous four-month period receive a summary, at their home address, of the movements in their account during the last four months: deposits, charges and balance, both in pesos and in units.”

 

[126] Report: “The Chilean Pension System, Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones (Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund Administration), May 2003. http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf

 

Page 130:

 

The liabilities of the Pension Funds are made up almost entirely of net worth; in fact in March 2002, 98.8% of the liabilities of the Type 1 Fund corresponds to net worth, while in the case of the Type 2 Fund this percentage rises to 99%. The net worth of the Pension Fund is made up of the individual capitalization accounts, the voluntary savings accounts and the compensation savings accounts. It also includes misplaced contributions and revenue which is in the process of being credited to personal accounts.

 

NOTE: The Pension Fund’s assets are matched evenly to its liabilities. The liabilities that are counted against the Pension Fund assets are made up principally of individual capitalization accounts. In other words, the program is self-funded and is not accruing a deficit.

 

[127] Web page: “History: Frequently asked questions.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified January 14, 2008.

http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html

 

Q21:  When did Social Security cards bear the legend “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION”?

A:  The first Social Security cards were issued starting in 1936, they did not have this legend. Beginning with the sixth design version of the card, issued starting in 1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of the card reading “FOR SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.” This legend was removed as part of the design changes for the 18th version of the card, issued beginning in 1972. The legend has not been on any new cards issued since 1972.

 

[128] Web page: “Social Security Number Chronology.” United States Social Security Administration. Updated November 9, 2005. http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssnchron.html

 

[129] Web page: “History: Frequently asked questions.” United States Social Security Administration. Last reviewed or modified January 14, 2008.

http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html

 

Q21:  When did Social Security cards bear the legend “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION”?

A:  The first Social Security cards were issued starting in 1936, they did not have this legend. Beginning with the sixth design version of the card, issued starting in 1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of the card reading “FOR SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.” This legend was removed as part of the design changes for the 18th version of the card, issued beginning in 1972. The legend has not been on any new cards issued since 1972.

 

[130] Bill: “H.R. 5110, Public Law 103-465 – Bill Summary and Status for the 103rd Congress.” Congress of the United States of America, December 8, 1994. http://thomas.loc.gov/

 

[131] Bill: “H.R. 5110, Public Law 103-465 – Bill Summary and Status for the 103rd Congress.” Congress of the United States of America, December 8, 1994. http://thomas.loc.gov/

 

Section 742:

 

SEC. 742. TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS REQUIRED AT BIRTH.

(a) EARNED INCOME CREDIT- Clause (i) of section 32(c)(3)(D) is amended to read as follows:

`(i) IN GENERAL- The requirements of this subparagraph are met if the taxpayer includes the name, age, and TIN of each qualifying child (without regard to this subparagraph) on the return of tax for the taxable year.’

(b) DEPENDENCY EXEMPTION- Subsection (e) of section 6109 is amended to read as follows:

`(e) FURNISHING NUMBER FOR DEPENDENTS- Any taxpayer who claims an exemption under section 151 for any dependent on a return for any taxable year shall include on such return the identifying number (for purposes of this title) of such dependent.’

(c) EFFECTIVE DATE-

(1) IN GENERAL- Except as provided in paragraph (2), the amendments made by this section shall apply to returns for taxable years beginning after December 31, 1994.

(2) EXCEPTION- The amendments made by this section shall not apply to--

(A) returns for taxable years beginning in 1995 with respect to individuals who are born after October 31, 1995, and

(B) returns for taxable years beginning in 1996 with respect to individuals who are born after November 30, 1996.

 

[132] Web page: “When am I legally required to provide my Social Security number?” United States Social Security Administration. Accessed November 19, 2008 at http://ssa-custhelp.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/ssa.cfg/php/enduser/std_adp.php?p_faqid=78

 

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