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social
security basics >
“Social Security Basics.” By Stephen F.
Cardone and James D. Agresti. Just Facts,
January, 9, 2009.
http://justfacts.com/socialsecurity.basics.asp
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•
Overview
•
Taxes
•
Benefits
•
Financial Stability
•
Public
Perceptions
•
Accountability
•
Impact on National Debt
•
Personal Ownership
•
Privacy

A major source of information for this
section is the 2008 Social Security Trustees
Report.[1] This report was published in
March of 2008 and contains data from 2007.
Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures
are indexed for inflation, wage growth, and
other economic parameters to produce numbers
that are consistent in terms of the years
2007/2008.
Figures from specific years are used based
on availability, and not to produce a
desired result.
* In 1935, Congress passed and Democratic
President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed into
law the “Social Security Act.” This law
created “a system of Federal old-age
benefits” for workers and their families. In
1956, the law was amended to also provide
disability benefits.[2]
[3]
* Pictured below is Franklin Delano
Roosevelt signing the Social Security Act of
1935.[4]

* In 2007, Social Security had a total
income of $784.9 billion and expenditures of
$594.5 billion.[5]
[6]
* As of June 30, 2007, there were over 49
million people receiving monthly benefits,
or approximately 16% of the U.S.
population.[7]
[8]
* Social Security tax rates are as follows:
| |
Tax Rate |
|
Employee portion |
6.2% |
|
Employer portion |
6.2% |
|
Total |
12.4% |
[9]
* The self-employed pay a Social Security
tax of 12.4%.[10]
* In 2007, Social Security taxes accounted
for about 25% of all federal tax
collections.[11]
* Social Security taxes are subject to a
wage threshold. Any income earned above the
threshold is not taxed. In 2008, the
threshold was $102,000.[12]
[13]
| └
Tax Threshold Increases |
* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the
wage threshold at $3,000. Income earned
above this amount was not subject to Social
Security taxes. This threshold was a fixed
amount that was not indexed for
inflation.[14]
* In 1972, the Congress and Republican
President Nixon passed a law to
automatically index the threshold based upon
the national average wage.[15]
* In 1951, the wage threshold was 129% of
the national average wage.[16]
* In 2007, the wage threshold was 241% of
the national average wage.[17]
* The Social Security Act of 1935 set the
initial tax rate at 2%.[18]
* Tax rate history:
| Year |
Social Security Tax Rate |
| 1950 |
3% |
| 1960 |
6% |
| 1970 |
8.4% |
| 1980 |
10.2% |
| 1990 |
12.4% |
| 2000 |
12.4% |
| 2008 |
12.4% |
[19]
* At the outset of the Social Security
program, the federal government published an
informational pamphlet that stated the
following with regard to Social Security
taxes:
| And finally, beginning in 1949, 12 years
from now, you and your employer will each
pay 3 cents on each dollar you earn, up to
$3,000 a year. That is the most you will
ever pay.[20] |
After adjusting for inflation, the result of
this calculation equates to a maximum tax
collection of $1,630 per person.[21] In
2007, the maximum tax collection per person
was $12,090, or more than seven times this
amount.[22]
* During the 2008 presidential race, Barack
Obama’s campaign stated that he is
considering increasing Social Security taxes
on those making above $250,000/year by 2% to
4%.[23]
* During the 2008 presidential race, John
McCain pledged not to increase Social
Security taxes.[24]
[25]
NOTE: The following projections are based
upon what the current law specifies. This
does not mean that there will be enough
money in the Social Security program to pay
for these benefits. Information concerning
the financial stability of the Social
Security program is contained in the next
section.
* In general, to qualify for old age
benefits, a person must work for ten years,
earning at least $4,000 a year (in
2007).[26]
* Old age benefits are calculated in a way
that takes into account the Social Security
taxes paid by the worker.[27]
* People who have lower incomes receive a
higher ratio of benefits to taxes.[28] If a
20-year-old earns $30,000/year for the next
forty-six years, they would receive a yearly
old-age benefit that is about four times the
amount of the yearly taxes that they paid.
If the same individual were to make $85,000
per year, their yearly benefit would be 2.5
times the yearly taxes that they paid.
[29]
* Old age benefits are generally increased
each December based upon a cost of living
adjustment.[30]
* The age at which a worker receives full
Social Security old age benefits is referred
to as the “full retirement age.” A person’s
full retirement age can be between 65 and 67
years old, depending upon their year of
birth. For those born after 1959, full
retirement age is 67 (More details in
footnote.)[31]
* The statement issued by the Social
Security Administration to all participants
states the following:
| Social Security is the largest source of
income for most elderly Americans today, but
Social Security was never intended to be
your only source of income when you retire.
You also will need other savings,
investments, pensions or retirement accounts
to make sure you have enough money to live
comfortably when you retire.[32] |
* As of 2008, Social Security is paying an
average of $12,948/year to individual
retired workers receiving old age benefits.
The poverty level for an individual is
$10,400.[33]
[34]
* As of 2008, Social Security is paying an
average of $21,132/year to couples receiving
old age benefits. The poverty level for a
couple is $14,000.[35]
[36]
* In general, to qualify for disability
benefits, there are two criteria that must
be satisfied:
1. A “recent work” test based on your age at
the time you became disabled; and
2. A “duration of work” test to show that
you worked long enough under Social
Security.
(More details in footnote.)[37]
* In general, recipients begin to receive
disability benefits after they have been
disabled for five full months.[38]
* Disability benefits are calculated based
upon a formula that takes into account the
average Social Security taxes paid by the
worker.[39]
* Disability benefits are generally
increased once a year based upon the
increased cost of living.[40]
* The Social Security administration is
required by law to send statements to
workers once a year outlining their
projected benefits. You should receive it
about 3 months before your birthday. If you
do not receive it, call 1-800-772-1213 or go
to
http://www.ssa.gov/.[41]
* The Social Security program has an
independent budget that is separate from the
rest of the federal government.[42]
* Since 1982, Social Security has had
surpluses every year.[43] By law, these
surpluses must be loaned to the federal
government, which is obligated to pay the
money back with interest.[44]
[45]
[46]
* Social Security is projected to continue
having annual surpluses until 2017.[47]
[48]
* In 2017, the Social Security program is
projected to start having annual deficits
that will be covered by collecting on the
money it has loaned to the federal
government. By 2041, it is projected that
all of this money will be paid back and the
trust fund will have a balance of zero.[49]
NOTE: The above fact does not mean that the
federal government will have enough money to
pay back the Social Security program.
Information concerning the ability of the
federal government to do so is contained in
the section:
Impact on National Debt
* After 2041, Social Security is projected
to have deficits every year into the
foreseeable future.[50] If money is borrowed
to cover these shortfalls for the next 41
years, this debt (including interest) would
amount to $36 trillion ($36,000,000,000,000)
or an additional $153,000 (in 2008 dollars)
for every person expected to be paying
Social Security taxes in 2082.[51]
[52]
* To cover these shortfalls, Social Security
payroll taxes would need to be increased by
28% starting in 2041, rising to a 34%
increase by 2082.[53] This shortfall could
also be covered by reducing benefits by 21%
starting in 2041, falling to a 24% reduction
by 2082.[54]
| └
Reliability of Projections |
* In 2001, Social Security projected the
Trust Fund balance to reach $2.54 trillion
by the end of 2007. It actually reached
$2.24 trillion, or 13% lower than
projected.[55]
[56]
* In 2001, the Social Security
Administration projected that payroll taxes
would need to be increased by about 37% to
cover the projected deficit in 2041.[57]
* In 2008, the Social Security
Administration projected that payroll taxes
would need to be increased by about 28% to
cover the projected deficit in 2041.[58]
* Projected financial status of the Social
Security program:
| Time Period |
Financial Status |
| 1984- 2016 |
The Social Security program brings in more money than it spends. The surplus money is loaned to the federal government. |
| 2017-2041 |
The Social Security program spends more money than it brings in. The federal government pays back the money that the Social Security program has loaned to it with interest. The trust fund ends this period with a balance of zero. |
| 2041-2082 |
The Social Security program runs annual deficits that accumulate to $36 trillion, which could be covered by (a) increasing payroll taxes 28% starting in 2041, rising to a 34% increase by 2082, or (b) reducing benefits by 21% starting in 2041, falling to a 24% reduction by 2082. |
* One of the causes for the projected
deficits is that the number of workers
paying taxes compared to the number of
people receiving benefits has fallen and is
projected to fall further.
| Year |
Ratio of people paying taxes
to people receiving benefits |
| 1945 |
41.9 / 1 |
| 1950 |
16.5 / 1 |
| 1960 |
5.1 / 1 |
| 1970 |
3.7 / 1 |
| 1980 |
3.2 / 1 |
| 1990 |
3.4 / 1 |
| 2000 |
3.4 / 1 |
| 2007 |
3.3 / 1 |
| 2030 |
2.2 / 1 |
| 2070 |
2.1 / 1 |
[59]
* Factors that have contributed to the
falling ratio of people paying taxes
compared to people receiving benefits:
1) Increase in life expectancy without a
comparable increase in the retirement age:
- Since Social Security began paying
benefits in 1940, the life expectancy of the
average 65-year old male and female has gone
up 40% and 45% respectively.[60]
[61]
[62]
- Benefits and taxes are automatically
indexed on an annual basis to compensate for
inflation and wage growth. The retirement
age is not indexed to compensate for
increased life expectancy.[63]
2) The higher birth rate of the baby boom
generation compared to the birth rates of
succeeding generations:
- In 1960 (during the baby boom), the
average birth rate per woman was
3.6.[64] [65] By 1975, the average birth
rate had fallen to 1.77. As of 2004, it is
at 2.05.[66]
3) The increasing number of people receiving
disability benefits:
- Between 1960 and 2005, the U.S. population
grew by 59%. During the same period, the
number of people receiving disability
benefits increased by 1,109%.[67]
[68]
Perception:
| I am entitled to my Social Security
benefits. It’s my money. I’ve saved it.[69] |
* Social Security Administration publication
number 05-10024 states:
| The money you pay in taxes is not held in a
personal account for you to use when you get
benefits. Your taxes are being used right
now to pay people who now are getting
benefits. Any unused money goes to the
Social Security trust funds, not a personal
account with your name on it.[70] |
* All taxes that have been paid into the
Social Security system since its inception
have been spent to pay benefits, fund the
administrative overhead of the program, or
loaned to the federal government.[71]
[72]
[73]
* In its 2000 budget, the Clinton
administration stated that the Social
Security Trust Funds
| do not consist of real economic assets that
can be drawn down in the future to fund
benefits. Instead, they are claims on the
Treasury that, when redeemed, will have to
be financed by raising taxes, borrowing from
the public, or reducing benefits or other
expenditures.[74] |
* As of 2007, for every person receiving
benefits, there are 3.3 people paying
payroll taxes.[75] This ratio is projected
to continue decreasing until beyond 2070:

[76]
Perception:
| If politicians didn’t take money out of the
Social Security program, it would be fine
now. |
* No money has been taken from the Social
Security program.[77] Social Security
surpluses are loaned to the federal
government.[78]
[79] This is a requirement
that was established in the original Social
Security Act.[80] The federal government is
required by law to pay back this money to
the Social Security program with interest,
and it has never failed to do so.[81]
[82]
[83]
* In 2007, the administrative cost of the
Social Security program was $5.5 billion.
This is equal to 0.9% of the benefit
payments that Social Security made that
year, or enough to pay monthly Social
Security retirement benefits to 424,776
individual retired workers for one year.[84]
[85]
NOTE: For a compelling news story on this
topic, visit our Exclusive News Service
article:
The Impact of Social Security on
the National Debt
| └
Trust Fund Assets Consist of
Federal
Debt |
* The Social Security program has an
independent budget that is separate from the
rest of the federal government.[86]
* When the Social Security program collects
more in taxes than it spends, it generates
surplus money. By law, the only thing that
the Social Security program can do with
surplus money is to loan it to the U.S.
government.[87]
[88]
* When the Social Security program loans
money to the U.S. government, the government
is obligated by law to pay this money back
to the Social Security program with
interest. This money becomes a part of the
national debt.[89]
[90]
[91]
* As of June, 2008, the U.S. government owes
$2.36 trillion to the Social Security
program. This comes to $7,800 for every man,
woman, and child living in the United
States.[92]
[93]
* The U.S. government divides the national
debt into two categories:
1) Money that it owes to federal entities
such as the Social Security program and
federal employee retirement funds.
2) Money that it owes to non-federal
entities such as individuals who have
purchased U.S. Savings Bonds.[94]
[95]
* As of June 30, 2008, the national debt
looks like this:
| Money owed to federal entities |
4.2 trillion |
| Money owed to non-federal entities |
5.3 trillion |
| National debt (total) |
9.5 trillion |
[96]

[97]
[98]
* Under current law, the money that people
pay in Social Security taxes is not saved
for them and is not their property.[99]
* For a worker who is 34 years old in 2008
and plans to retire at 67 in 2041, their
retirement benefits will be derived solely
from year 2041 taxpayers. Under current law,
tax revenue in 2041 is projected to be
sufficient to pay 78% of Social Security
benefits.[100]
* Proposals have been made to change a
portion of Social Security from a benefit
program to a savings program. These savings
would be the personal property of each
person who chose to participate. In turn,
their Social Security old-age benefits would
be reduced to correspond with the amount of
taxes they paid into the program.[101]
* Under the current system, a 22-year-old
person who works for the next 45 years
earning $50,000/ year will contribute
$279,000 to the Social Security program.
When he or she turns 67 years old in 2053,
all of the money they have contributed will
be spent. Any old age benefits they receive
would be derived from taxpayer revenue at
that time.[102] [103]
* If this same person put 16% of their
Social Security taxes into a personal
account and it earned 7% above the rate of
inflation, he or she will have saved
$263,991 (2008 dollars) when they turn 67
years old in 2053.[104]
* From 1871 to 2002, (including the Great
Depression), the stock market (S&P 500) has
averaged more than 8% above the rate of
inflation.[105]
* The Republican Party supports giving
workers the option to place a portion of
their Social Security taxes into a personal
account. The Democratic Party does not.[106]
[107]
* Barack Obama opposes giving workers the
option to place a portion of their Social
Security taxes into a personal account.[108]
[109]
* In 1981, the South American nation of
Chile instituted a social security personal
ownership program.[110]
* Prior to this reform, Chile had a
government-run social security program.[111]
* Chile’s personal ownership system has the
following attributes:
- The contribution rate, including fees and
taxes, is 14.04%.[112]
[113] The tax rate
for the government-run program ranged
between 15.75% and 24.91%.[114]
- Each participating worker has an
individual account into which their
contributions are deposited. They have a
choice of five government approved
investment funds.
[115]
[116]
[117]
- Full retirement age is 65 for men and 60
for women, but it is possible to retire
before this age if your personal retirement
account meets certain conditions.[118]
- At retirement, people have three options
for how to receive their retirement
money.[119]
* The average annual yield on these personal
ownership accounts from 1981 to 2002 was
10.7% above the rate of inflation. The costs
for administering the accounts averaged
3.4%, leaving a total annual yield of 7.3%
above the rate of inflation.[120]
[121]
* The government system paid benefits by
taxing people who were currently working and
had an accumulated deficit equal to more
than 100% of Chile’s Gross Domestic
Product.[122]
[123]
* The personal ownership system is
self-funded and has no deficit. Three times
per year workers receive a statement that
informs them how much money they have
saved.[124]
[125]
[126]
* Beginning in 1946, Social Security cards
had the following sentence imprinted on
them:
| FOR SOCIAL SECURITY PURPOSES -- NOT FOR
IDENTIFICATION.[127] |
* Since 1961, various Congresses and
Presidents have enacted laws requiring the
use of Social Security numbers for
identity-related functions.[128]
* Starting in 1972, the sentence reading
“For Social Security Purposes -- Not For
Identification” was removed from all newly
issued Social Security cards.[129]
* In 1994, Democratic Congressman Dick
Gephardt sponsored a law that passed
Congress with 67% of Democrats and 70% of
Republicans voting for it. Democratic
President Bill Clinton signed it into law.
This legislation contains a section
entitled:
| TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS REQUIRED AT
BIRTH.[130] |
This law requires that parents submit Social
Security numbers for their children with
their tax return in order to obtain a tax
exemption for their children.[131]
* The web site of the U.S. Social Security
Administration states:
| The Social Security number was originally
devised to keep an accurate record of each
individual’s earnings, and to subsequently
monitor benefits paid under the Social
Security program. However, use of the number
as a general identifier has grown to the
point where it is the most commonly used and
convenient identifier for all types of
record-keeping systems in the United States. |
It is also states:
| If a business or other enterprise asks you
for your number, you can refuse to give it.
However, that may mean doing without the
purchase or service for which your number
was requested.[132] |
[1] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
[2] Web page: “Legislative History: Social
Security Act of 1935.” United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed October
31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
[3] Report: “Major Decisions in the House
and Senate on Social Security.” By Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears.
Domestic
Social Policy Division, Social Security
Administration, March 26, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html
H.R. 7225, the Social Security Amendments of
1956, was signed by President Eisenhower on
August 1, 1956. The amendments provided
benefits, after a 6-month waiting period,
for permanently and totally disabled workers
aged 50 to 64 who were fully insured and had
at least 5 years of coverage in the 10-year
period before becoming disabled; to a
dependent child 18 and older of a deceased
or retired insured worker if the child
became disabled before age 18; to women
workers and wives at the age of 62, instead
of 65, with actuarially reduced benefits;
reduced from 65 to 62 the age at which
benefits were payable to widows or parents,
with no reduction; extended coverage to
lawyers, dentists, veterinarians,
optometrists, and all other self-employed
professionals except doctors99 increased the
tax rate by 0.25% on employer and employee
each (0.375% for self-employed people) to
finance disability benefits (thereby raising
the aggregate tax rate ultimately to 4.25%);
and created a separate disability insurance
(DI) trust fund. The Social Security program
now consisted of old-age, survivors, and
disability insurance [Social Security].
[4] Web page: “History: Signing the Social
Security Act of 1935.” United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed November
17, 2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/fdrsign.html
President Roosevelt signing Social Security
Act of 1935 in the Cabinet Room of the White
House. Also shown, left to right:
Rep. Robert Doughton (D-NC); Sen. Robert
Wagner (D-NY); Rep. John Dingell, Sr.
(D-MI); Unknown man in bowtie; Secretary of
Labor, Frances Perkins; Senator Pat Harrison
(D-MS); Congressman David L. Lewis (D-MD).
Library of Congress photo, LC-US262-123278.
[5] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4: “Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007
Trust Fund Financial Operations.”
Page 4: “In 2007, net contributions
accounted for 84 percent [$656.1 billion] of
total trust fund income [$784.9 billion].
Net contributions consist of taxes paid by
employees, employers and the self-employed
on earnings covered by Social Security.”
[6] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4: “Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust
Fund Financial Operations.”
Page 5: “More than 98 percent of
expenditures from the combined [Social
Security] Trust Funds in 2007 went to pay
retirement, survivor, and disability
benefits totaling $584.9 billion.”
[7] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 50: “Table IV.B2: Covered Workers and
Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085.”
[8] Web page: “Population, Population change
and estimated components of population
change: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2007.”
United States Census Bureau. Accessed
October 31,2008 at
http://www.census.gov/popest/datasets.html
{See CSV file under the heading “Population,
Population change and estimated components
of population change: April 1, 2000 to
July 1, 2007 (NST-EST2007-alldata).” Cell O2
in the spreadsheet is the 2007 population
estimate. The U.S. Census Bureau estimates
the U.S. population to be 301,621,157 for
2007. The last census (2000) found the
population to be 281,421,906. The 2000
census can be found at
http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/c2kprof00-us.pdf}
[9] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.— Contribution
and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[10] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution
and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[11] Calculations performed with data from:
a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4:
Table II.B.1: Summary of 2007 Trust Fund
Financial Operations.
In 2007, net contributions accounted for 84
percent [$656.1 billion] of total trust fund
income. Net contributions consist of taxes
paid by employees, employers and the
self-employed on earnings covered by Social
Security.
b) Report: “2007 Financial Report of the
U.S. Government.” United States Department
of the Treasury, December 10, 2007.
http://www.gao.gov/financial/fy2007/07frusg.pdf
Page 3: “Table 1: The Nation by the Numbers
– An Overview.”
| Year |
Total Taxes and Other Revenues (in billions) |
| 2005 |
$2,185.5 |
| 2006 |
$2,440.8 |
| 2007 |
$2,627.3 |
CALCULATION: 656,100,000,000 /
2,627,300,000,000 = 24.97%
[12] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4: “Net contributions consist of taxes
paid by employees, employers and the
self-employed on earnings covered by Social
Security. These taxes were paid on covered
earnings up to a specified maximum annual
amount, which was $97,500 in 2007 and is
increased each year automatically (to
$102,000 in 2008) as the average wage
increases.”
[13] Web page: “History of SSA-related
Legislation: 103rd Congress.” United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed
October 31,2008 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/legislation/history/103.htm
“PL 103-66 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation
Act of 1993 (enacted 8/10/93). Section 13207
repeals the limitation on the amount of
earnings subject to the HI [Hospital
Insurance] tax beginning in 1994.”
[14] Web page: “Legislative History: Social
Security Act of 1935.” United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed October
31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
SEC. 811. When used in this title- (a) The
term wages means all remuneration for
employment, including the cash value of all
remuneration paid in any medium other than
cash; except that such term shall not
include that part of the remuneration which,
after remuneration equal to $3,000 has been
paid to an individual by an employer with
respect to employment during any calendar
year, is paid to such individual by such
employer with respect to employment during
such calendar year.
[15] Report: “Summary of Major Changes in
the Social Security Cash Benefits Program:
1935-1996.” By Geoffrey Kollmann.
Congressional Research Service, Library of
Congress. Updated December 20, 1996.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/pdf/crs9436.pdf
Page CRS-11:
The 1972 amendments introduced the concept
of automatic adjustments or “indexing” to
the Social Security system. They provided
that, effective in 1975, benefit increases
would be tied directly, or indexed, to rises
in the cost of living. Under this new
procedure, benefits would be increased
automatically each January (through a
cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA) when
inflation as measured by the Consumer Price
Index (CPI) rose 3% or more from the
approximate time of the last benefit
increase. In addition, effective in 1975,
the earnings base and the exempt amount
under the earnings test would be adjusted
automatically to keep pace with changes in
wage levels.
[16] Calculation performed with data from
the following sources:
a) “The 2000 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 30, 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR00/tr00.pdf
Pages 34-35: “Table II.B1, Contribution and
Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[The wage threshold was $3,600 in 1951.]
b) “The 2000 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 30, 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR00/tr00.pdf
Page 66: “Table II.E2, Average Wage Index,
Calendar Years 1951-98.”
[The AWI for 1951 was $2,799.16.]
{1951 was chosen because it is the earliest
year for which average wage index (AWI) data
was readily available from the Social
Security Administration. See also
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/AWI.html}
CALCULATION: $3,600.00 / $2,799.16 = 128.61%
[17] Calculation performed with data from
the following sources:
a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 102-103: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living
Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index,
Contribution and Benefit Bases, and
Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts,
1975-2017.”
[Contribution and benefit base for 2007 is
$97,500.]
b) Web page: “Automatic Increases: National
Average Wage Index.” United States Social
Security Administration. Last reviewed or
modified October 16, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/AWI.html
[The 2007 Average Wage Index is $40,405.48.]
CALCULATION: $97,500 / $40,405.48 = 241.30%
[18] Web page: “Legislative History: Social
Security Act of 1935.” United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed October
31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
SEC. 801.
In addition to other taxes, there shall be
levied, collected, and paid upon the income
of every individual a tax equal to the
following percentages of the wages (as
defined in section 811) received by him
after December 31, 1936, with respect to
employment (as defined in section 811) after
such date:
(1) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(2) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(3) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(4) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(5) With respect to employment after
December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per
centum.
SEC. 804. In addition to other taxes, every
employer shall pay an excise tax, with
respect to having individuals in his employ,
equal to the following percentages of the
wages (as defined in section 811) paid by
him after December 31, 1936, with respect to
employment (as defined in section 811) after
such date:
(1) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1937, 1938, and 1939, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(2) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1940, 1941, and 1942, the
rate shall be 1 per centum.
(3) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1943, 1944, and 1945, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(4) With respect to employment during the
calendar years 1946, 1947, and 1948, the
rate shall be 2 per centum.
(5) With respect to employment after
December 31, 1948, the rate shall be 3 per
centum.
[19] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution
and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[20] Web page: “History: The 1936 Government
Pamphlet on Social Security.” United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed
October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html
[21] Calculation performed with data from
the following sources:
a) Web page: “History: The 1936 Government
Pamphlet on Social Security.” United States
Social Security Administration. Accessed
October 31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssb36.html
b) Web page: “What is a Dollar Worth?”
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, October
29, 2008.
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/
{On the right hand side of the web page is a
consumer price index based calculator that
allows you to inflation adjust a dollar
amount from the past into today’s dollars.}
CALCULATION: 6% of $3,000 = $180. {The tax
rate of 6% is used because this was the
total tax levied (employer plus employee) at
that time. Figure adjusted for inflation
using
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/. On
October 29, 2008: $180 in 1949 was worth
$1,630.59.}
[22] Calculation performed with data from
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution
and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[In 2007, the wage threshold was $97,500 and
the tax rate was 12.4% (employer plus
employee).]
CALCULATION: $97,500 x 12.4% = $12,090
[23] Web page: “Barack Obama’s Plan.”
Obama
for America. Accessed October 29, 2008 at
http://www.barackobama.com/issues/socialsecurity/#retirement-savings
As part of a bipartisan plan that would be
phased in over many years, he would ask
those making over $250,000 to contribute a
bit more to Social Security to keep it
sound.
… Obama does not support uncapping the full
payroll tax of 12.4 percent rate. Instead,
he is considering plans that would ask those
making over $250,000 to pay in the range of
2 to 4 percent more in total (combined
employer and employee).
[24] Article: “McCain: No New Taxes
(Redux).” By Michael Cooper. New York Times,
July 30, 2008.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/07/30/mccain-no-new-taxes-redux/
“I want to look you in the eye: I will not
raise your taxes nor support a tax
increase," [McCain] said here Wednesday at a
town-hall-style meeting at the Wagner
Company, a Caterpillar dealer. “I will not
do it."
… Mr. McCain said. “I am opposed to raising
taxes on Social Security.”
[25] Press release: “ATR Commends McCain’s
Anti-Tax Vows.” Americans for Tax Reform,
August 4, 2008.
http://www.atr.org/content/pdf/2008/August/080108pr_mccain...
{This document contains a compilation of
statements, interviews and videos whereby
John McCain states his opposition to new
taxes and tax increases.}
[26] Web page: “Your Social Security
Statement.” United States Social Security
Administration. Accessed October 31,2008 at
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf
Page 4: “To qualify for benefits, you earn
“credits” through your work — up to four
each year. This year, for example, you earn
one credit for each $1,000 of wages or
self-employment income. When you’ve earned
$4,000, you’ve earned your four credits for
the year. Most people need 40 credits,
earned over their working lifetime, to
receive retirement benefits.”
{The Social Security administration is
required by law to send statements to
workers once a year outlining their
projected benefits.}
[27] Publication number 05-10070: “Your
Retirement Benefit: How it is Figured.”
United States Social Security
Administration, January 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10070.html
Many people wonder how their benefit is
figured. Social Security benefits are based
on your lifetime earnings. Your actual
earnings are adjusted or “indexed” to
account for changes in average wages since
the year the earnings were received. Then
Social Security calculates your average
indexed monthly earnings during the 35 years
in which you earned the most. We apply a
formula to these earnings and arrive at your
basic benefit, or “primary insurance amount”
(PIA). This is how much you would receive at
your full retirement age—65 or older,
depending on your date of birth.
NOTE: All worker earnings are taxed (up to a
threshold amount that changes yearly) at the
same rate, therefore there is a direct
correlation between average earnings and
Social Security taxes paid.
[28] Web page: “Automatic Increases: Primary
Insurance Amount.” Office of the Chief
Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
March 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/COLA/piaformula.html
PIA definition
The “primary insurance amount” (PIA) is the
benefit (before rounding down to next lower
whole dollar) a person would receive if
he/she elects to begin receiving retirement
benefits at his/her normal retirement age.
At this age, the benefit is neither reduced
for early retirement nor increased for
delayed retirement.
PIA formula bend points
The PIA is the sum of three separate
percentages of portions of average indexed
monthly earnings. The portions depend on the
year in which a worker attains age 62,
becomes disabled before age 62, or dies
before attaining age 62.
For 2008 these portions are the first $711,
the amount between $711 and $4,288, and the
amount over $4,288. These dollar amounts are
the “bend points” of the 2008 PIA formula. A
table shows bend points, for years beginning
with 1979, for both the PIA and maximum
family benefit formulas.
PIA formula
For an individual who first becomes eligible
for old-age insurance benefits or disability
insurance benefits in 2008, or who dies in
2008 before becoming eligible for benefits,
his/her PIA will be the sum of:
(a) 90 percent of the first $711 of his/her
average indexed monthly earnings, plus
(b) 32 percent of his/her average indexed
monthly earnings over $711 and through
$4,288, plus
(c) 15 percent of his/her average indexed
monthly earnings over $4,288.
NOTE: The above PIA formula weights lower
average earnings more so than greater
earnings on a percentage basis. See next
note for more information.
[29] Calculation
performed with data from::
a) “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution
and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[Employers and employees pay a tax of 6.2%
each for a total Social Security tax of
12.4%.]
b) Web page: “Social Security
Administration’s Online Calculator.” United
States Social Security Administration.
Updated May 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/retire2/AnypiaApplet.html
On August 27, 2008, the following data was
entered into the Online Calculator:
- An individual born August 28, 1987.
- First year of work is 2008 (works the full
year).
- Retirement date of August 28, 2054 (67
years old).
- Projected benefits to be quoted in today’s
(2008) dollars.
Keeping the above data constant, the
following yearly income data was entered
into the Online Calculator and the resulting
benefits were recorded and ratios
calculated. Yearly taxes are calculated at
12.4% of yearly income:
| Yearly Income |
Yearly Taxes Paid |
Yearly Benefit
at Retirement |
Ratio of Yearly Benefits
to Yearly Tax |
| $25,000 |
$3,100 |
$12,936 |
417% |
| $30,000 |
$3,720 |
$14,544 |
391% |
| $35,000 |
$4,340 |
$16,140 |
372% |
| $40,000 |
$4,960 |
$17,736 |
358% |
| $45,000 |
$5,580 |
$19,344 |
347% |
| $50,000 |
$6,200 |
$20,940 |
338% |
| $55,000 |
$6,820 |
$21,936 |
322% |
| $60,000 |
$7,440 |
$22,692 |
305% |
| $65,000 |
$8,060 |
$23,436 |
291% |
| $70,000 |
$8,680 |
$24,192 |
279% |
| $75,000 |
$9,300 |
$24,936 |
268% |
| $80,000 |
$9,920 |
$25,692 |
259% |
| $85,000 |
$10,540 |
$26,436 |
251% |
| $90,000 |
$11,160 |
$27,192 |
244% |
| $95,000 |
$11,780 |
$27,936 |
237% |
| $100,000 |
$12,400 |
$28,692 |
231% |
[30] Web page: “Cost of Living Adjustments.”
United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
October 16, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/COLA/colaseries.html
[31] Publication number 05-10024:
“Understanding the Benefits.” United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
For those born before 1938, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 65 years old.
For those born between 1938 and 1959, the
full retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is defined by the
following chart:
| Year of Birth |
Full Retirement Age |
| 1938 |
65 and 2 months |
| 1939 |
65 and 4 months |
| 1940 |
65 and 6 months |
| 1941 |
65 and 8 months |
| 1942 |
65 and 10 months |
| 1943 – 1954 |
66 |
| 1955 |
66 and 2 months |
| 1956 |
66 and 4 months |
| 1957 |
66 and 6 months |
| 1958 |
66 and 8 months |
| 1959 |
66 and 10 months |
For those born after 1959, the full
retirement age to qualify for Social
Security benefits is 67 years old.
[32] Web page: “Your Social Security
Statement.” United States Social Security
Administration, May 27, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf
[33] Publication number 05-10024:
“Understanding the Benefits.” United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
[The average 2008 monthly Social Security
benefit for an individual is $1,079/month,
or $12,948/year.]
[34] Web page: “The 2008 HHS Poverty
Guidelines.” United States Department of
Health and Human Services. Last updated
January 23, 2008. http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/08poverty.shtml
[The poverty level for a single person is
$10,400 in 2008.]
[35] Publication number 05-10024:
“Understanding the Benefits.” United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
[The average 2008 monthly Social Security
benefits for a couple is $1,761/month, or
$21,132/year.]
[36] Web page: “The 2008 HHS Poverty
Guidelines.” United States Department of
Health and Human Services. Last updated
January 23, 2008. http://aspe.hhs.gov/poverty/08poverty.shtml
[The poverty level for two people is $14,000
in 2008.]
[37] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability
Benefits.” United States Social Security
Administration, June 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf
Pages 5-7:
|
Rules for work needed for the “recent work” test |
| In or before the quarter you turn 24. |
1.5 years of work during the three-year period ending with the quarter your disability began. |
| In the quarter after you turn age 24 but before the quarter you turn 31. |
Work during half the time for the period beginning with the quarter after you turned 21 and ending with the quarter you became disabled. Example: If you become disabled in the quarter you turned age 27, then you would need 3 years of work out of the six-year period ending with the quarter you became disabled. |
| In the quarter you turn age 31 or later. |
Work during five years out of the ten-year period ending with the quarter your disability began. |
| Examples of work needed for the “duration of work” test |
| If you become disabled… |
Then you generally need: |
| Before age 28 |
1.5 years of work |
| Age 30 |
2 years |
| Age 34 |
3 years |
| Age 38 |
4 years |
| Age 42 |
5 years |
| Age 44 |
5.5 years |
| Age 46 |
6 years |
| Age 48 |
6.5 years |
| Age 50 |
7 years |
| Age 52 |
7.5 years |
| Age 54 |
8 years |
| Age 56 |
8.5 years |
| Age 58 |
9 years |
| Age 60 |
9.5 years |
[38] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability
Benefits.” United States Social Security
Administration, June 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf
Page 12: “When do my benefits start? If your
application is approved, your first Social
Security disability benefits will be paid
for the sixth full month after the date your
disability began.”
[39] Publication No. 05-10029: “Disability
Benefits.” United States Social Security
Administration, June 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/pubs/10029.pdf
Page 13: “How much will my benefits be? The
amount of your monthly disability benefit is
based on your average lifetime earnings. The
Social Security Statement that you receive
each year displays your lifetime earnings
and provides an estimate of your disability
benefit.”
[40] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 102: “Table V.C1.—Cost-of-Living
Benefit Increases, Average Wage Index,
Contribution and Benefit Bases, and
Retirement Earnings Test Exempt Amounts,
1975-2017.”
[41] “Your Social Security Statement.”
United States Social Security
Administration, 2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/mystatement/currentstatement.pdf
[42] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 131: “The Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund was established
on January 1, 1940 as a separate account in
the United States Treasury. The Federal
Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund,
another separate account in the United
States Treasury, was established on August
1, 1956. All the financial operations of the
OASI and DI programs are handled through
these respective funds.”
[43] Web page: “Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Trust Funds,
1957-2007.” Office of the Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration. Updated June 10, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4a3.html
[44] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds:
Frequently Asked Questions.” United States
Social Security Administration. Last
reviewed or modified June 3, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
“By law, income to the trust funds must be
invested, on a daily basis, in securities
guaranteed as to both principal and interest
by the Federal government.”
[45] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s
the Difference?” Bureau of the Public Debt,
United States Department of the Treasury.
Last updated August 4, 2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm
“Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt.”
[46] United States Code Title 3, Chapter 31,
Section 3123: “Payment of obligations and
interest on the public debt.”
http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/31/3123.html
“The faith of the United States Government
is pledged to pay, in legal tender,
principal and interest on the obligations of
the Government issued under this chapter.”
[47] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 53: “Beginning in 2017, the [Social
Security] program under the intermediate
assumptions is projected to experience
increasingly large cash-flow shortfalls….”
[48] Web page: “Table VI.F7-Operations of
the Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds in
Constant 2008 Dollars, Calendar Years
2008-85.” United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f7.html
NOTE: This table projects the assets of the
Trust Funds at the end of each year and
shows assets at the end of 2017 as $3.51
trillion. Though there is not a surplus
projected beyond 2017, the Trust Fund assets
are projected to grow into 2021 due to
interest income. This same table is present
in the 2008 Social Security Trustees Report,
but does not contain all data for outer
years.
[49] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income
starting in 2017, at which time the annual
gap will be covered with cash from
redemptions of special obligations of the
Treasury that make up the trust fund assets
until these assets are exhausted in 2041.”
[50] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 18: “Based on the Trustees’ best
estimate, program cost will exceed tax
revenues starting in 2017 and throughout the
remainder of the 75-year projection period.
Social Security’s combined trust funds are
projected to allow full payment of scheduled
benefits until they become exhausted in
2041. At that time annual tax income to the
trust funds is projected to equal about 78
percent of program costs.”
[51] Calculation performed with data from
the following sources:
a) Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund
Operations: 2008 Trustees Report
Intermediate Assumptions.” Office of the
Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration, October 16, 2008.
[The Social Security Trust Fund end of year
assets are projected to be
-$277,143,351,000,000 in 2082.]
b) Web page: “Selected Economic Variables:
Table VI.F6.-Selected Economic Variables
Calendar Years 2007-85.” United States
Social Security Administration. Last
reviewed or modified March 25, 2008.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr6f6.html
[The adjusted CPI (consumer price index)
from this table is 769.36 for 2082.]
CALCULATION: -277.1 trillion (2082 $) /
(769.36/100) = -36.0 trillion (2008 $)
[52] Calculation performed with data from
the source above and the following source:
Web page: “Table IV.B2.-Covered Workers and
Beneficiaries Calendar Years 1945-2085.”
United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html
[The number of covered workers (those paying
Social Security taxes) in 2082 is projected
to be 234,346,000.]
CALCULATION: $36,000,000,000,000 /
234,346,000 = $153,619
[53] Calculations performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 18: “For example, payroll taxes could
be raised to finance scheduled benefits
fully in every year starting in 2041. In
this case, the payroll tax would be
increased to 15.94 percent at the point of
trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and continue
rising to 16.60 percent in 2082.”
CALCULATIONS:
(15.94-12.4) / 12.4 = 0.28
(16.60-12.4) / 12.4 = 0.34
[54] Calculations performed with data from:
Report: “Combined OASDI Trust Fund
Operations: 2008 Trustees Report
Intermediate Assumptions.” Office of the
Chief Actuary, United States Social Security
Administration, October 16, 2008.
| Year |
Income
(excluding interest) |
Scheduled Benefits |
| 2041 |
3,085,670 |
3,898,638 |
| 2082 |
18,023,648 |
23,739,110 |
CALCULATIONS:
2041: (3,898,638 - 3,085,670) / 3,898,638 =
.21
2082: (23,739,110 - 18,023,648) / 23,739,110
= .24
[55] The 2001 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 19, 2001.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR01/tr01.pdf
Page 39: “Table IV.A3.—Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar
Years 1996-2010.”
[End of year assets for 2007 listed as
$2,536.1 billion.]
[56] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4: “Table II.B1.—Summary of 2007 Trust
Fund Financial Operations.”
[Actual assets at the end of 2007 were
$2,238.5 billion.]
[57] Calculation performed with data from:
“Trust Fund Operations in Current Dollars:
Intermediate Assumptions 2001 Trustees
Report.” Office of the Chief Actuary, Unites
States Social Security Administration,
February 13, 2001.
[In 2001, Social Security projected 2041
income excluding interest to be $3.528
trillion and payroll taxes to be $3.323
trillion. Total Social Security program
outgo was projected to be $4.755 trillion in
2041.]
CALCULATION: (4.755 – 3.528) / 3.323 = 36.9%
[58] Calculation
performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 18: “For example, payroll taxes could
be raised to finance scheduled benefits
fully in every year starting in 2041. In
this case, the payroll tax would be
increased to 15.94 percent at the point of
trust fund exhaustion in 2041 and continue
rising to 16.60 percent in 2082.”
Pages 132-133: “Table VI.A1.—Contribution
and Benefit Base and Contribution Rates.”
[Tax rate from 1990 through 2008 is 12.4%.]
CALCULATION: (15.94-12.4) / 12.4 = 28%
[59] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 50-51:
Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and
Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during
the year for employment on which OASDI taxes
are due.
[60] Publication No. 21-059: “Social
Security: A Brief History.” United States
Social Security Administration, October
2007.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/history/pdf/2007historybooklet.pdf
Page 21: “[On January 31, 1940] Ida May
Fuller became the first person to receive an
old-age monthly benefit check.”
[61] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 85: “Table V.A3.—Period Life
Expectancy.”
{Data from 2004 is used because it is the
latest year available in this table that is
not an estimate. Footnote 1 on Table V.A3
states: “The period life expectancy at a
given age for a given year represents the
average number of years of life remaining if
a group of persons at that age were to
experience the mortality rates for that year
over the course of their remaining lives.”}
[62] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 85: “Table V.A3.—Period Life
Expectancy.”
{Data from 2004 is used because it is the
latest year available in this table that is
not an estimate. Footnote 1 on Table V.A3
states: “The period life expectancy at a
given age for a given year represents the
average number of years of life remaining if
a group of persons at that age were to
experience the mortality rates for that year
over the course of their remaining lives.”}
[63] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
{See pages 100 through 107 which explains
“automatically adjusted program parameters”
in detail.}
[64] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 200: “Baby boom. The period from the
end of World War II through the mid-1960s
marked by unusually high birth rates.”
[65] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 80-81: “Table V.A1.—Principal
Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years
1940-2085.”
{2004 is the latest data available that is
not an estimate.}
[66] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 80-81: “Table V.A1.—Principal
Demographic Assumptions, Calendar Years
1940-2085.”
{2004 is the latest data available that is
not an estimate.}
[67] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 82: “Table V.A2.—Social Security Area
Population as of July 1 and Dependency
Ratios, Calendar Years 1950-2085.”
[Population in 1960 = 190,172,000;
population in 2005 = 302,863,000.]
CALCULATION: (302,863,000 – 190,172,000) /
190,172,000 = 59.26%
[68] Calculation performed with data from:
“The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 124: “Table V.C5.—DI Beneficiaries With
Benefits in Current-Payment Status at the
End of Calendar Years 1960-2085.”
[Disability insurance beneficiaries in 1960:
687,000; disability insurance beneficiaries
in 2005: 8,309,000.]
CALCULATION: (8,309,000 – 687,000) / 687,000
= 1,109.46%
[69] Transcript: “NBC Nightly News” (6:30 PM
ET). NBC, February 26, 2004.
BRIAN WILLIAMS reporting: Inside this small
private elementary school in Manhattan, Mimi
Baso came to work this morning thinking
about retirement. She has no plans to retire
but these days worries about getting back
all the Social Security money she paid in.
Ms. MIMI BASO: I am entitled to the money.
It’s my money. I’ve saved it.
[70] Publication number 05-10024:
“Understanding the Benefits.” United States
Social Security Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
The current Social Security system works
like this: when you work, you pay taxes into
Social Security. The tax money is used to
pay benefits to:
• People who already have retired;
• People who are disabled;
• Survivors of workers who have died; and
• Dependents of beneficiaries.
The money you pay in taxes is not held in a
personal account for you to use when you get
benefits. Your taxes are being used right
now to pay people who now are getting
benefits. Any unused money goes to the
Social Security trust funds, not a personal
account with your name on it.
[71] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 4: “Table II.B1. Summary of 2007 Trust
Fund Financial Operations.”
Page 27: “Table III.A3.—Operations of the
Combined OASI and DI Trust Funds, Calendar
Year 2007.”
{This table accounts for all receipts and
disbursements of the Social Security Trust
Funds. Trust Fund assets increased in 2007
by $190.4 billion. As tables VI.A5 and VI.A6
show, all of these additional monies were
invested in government obligations.}
Page 142: “Table VI.A5. Assets of the OASI
[Old-Age & Survivors Insurance] Trust Fund,
End of Calendar Years 2006 and 2007.”
Page 143: “Table VI.A6. Assets of the DI
[Disability Insurance] Trust Fund, End of
Calendar Years 2006 and 2007.”
{Note that the total OASDI [Social Security]
Trust Fund assets at the close of 2007
($2,238 trillion) are equivalent to the sum
of the OASI [Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance]
assets ($2,023 billion and $214.88 billion
respectively) that are invested in
government obligations. All Trust Fund
assets are thus invested in government
obligations.}
Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds.”
[72] Web page: “Legislative History: Social
Security Act of 1935.” United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed October
31, 2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the
Secretary of the Treasury to invest such
portion of the amounts credited to the
Account as is not, in his judgment, required
to meet current withdrawals. Such investment
may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in
obligations guaranteed as to both principal
and interest by the United States.”
[73] Report: “Major Decisions in the House
and Senate on Social Security.” By Geoffrey Kollmann and Carmen Solomon-Fears.
Domestic
Social Policy Division, Social Security
Administration, March 26, 2001.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/crsleghist3.html
{The Social Security Act of 1935 established
that assets be invested in obligations of
the United States or guaranteed by the
United States. The 2008 Trustees Report
shows that this was the case in 2007. The
document referenced here shows that there
have not been any major decisions altering
this in the intervening years. Thus, all
money paid to Social Security during its
seventy-plus years was either spent or
loaned to the federal government.}
[74] Report: Analytical Perspectives: Budget
of the United States Government, Fiscal Year
2000. Executive Office of the President of
the United States, U.S. Government Printing
Office, 1999.
http://www.gpoaccess.gov/usbudget/fy00/pdf/spec.pdf
Page 337:
These balances are available to finance
future benefit payments and other trust fund
expenditures—but only in a bookkeeping
sense. These funds are not set up to be
pension funds, like the funds of private
pension plans. They do not consist of real
economic assets that can be drawn down in
the future to fund benefits. Instead, they
are claims on the Treasury that, when
redeemed, will have to be financed by
raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or
reducing benefits or other expenditures. The
existence of large trust fund balances,
therefore, does not, by itself, have any
impact on the Government’s ability to pay
benefits.
[75] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Pages 50-51:
Table IV.B2.—Covered Workers1 and
Beneficiaries, Calendar Years 1945-2085 …
1 Workers who are paid at some time during
the year for employment on which OASDI taxes
are due.
[76] Constructed with data from:
Web page: “Covered Workers and
Beneficiaries: Table IV.B2.-Covered Workers
and Beneficiaries Calendar Year 1945-2085.”
United States Social Security
Administration, Last reviewed or modified
March 25, 2008.
https://www.socialsecurity.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/lr4b2.html
[77] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 135: “The Social Security Act does not
permit expenditures from the [Old-Age &
Survivors Insurance] and DI [Disability
Insurance] Trust Funds for any purpose not
related to the payment of benefits or
administrative costs for the OASDI [Social
Security] program.”
[78] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 214: “Funds not withdrawn for current
monthly or service benefits, the financial
interchange, and administrative expenses are
invested in interest-bearing Federal
securities, as required by law; the interest
earned is also deposited in the trust
funds.”
[79] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s
the Difference?” Bureau of the Public Debt,
United States Department of the Treasury.
Last updated August 4, 2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm
“Additionally, the Government Trust Funds
are required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt.”
[80] Web page: “Legislative History: Social
Security Act of 1935.” United States Social
Security Administration. Accessed October
31,2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/35act.html
Section 201(b): “It shall be the duty of the
Secretary of the Treasury to invest such
portion of the amounts credited to the
Account as is not, in his judgment, required
to meet current withdrawals. Such investment
may be made only in interest-bearing
obligations of the United States or in
obligations guaranteed as to both principal
and interest by the United States.”
[81] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 24: “All securities held by the trust
funds are backed by the full faith and
credit of the United States Government, as
required by law.”
[82] Report: “Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of
the Public Debt, United States Department of
the Treasury, June 30, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf
{Social Security’s assets are contained in
the “Federal Disability Insurance Trust
Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance Trust Fund.” Both of these appear
on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the
Public Debt Outstanding.”}
[83] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds:
Frequently Asked Questions.” United States
Social Security Administration. Last
reviewed or modified June 3, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
“The government has always repaid Social
Security, with interest.”
[84] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 29: “Net administrative expenses
charged to the [Old-Age & Survivors
Insurance] and DI [Disability Insurance]
Trust Funds in calendar year 2007 totaled
$5.5 billion. This amount represented 0.8
percent of contribution income and 0.9
percent of expenditures.”
[85] Calculations performed with data from
the previous note and:
Publication number 05-10024: “Understanding
the Benefits.” United States Social Security
Administration, May 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/pubs/10024.html
[The average 2008 monthly Social Security
benefit for retired workers is $1,079.]
CALCULATION: $5,5000,000,000 / $12,948
(average individual retired worker’s yearly
Social Security retirement benefit for 2008)
= 424,776
[86] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 131:
The Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance
(OASI) Trust Fund was established on January
1, 1940 as a separate account in the United
States Treasury. The Federal Disability
Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, another separate
account in the United States Treasury, was
established on August 1, 1956. All the
financial operations of the OASI and DI
programs are handled through these
respective funds. The Board of Trustees is
responsible for overseeing the financial
operations of these funds.
[87] Web page: “Social Security Trust Funds:
Frequently Asked Questions.” United States
Social Security Administration. Last
reviewed or modified June 3, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/ProgData/fundFAQ.html
"By law, income to the trust funds must be
invested, on a daily basis, in securities
guaranteed as to both principal and interest
by the Federal government. All securities
held by the trust funds are “special issues”
of the United States Treasury. Such
securities are available only to the trust
funds."
[88] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 214: “[Social Security Trust] Funds not
withdrawn for current monthly or service
benefits, the financial interchange, and
administrative expenses are invested in
interest bearing Federal securities, as
required by law; the interest earned is also
deposited in the trust funds.”
[89] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board of
Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 214: “[Social Security Trust] Funds not
withdrawn for current monthly or service
benefits, the financial interchange, and
administrative expenses are invested in
interest bearing Federal securities, as
required by law; the interest earned is also
deposited in the trust funds.”
[90] Web page: “Debt versus Deficit: What’s
the Difference?” Bureau of the Public Debt,
United States Department of the Treasury.
Last updated August 4, 2006.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/news/pressroom/pressroom_bpd08052004.htm
"Additionally, the Government Trust Funds are
required by law to invest accumulated
surpluses in Treasury securities. The
Treasury securities issued to the public and
to the Government Trust Funds
(intragovernmental holdings) then become
part of the total debt."
[91] Report: “Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of
the Public Debt, United States Department of
the Treasury, June 30, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf
{Social Security’s assets are contained in
the “Federal Disability Insurance Trust
Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance Trust Fund.” Both of these appear
on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the
Public Debt Outstanding.”}
[92] Report: “Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of
the Public Debt, United States Department of
the Treasury, June 30, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf
{Social Security’s assets are contained in
the “Federal Disability Insurance Trust
Fund” and the “Federal Old-Age and Survivors
Insurance Trust Fund.” Both of these appear
on page 9 in “Table III - Detail of the
Public Debt Outstanding.”}
[93] Web page: “Population, Population
change and estimated components of
population change: April 1, 2000 to July 1,
2007.” United States Census Bureau. See CSV
file located at:
http://www.census.gov/popest/datasets.html
{The United States Census Bureau estimates
the U.S. population to be 301,621,157 for
2007. The last census (2000) found the
population to be 281,421,906. The 2000
census can be found at
http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/c2kprof00-us.pdf}
[94] Web page: “Frequently Asked Questions
About the Public Debt.” Bureau of the Public
Debt, United States Department of the
Treasury. Last updated February 27, 2007.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/resources/faq/faq_publicdebt.htm
What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal
debt held by individuals, corporations,
state or local governments, foreign
governments, and other entities outside the
United States Government less Federal
Financing Bank securities. Types of
securities held by the public include, but
are not limited to, Treasury Bills, Notes,
Bonds, TIPS, United States Savings Bonds,
and State and Local Government Series
securities.
What are Intragovernmental Holdings?
Intragovernmental Holdings are Government
Account Series securities held by Government
trust funds, revolving funds, and special
funds; and Federal Financing Bank
securities. A small amount of marketable
securities are held by government accounts.
[95] NOTE: There is considerable confusion
regarding the terminology associated with
the national debt. Listed below are some
frequently used terms categorized by their
proper meaning:
(a) Overall national debt – national debt,
public debt, gross debt, debt.
(b) Portion of the national debt owed to
federal entities – Nonmarketable debt,
Intragovernmental holdings, debt held by the
government, government held debt.
(c) Portion of the national debt owed to
non-federal entities – Marketable debt, debt
held by the public, publicly held debt.
(Just Facts has come across numerous
instances where politicians and reporters
use terms that refer to the overall national
debt, when in fact, they are only referring
to this portion of the debt.)
[96] Report: “Monthly Statement of the
Public Debt of the United States.” Bureau of
the Public Debt, United States Department of
the Treasury, June 30, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/mspd/2008/opdm062008.pdf
[97] Web page: “Historical Debt Outstanding
– Annual: 1950- 1999 and 2000 - 2007.”
Bureau of the Public Debt, United States
Department of the Treasury. Last updated
January 31, 2008.
http://www.treasurydirect.gov/govt/reports/pd/histdebt/histdebt.htm
[98] Web page: “Consumer Price Index
1913-2008,” Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis. Accessed September 8, 2008 at
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/community_education/teacher/calc/hist1913.cfm
{The rate of inflation was used from these
tables to calculate how the national debt of
$270,522,171,896 from 1957 would have grown
due to inflation alone up until 2007.}
[99] Web page: “Social Security History:
Supreme Court Case: Flemming vs. Nestor.”
United States Social Security
Administration. Accessed on November 11,
2008 at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html
TO ENGRAFT UPON THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM A
CONCEPT OF “ACCRUED PROPERTY RIGHTS” WOULD
DEPRIVE IT OF THE FLEXIBILITY AND BOLDNESS
IN ADJUSTMENT TO EVER-CHANGING CONDITIONS
WHICH IT DEMANDS. SEE WOLLENBERG, VESTED
RIGHTS IN SOCIAL-SECURITY BENEFITS, 37 ORE.
L. REV. 299, 359. IT WAS DOUBTLESS OUT OF AN
AWARENESS OF THE NEED FOR SUCH FLEXIBILITY
THAT CONGRESS INCLUDED IN THE ORIGINAL ACT
[363 U.S. 603, 611], AND HAS SINCE RETAINED,
A CLAUSE EXPRESSLY RESERVING TO IT “THE
RIGHT TO ALTER, AMEND, ORREPEAL ANY
PROVISION” OF THE ACT. SEC. 1104, 49 STAT.
648,42 U.S.C. SEC. 1304.
{Read the entire court decision Flemming vs.
Nestor at
http://www.ssa.gov/history/nestor.html for
additional detail.}
[100] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board
of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 8:
Redemption of trust fund assets will allow
continuation of full benefit payments on a
timely basis until 2041, when the trust
funds are projected to become exhausted.
This redemption process will require a flow
of cash from the General Fund of the
Treasury. Pressures on the Federal Budget
will thus emerge well before 2041. Even if a
trust fund’s assets are exhausted, however,
tax income will continue to flow into the
fund. Present tax rates are projected to be
sufficient to pay 78 percent of scheduled
benefits after trust fund exhaustion in 2041
and 75 percent of scheduled benefits in
2082.
[101] Article: “Retiring With Dignity:
Social Security Vs. Private Markets.” By
William G. Shipman. The Cato Institute,
August 14, 1995.
http://www.cato.org/pubs/ssps/ssp2.html
[102] CALCULATION: ($50,000/year) X (45
years) X 12.4% = $279,000
[103] “The 2008 Annual Report of the Board
of Trustees of The Federal Old-Age and
Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance
Trust Funds.” The Board of Trustees of the
Federal OASDI Trust Funds, March 28, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/TR/TR08/tr08.pdf
Page 2: “Annual cost will exceed tax income
starting in 2017, at which time the annual
gap will be covered with cash from
redemptions of special obligations of the
Treasury that make up the trust fund assets
until these assets are exhausted in 2041.”
[104] CALCULATIONS:
($50,000/year) X (12.4%) X (16%) =
$992.00/year
($992/year) compounded annually over 45
years at 7% = $263,991 (year 2008 dollars)
NOTE: Calculated with starting balance of
$0, adding $992 per year and compounding one
time per year. As a benchmark, the Chilean
personal ownership accounts have been
earning about 7% above the rate of inflation
per year. (see upcoming section).
[105] Book: Market Volatility. By Robert J. Shiller.
MIT Press, 1989. Chapter 26.
{Excel spreadsheet of the historical S&P 500
data (updated through 2002) available at:
http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data/chapt26.xls}
[106] Report: “2008 Republican Party
Platform.” Republican National Committee,
September 2008.
http://www.gopplatform2008.com/2008Platform.pdf
Page 19: “Comprehensive reform should
include the opportunity to freely choose to
create your own personal investment accounts
which are distinct from and supplemental to
the overall Social Security system.”
[107] Report: “2008
Democratic Party Platform: “Renewing
America’s Promise.” Democratic National Committee, August 25,
2008.
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=78283
“We will not privatize [Social Security].”
[108] Web page: “Obama ‘08, Seniors and
Social Security” Obama for America. Accessed
November 11, 2008 at
http://www.barackobama.com/issues/socialsecurity/
“In the midst of the 2005 debate over Social
Security privatization, Obama gave a major
speech at the National Press Club forcefully
arguing against privatization. He also
repeatedly voted against Republican
amendments that aimed to privatize Social
Security or cut benefits.”
[109] Speech: “A Hope to Fulfill.” Barack
Obama, April 26th, 2005.
http://obama.senate.gov/speech/050426-_a_hope_to_fulfill/index.php
“I think we will save Social Security from
privatization this year.”
[110] Bulletin Volume 63, No. 2: “Social
Security Privatization in Latin America.” By
Barbara E. Kritzer. United States Social
Security Administration, December 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v63n2/v63n2p17.pdf
Pages 17-18: “In 1981, Chile became the
first Latin American country to privatize
its social security system. Chile switched
from a defined-benefit, pay-as-you-go
(PAYGO) system to a defined contribution
system of individual accounts managed by
private companies.”
[111] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf
Page 32: “Table II.5: BENEFITS OF THE THREE
MAIN INSTITUTIONS IN THE OLD SYSTEM.”
[112] Bulletin Volume 63, No. 2: “Social
Security Privatization in Latin America.” By
Barbara E. Kritzer. United States Social
Security Administration, December 2000.
http://www.socialsecurity.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v63n2/v63n2p17.pdf
Pages 19-20: “Under Chile’s new system,
workers pay 10 percent of earnings
(mandatory for employees, voluntary for the
self employed) to an individual account run
by a pension fund management company
(administradora de fondos de pension,or
AFP). They also pay about 1.98 percent for
administrative fees and 0.64 percent for
survivors and disability insurance for a
total of about 2.62 percent (AIOS 1999).”
NOTE: According to the Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones,
administrative fees have averaged higher
than what is quoted here. In keeping with
our
Standards of Credibility, Just Facts is
using the higher amount of 3.4%. See next
note for details.
[113] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf
Page 152: “Table No. VI.11: MONTHLY SOCIAL
SECURITY COST FOR A MEMBER WITH THE AVERAGE
INCOME OF THE AFP SYSTEM.”
{The average of the values in the column
labeled “Social Security Cost % of Average
Income” is 3.4%. Note that this cost has
been on a downward trend.}
[114] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf
Page 29: “Table II.2 Contribution Rates for
Pensions.”
{This range of rates represents those from
the three main social security institutions
(known as “Cajas”) in Chile in 1980. These
three institutions involved 94% of the
workers covered under Chile’s “old system.”
The government collected between 32.5% and
41.04% of taxable wages for pensions, health
benefits, industrial accidents and other
things, but used the monies for these
programs without distinction. See the bottom
of page 28 and Table II.1 of this same
document for explanation.}
[115] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf
Page 53: “The Pension System is based on
individual capitalization. Each member has
an individual account in which his/her
social security contributions are deposited.
These are capitalized and earn the yield on
the investments made by the Administrators
with the resources of the Funds.”
[116] Brochure: “Compare Fondos,
Superintendencia de AFP.” Gobierno de Chile,
April 2008.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-5749_recurso_1.pdf
{This document is in Spanish and outlines
the five funds available to investors.}
[117] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf
Pages 53-54:
The worker chooses the institution that
he/she wishes to join, and may change from
one Administrator to another whenever he/she
thinks it advisable. He/she also has a free
choice with regard to the type of Pension
Fund in which to put his/her social security
savings, though in the case of older members
and pensioners there are certain limitations
attached to the choice of Funds with
relatively higher risk, as far as their
mandatory contributions are concerned.
[118] Report: “Social Security Programs
Throughout the World: The Americas 2007:
Chile.” U.S. Social Security Administration
and the International Social Security
Association, March 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/progdesc/ssptw/2006-2007/americas/chile.pdf
Pages 76-77:
Old-age pension: Age 65 (men) or age 60
(women). If aged 55 or older (men) or aged
50 or older (women) on August 19, 2004,
retirement before the normal retirement age
is possible for insured persons with a
pension equal to at least 50% of the
insured’s average wage in the last 10 years
and at least equal to 110% of the minimum
old-age pension. If younger than age 55
(men) or age 50 (women) on August 19, 2004,
retirement before the normal retirement age
is possible for insured persons with a
pension equal to at least 55% of the
insured’s average wage in the last 10 years
(rising to 70% by August 19, 2010) and at
least equal to a 150% of the minimum old-age
pension (beginning August 19, 2007).
[119] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf
Pages 68-69:
Decree-Law 3,500 established the existence
of the following pension options from which
members can choose, each with its own system
of financing and administration:
a. Programmed Withdrawal: On retirement the
worker keeps his/her Individual
Capitalization Account in the Administrator
to which he/she belongs, withdrawing annual
amounts which are obtained by dividing the
accumulated balance in the account by the
capital required33. These annual amounts are
divided into monthly instalments, are
readjusted according to the rise in the cost
of living and are recalculated every twelve
months. With this kind of pension it is the
AFP which manages the resources and the
member who assumes the risks of longevity
and reinvestment, while retaining the
ownership of his/her funds. With the
implementation of the law of multifunds,
members receiving pensions under this option
may choose any of the three lower-risk Funds
(C, D and E) for the balance corresponding
to their mandatory contributions. The reason
for this restriction is to avoid pensioners
taking high risks in investments made with
their mandatory resources, since this might
have an irreversible effect on the level of
their retirement pensions and on the state
guarantees for minimum pensions that are
involved. Nonetheless, they may choose any
of the five Funds for their voluntary
contributions, agreed deposits and voluntary
savings account. In addition to the above,
the member may revoke his/her pension option
decision at any time and change to the Life
Annuity alternative.
b. Life Annuity: Members may sign a contract
to have their pension paid by a Life
Insurance Company (chosen by themselves).
This company promises to pay them a constant
monthly income, in real terms, as long as
they live, and to pay a survivorship pension
to their beneficiaries. In this way, the
member’s resources are transferred to the
Life Insurance Company which assumes both
the financial risk and the risk of longevity
on the part of the pensioner and his/her
family group. Once the member has chosen
this pension option and signed the contract,
the decision is irrevocable, because the
ownership of the resources is lost.
c. Temporary Income with Deferred Life
Annuity: On deciding in favour of a
temporary income, a contract is signed with
a Life Insurance Company for the payment of
a fixed monthly income, readjustable in UF,
as from a date some time after the moment of
retirement. Between the date on which the
member requests this kind of pension and the
date on which he/she begins to receive the
life annuity, he/she receives a monthly
pension financed with funds held specially
for this purpose in his/her capitalization
account at his AFP. In this way the member
retains the ownership and assumes the
financial risk of the part of his/her fund
that remains in the AFP for a defined period
in his/her life. On the other hand he/she
does not assume the longevity risk, because
that, like the financial risk for the second
period, is covered by the Insurance Company
with which he/she has signed the life
annuity contract. The deferred life annuity
cannot be less than 50% of the first
temporary income payment nor more than 100%
of that payment.
[120] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf
Page 152: “Table No. VI.11: MONTHLY SOCIAL
SECURITY COST FOR A MEMBER WITH THE AVERAGE
INCOME OF THE AFP SYSTEM.”
{The average of the values in the column
labeled “Social Security Cost % of Average
Income” is 3.4%.}
[121] Book: Terms of Trade: Glossary of
International Economics. By Alan V. Deardoff.
World Scientific, 2006.
Page 228:
“Real” is defined as “expressed in terms of
the amounts of goods and services that
something is worth at market prices” and
“adjusted for inflation.”
[122] Article: “Chile’s Private Pension
System at 18: Its Current State and Future
Challenges.” By Jacobo L. Rodriguez. The
Cato Institute, July 30, 1999.
http://www.socialsecurity.org/pubs/ssps/ssp17.pdf
Page 3: “By the early 1970s the system had
clearly gotten out of hand. Contribution
rates had increased from 16 to 26 percent of
total payroll; the government’s contribution
to the pension system had increased to about
38 percent of the system’s total revenues,
or about 4 percent of gross domestic
product; and the implicit debt of the system
was over 100 percent of GDP.”
[123] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter2.pdf
Page 34:
One of the main characteristics of the
Social Security System then in force was
that it originally functioned as a Partial
Capitalization System. In other words, the
active contributors financed the pensions of
the passive, but at the same time a reserve
fund was created with part of the resources
collected. Although in the early stages it
was possible to capitalize part of the
resources collected, this became
increasingly difficult, and it turned into a
simple Pay-as-you-go System. In other words,
no reserves were accumulated.
[124] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf
Page 130:
The liabilities of the Pension Funds are
made up almost entirely of net worth; in
fact in March 2002, 98.8% of the liabilities
of the Type 1 Fund corresponds to net worth,
while in the case of the Type 2 Fund this
percentage rises to 99%. The net worth of
the Pension Fund is made up of the
individual capitalization accounts, the
voluntary savings accounts and the
compensation savings accounts. It also
includes misplaced contributions and revenue
which is in the process of being credited to
personal accounts.
NOTE: The Pension Fund’s assets are matched
evenly to its liabilities. The liabilities
that are counted against the Pension Fund
assets are made up principally of individual
capitalization accounts. In other words, the
program is self-funded and is not accruing a
deficit.
[125] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter4.pdf
Page 93: “Three times a year, in the months
of February, June and October, all members
whose capitalization account has shown some
movement during the previous four-month
period receive a summary, at their home
address, of the movements in their account
during the last four months: deposits,
charges and balance, both in pesos and in
units.”
[126] Report: “The Chilean Pension System,
Fourth Edition.” Superintendencia de
Administradoras de Fondos de Pensiones
(Superintendant of The Chile Pension Fund
Administration), May 2003.
http://www.safp.cl/573/articles-3523_chapter6.pdf
Page 130:
The liabilities of the Pension Funds are
made up almost entirely of net worth; in
fact in March 2002, 98.8% of the liabilities
of the Type 1 Fund corresponds to net worth,
while in the case of the Type 2 Fund this
percentage rises to 99%. The net worth of
the Pension Fund is made up of the
individual capitalization accounts, the
voluntary savings accounts and the
compensation savings accounts. It also
includes misplaced contributions and revenue
which is in the process of being credited to
personal accounts.
NOTE: The Pension Fund’s assets are matched
evenly to its liabilities. The liabilities
that are counted against the Pension Fund
assets are made up principally of individual
capitalization accounts. In other words, the
program is self-funded and is not accruing a
deficit.
[127] Web page: “History: Frequently asked
questions.” United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
January 14, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html
Q21: When did Social Security cards bear
the legend “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION”?
A: The first Social Security cards were
issued starting in 1936, they did not have
this legend. Beginning with the sixth design
version of the card, issued starting in
1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of
the card reading “FOR SOCIAL SECURITY
PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.” This
legend was removed as part of the design
changes for the 18th version of the card,
issued beginning in 1972. The legend has not
been on any new cards issued since 1972.
[128] Web page: “Social Security Number
Chronology.” United States Social Security
Administration. Updated November 9, 2005.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssn/ssnchron.html
[129] Web page: “History: Frequently asked
questions.” United States Social Security
Administration. Last reviewed or modified
January 14, 2008.
http://www.ssa.gov/history/hfaq.html
Q21: When did Social Security cards bear
the legend “NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION”?
A: The first Social Security cards were
issued starting in 1936, they did not have
this legend. Beginning with the sixth design
version of the card, issued starting in
1946, SSA added a legend to the bottom of
the card reading “FOR SOCIAL SECURITY
PURPOSES -- NOT FOR IDENTIFICATION.” This
legend was removed as part of the design
changes for the 18th version of the card,
issued beginning in 1972. The legend has not
been on any new cards issued since 1972.
[130] Bill: “H.R. 5110, Public Law 103-465 –
Bill Summary and Status for the 103rd
Congress.” Congress of the United States of
America, December 8, 1994.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
[131] Bill: “H.R. 5110, Public Law 103-465 –
Bill Summary and Status for the 103rd
Congress.” Congress of the United States of
America, December 8, 1994.
http://thomas.loc.gov/
Section 742:
SEC. 742. TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS
REQUIRED AT BIRTH.
(a) EARNED INCOME CREDIT- Clause (i) of
section 32(c)(3)(D) is amended to read as
follows:
`(i) IN GENERAL- The requirements of this
subparagraph are met if the taxpayer
includes the name, age, and TIN of each
qualifying child (without regard to this
subparagraph) on the return of tax for the
taxable year.’
(b) DEPENDENCY EXEMPTION- Subsection (e) of
section 6109 is amended to read as follows:
`(e) FURNISHING NUMBER FOR DEPENDENTS- Any
taxpayer who claims an exemption under
section 151 for any dependent on a return
for any taxable year shall include on such
return the identifying number (for purposes
of this title) of such dependent.’
(c) EFFECTIVE DATE-
(1) IN GENERAL- Except as provided in
paragraph (2), the amendments made by this
section shall apply to returns for taxable
years beginning after December 31, 1994.
(2) EXCEPTION- The amendments made by this
section shall not apply to--
(A) returns for taxable years beginning in
1995 with respect to individuals who are
born after October 31, 1995, and
(B) returns for taxable years beginning in
1996 with respect to individuals who are
born after November 30, 1996.
[132] Web page: “When am I legally required
to provide my Social Security number?”
United States Social Security
Administration. Accessed November 19, 2008
at
http://ssa-custhelp.ssa.gov/cgi-bin/ssa.cfg/php/enduser/std_adp.php?p_faqid=78
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